
The Electoral Politics of the Public Debt
It's not nearly as urgent as affordability concerns, but neither can it be ignored.
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It's not nearly as urgent as affordability concerns, but neither can it be ignored.

Wage growth and interest rates: one's too low; one's too high.

Adjusting for our aging workforce explains much of the decline, but it doesn't take us out of the woods.

The report moved the odds of a Fed hike down a bit, but it's not off the table. And back on Main St, real wages are down.

Various financial-market sources are helping to drive the US economy forward. And some of them look pretty shaky to me.

This week quite neatly laid out the problem...and the solution.

No reason to panic or to over-interpret one month. But there are trend-level fragilities in this job market.

All that noise about spectrum politics misses this fundamental question.

Tying together some recent themes on public debt, interest rates, and the Fed.

Last week's data and central-bank noise are part of an important story.