COA Auditor Wamil's Naive Use of "Causal Link"
𝐎𝐑 𝐖𝐇𝐘 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐃𝐄𝐅𝐄𝐍𝐒𝐄 𝐓𝐄𝐀𝐌 𝐎𝐅 𝐕𝐏 𝐒𝐀𝐑𝐀 𝐒𝐇𝐎𝐔𝐋𝐃 𝐇𝐀𝐕𝐄 𝐏𝐑𝐄𝐒𝐒𝐄𝐃 𝐎𝐍 𝐓𝐇𝐈𝐒 𝐈𝐒𝐒𝐔𝐄
ASIAN SCHOLAR | Sass Rogando Sasot
Insights on international relations, history, and political philosophy, with a special focus on East Asia and the Philippines
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Sara
Hi guys!
𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐒𝐎𝐔𝐓𝐇 𝐂𝐇𝐈𝐍𝐀 𝐒𝐄𝐀: 𝐀𝐒 𝐀 𝐒𝐄𝐌𝐀𝐍𝐓𝐈𝐂 𝐎𝐁𝐉𝐄𝐂𝐓 𝐕𝐒 𝐀𝐒 𝐀 𝐏𝐇𝐘𝐒𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐋 𝐒𝐘𝐒𝐓𝐄𝐌
There are two ways of looking at the South China Sea. One is as a "semantic object"; the other is as a "physical system." Only one wil lead to a better long-term solution.
"𝐖𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚 𝐎𝐧𝐞-𝐨𝐧-𝐎𝐧𝐞": 𝐖𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐁𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐤𝐞𝐧'𝐬 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐓𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐬 𝐔𝐬
This is the true context of Pax Silica: The status anxiety of the American elite.
WHY SUPPORT FOR THE 2016 SOUTH CHINA SEA ARBITRATION RULING DWINDLED FROM 26 TO 13
Down by 50%. The West Philippine Sea cult propaganda and drama have clearly failed.
The Local and the Global: Why Vice President Sara Duterte Resonates with Local Hearts but Repels the Western Gaze
For decades, the Philippine elite has performed Western liberalism for international approval, while the masses have borne the cost of that performance. Sara Duterte represents a rupture from that.
Gibo Wants You To Die: Before You Do, Read This
In this statement, Gibo Teodoro uses words unreflectively. He says, the "West Philippine Sea" is an "existential issue" to the Philippines. Is this even correct?
AI Fears Are Misguided: Much Ado Over A Sophisticated Thermostat
AI models, as they are now, are sophisticated thermostats. Behaving as if they have their own goals but they are exactly doing what they were programmed (constraints and all) to do.
The Failed ICC-kidnapping of Senator Bato dela Rosa
The only judicial authority that can receive his surrender is a Philippine Regional Trial Court. Not the ICC. Not a foreign tribunal. Not the Department of Justice.
South China Sea Conflict: War and Non-War Pathways
Mindsets and their policy and situational implications
𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐌𝐎𝐃𝐘𝐍𝐀𝐌𝐈𝐂 𝐂𝐑𝐈𝐒𝐈𝐒 𝐎𝐅 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐏𝐇𝐈𝐋𝐈𝐏𝐏𝐈𝐍𝐄𝐒
𝐀 𝐅𝐚𝐫-𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦-𝐄𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐛𝐫𝐢𝐮𝐦 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐍𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐮𝐫𝐯𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐥
The Silent Clause: Why the AFP Must Clarify the Role of EDCA in the US War with Conflict
𝑻𝒉𝒆 𝑭𝒊𝒍𝒊𝒑𝒊𝒏𝒐 𝒑𝒆𝒐𝒑𝒍𝒆 𝒅𝒆𝒔𝒆𝒓𝒗𝒆 𝒕𝒐 𝒌𝒏𝒐𝒘 𝒊𝒇 𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒊𝒓 𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒊𝒔 𝒃𝒆𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒖𝒔𝒆𝒅 𝒕𝒐 𝒇𝒖𝒆𝒍 𝒂 𝒘𝒂𝒓 𝒕𝒉𝒆𝒚 𝒅𝒊𝒅 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒄𝒉𝒐𝒐𝒔𝒆.
Duterte’s strategy of rapture
Duterte understands, perhaps better than his accusers, that political trials are not settled by the gavel. They are not won or lost in the chamber of the ICC, but in the wider court of history.
Computational Politics: How many Kakampinks can stomach alliance with BBM?
A computational explanation of why the Kakampink-BBM Alliance is not moving forward and will probably fail
𝐂𝐋𝐄𝐀𝐑𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐄𝐕𝐄𝐑𝐘𝐎𝐍𝐄'𝐒 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐈𝐓𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐋 𝐂𝐀𝐋𝐂𝐔𝐋𝐔𝐒
If you cannot calculate your own political calculus, contingency will do it for you. Sara's early announcement today is that contingency.
Sara's date with history and appointment with destiny
The arch of her political rise is swift and it bends toward a higher call of duty.
The Statistical Hallucination: Mistaking the Tail for the Median on China Policy
The Kakampink camp, by collapsing all China engagement into a binary of patriotism versus betrayal, has locked itself into an extreme that leaves the political center unoccupied.
𝐔.𝐒. 𝐒𝐓𝐑𝐀𝐓𝐄𝐆𝐘: 𝐓𝐎 𝐊𝐄𝐄𝐏 𝐏𝐇𝐈𝐋𝐈𝐏𝐏𝐈𝐍𝐄-𝐂𝐇𝐈𝐍𝐀 𝐑𝐄𝐋𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐏𝐄𝐑𝐌𝐀𝐍𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐂𝐑𝐈𝐒𝐈𝐒
The long-term goal of the U.S. is to prevent the unification of Taiwan with the Chinese mainland. The real agenda of the U.S. is to keep the Philippine leg of its theatre of war against China.
Ang Dapat Maintindihan ng mga Filipino Tungkol sa Scarborough Shoal
Kulang ang pag-unawa ng mga Pilipino sa sitwasyon ng Scarborough Shoal.
The Philippines' Schrödinger's Territory: A Masterclass in Absurdity
We have achieved the impossible: a national security doctrine that actively disproves itself.