Does Bitcoin Really Follow Metcalfe's Law? Five New Tests
Testing exponent uncertainty, causality, cointegration, and the post-2018 address growth slowdown
Money or Debt Newsletter
Modeling Bitcoin Value with the Power Law and log periodicity
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Two-Year Scenario for Bitcoin: Two Log-Periodic Modes
Flat 12-Month Outlook, Next LP Peak around 2030
All Fiat is Declining in Bitcoin Terms
And gold shows it isn't just inflation
Beyond the Power Law IV: Testing Bitcoin’s Dynamic Geometry
Surrogate tests and out-of-sample validation support an approximately 2-D transverse membrane
Beyond the Power Law III: The Dynamics of Bitcoin’s Reconstructed State Space
Evidence for a Narrowing Membrane-Like Attractor
Beyond the Power Law II: Bitcoin’s Hidden Hyperspace
Revealing Stretch-and-Fold Dynamics in Bitcoin’s Reconstructed Attractor
Beyond the Power Law I: Reconstructing Bitcoin’s Hidden Dynamics
Does Bitcoin exhibit deterministic nonlinear structure?
How to Replace the Bitcoin “Floor” with Probability
SevenSteps to an Age-adjusted Percentile level
Forecasting Bitcoin Beyond the Power Law Using Log Periodicity and Financial Stress
A parsimonious model with only two log-periodic modes and financial conditions leading by 9 weeks explains almost 90% of Bitcoin’s recent power-law residuals
Log-Log-Log Candlesticks: Scale-Invariant Bitcoin Charts
Triple Log Candles and Growth-Optimal Kelly Criteria
Realized Capital Log-Periodicity
Same λ≈2 Log-Periodic Structure Appears in Both Price and Realized Cap per Bitcoin