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Jared Bernstein

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The Electoral Politics of the Public Debt

It's not nearly as urgent as affordability concerns, but neither can it be ignored.

Two Prices, Two Problems

Wage growth and interest rates: one's too low; one's too high.

Is The Labor Force Declining Or Not?

Adjusting for our aging workforce explains much of the decline, but it doesn't take us out of the woods.

July CPI Comes In Right At Expectations

The report moved the odds of a Fed hike down a bit, but it's not off the table. And back on Main St, real wages are down.

Market-Driven Macro Fragilities

Various financial-market sources are helping to drive the US economy forward. And some of them look pretty shaky to me.

Weekly Wrap-Up: The Economy's Fine Except for the People In It; El-Sayed and the Mods

This week quite neatly laid out the problem...and the solution.

July's Employment Report Comes In A Lot Softer Than Expected

No reason to panic or to over-interpret one month. But there are trend-level fragilities in this job market.

Voters to Candidates: You Gonna Fight For Us Or Not?

All that noise about spectrum politics misses this fundamental question.

When Your Public Debt is 100% of GDP, Maybe Don't Spook Markets

Tying together some recent themes on public debt, interest rates, and the Fed.

Weekly Wrap-Up: Economic Strengths and Fragilities

Last week's data and central-bank noise are part of an important story.