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Ashes of Pompeii

I was so much older then...

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Nuclear Deterrence in the AI Age

An existential threat

Where does Serbia go from here?

This is a short follow up to yesterday’s post about Vučić and Serbia’s complicated geopolitical position.

Vučić and the Impossible Chair

Aleksandar Vučić has become something rare in European politics: a leader who is simultaneously condemned by every faction in every conflict he touches.

And if political Cancel Culture fails?

What will Europe become if the populist sweep occurs across Europe?

Cancel Culture has taken over European politics

Do we really want to outlaw the views of a third of the electorate?

There will not be a US invasion of Iran

Talk of Desert Storm v2 is either uninformed, delusional or clickbait

A banal collection of nonentities and grifters

Virtue signalling as policy guide

Escalation Without Dominance: The Dangerous Gap Between American Firepower and Influence

For over a century, the United States enjoyed a unique geopolitical luxury called escalation dominance.

Why Iran Signs the MOU: Realism Over Illusion

Knowing that the commitments are unlikely to be respected

The Crusades - colliding narratives

Same battles, same dates, very different stories

China Snubs Brussels (Again...)

Who could have imagined moralizing and hypocrisy could have consequences?

NATO Article 5 - just how ironclad is it?

“such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force.”

Have we passed the point of no return?

Either USA can't control Israel or doesn't want to...

Is Iran threatening to go nuclear?

And why perhaps it doesn't really matter whether they are or not

Design, Disorder, and the US Energy Campaign

Is there a "grand design" to capture global energy supplies?

Governance Models in a Multipolar World

It really isn't one size fits all

“We have liberated Europe from fascism, but they will never forgive us for it.”

Marshall Zhukov was right, the west has not forgiven Russia

Denial - the stock market soars as we lurch towards disaster

The PMC class is unprepared to deal with, or even acknowledge, a crisis

War in the Gulf and the AI Bubble

The math before was "difficult", now it is impossible

2026 - Of Potatoes and Pitchforks

Both may come in handy