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Asymmetrical Bets

Digestible, Institutional Grade Investment Research.

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$ALM CEO Interview Analysis: The Micron Of Critical Metals?

498% revenue growth, a Western monopoly position, and a commodity cycle that just turned. The market may have forgot about the critical thesis, we didn’t.

The Only U.S. Pure-Play In An Asian AI Monopoly

NVIDIA, GOOG, AMZN, META, MSFT and OpenAI all buy their boards, and the stock trades below its Asian peers.

Is $SNDK Back? Investor Day Recap

SanDisk Just Guided to FY2030. Nobody Has Ever Done That In Memory.

LITE: The TSMC Of Light

72% EML market share, 50% gross margin, 109% YoY revenue growth, and a guide that beat the Street by 8%. Company breakdown and Q4 earnings analysis.

$LPTH CEO Interview: This China Free Optics Stock Supplying Anduril Grew Revenue 109%

Michael Sikand sits down with Sam Rubin, CEO of LightPath Technologies ($LPTH)

$AAOI Just Reported. Is The Thesis Intact?

Management beat on EPS, hit on revenue, and told the world they make the best laser on the planet. We break down the call.

VIAV Q4 Breakdown: Five Straight Beats And A Monster Guide.

Management has now beaten their own guidance five quarters in a row. The Q1 FY2027 guide blew past consensus by 50%. We break down the call.

$FLNC: Could A Hyperscaler Deal Send The Stock Flying Today?

They signed the MSAs in May. The order was supposed to land by June 30. Today we find out.

VIAVI ER Preview: The Testing Toll Booth

Management has cleared the top of their own guidance four quarters in a row. Wednesday we find out if FY2027 confirms a multi-year AI test cycle.

$AAOI Reports This Week. Here's What Investors Need To Know.

Management has spent a year confirming that customers want more than AOI can build. So this earnings call centers on three things: the Q3 guide, the 800G ramp, and whether the profits show up.

AI Earnings We're Watching This Week

Seven reports across memory, optics, and power. Can the AI trade bounce back after a sentiment collapse?

"Black July" Is Over. Is The AI Trade Too?

The worst month for semiconductors in modern history just happened amid record earnings. We comped it to every tech crash since 2000 to analyze it.

Reddit Earnings Preview

40x forward, 12% short, and no benefit of the doubt. Can Reddit deliver today?

What Every Retail Investor Needs To Know Before FOMC

The FOMC decision will land this afternoon, and markets are pricing a hold at 3.50 to 3.75%.

The Market Just Sold $3B of Reddit Over a $60M Contract

The 7th most visited website in the world lost $3B over a contract worth $60M a year that hasn't even been cancelled.

Soitec Stock Is Up 100% Since We Called It. Do Q1 Earnings Justify The Hype?

Shares jumped 22% after Photonics-SOI sales doubled YoY, confirming the monopoly thesis we laid out back in March.

We Pitched You A Robotics Stock. It's Up 52% Today.

A follow up to our NVEC deep dive, where we identified asymmetrical upside, before an 81% revenue growth quarter and 50% pop.

Nokia Just Reported Earnings. Why Is The Stock Selling Off?

Despite 105% AI growth, Nokia is still primarily a telecom company with limited capacity to convert its order book.

Did Kimi Just Start Another DeepSeek Moment?

The gap between Chinese and American AI just got a lot smaller.

CleanSpark: This $3.2B Leopold Stock Is Finally Unlocking A $40B AI Goldmine

A $3.5 billion company just signed a $6.6 billion contract and could get up to $40B in contracted revenue should they monetize all their assets. Could this be the cleanest neocloud rebound set up?

Spintronics: The Tiny Chips Solving The Humanoid Hand

This profitable 35 year old Minnesota chipmaker trading at a $500M market cap is a free call option on the humanoid hand bottleneck.