Niño 3.4 anomalies continue to surge, and what a top-tier ENSO event means for global and California weather
What this means for the long-range and seasonal forecasting structure
Simply, Weather.
Simply, Weather. is an organization that develops and produces medium-range weather forecasts, long-range forecast, season and sub-seasonal forecasting products.
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A Niño 3.4 anomaly already past 1.4°C, a deep subsurface warm pool, and what a record-strength event means for the Southeast's winter storm track
A deep dive into a transitioning ENSO phase
100 knot winds aloft, 300+ effective SRH, and the strong-tornado question over the Upper Midwest
Severe threat looms over the northeast quarter of the US the next two days...
Weak steering currents, warm water, and a low-confidence intensity forecast
Latest forecast discussion on Tropical Depression Two
A Buckled Jet, a Sinking Ridge, and Why This Heat Builds on Itself
A discussion on this week's excessive, and dangerous dose of heat.
A Dangerous Severe Outbreak on Tap Today
Strong to intense tornadoes, damaging winds and large hail likely today across the Midwest and western Great Lakes
Severe Weather Outbreak Expected Tomorrow Across the Middle Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes
An 85-knot shortwave, a 60-knot low-level jet, and the strong-tornado threat over Illinois and Indiana
Wednesday: An 80-knot June jet, a lifting warm front, and a strong-tornado threat.
The latest details on what could shape up to be a significant severe weather day.
Enhanced Risk Across the Central Plains and Missouri Valley
Damaging wind is the main story this evening as storms grow upscale along the cold front. Hail and a couple of tornadoes round out an active afternoon from eastern Kansas into Missouri.
Moderate Risk for severe weather in the Midwest and Great Lakes; a few strong tornadoes possible.
Widespread damaging winds is the featured threat across a Midwest to Great Lakes corridor. A few strong tornadoes are possible.
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