RSS Amplifier

Podcast

Catena Capital

Automated Macro-Economics Terminal featuring AI solutions

catenacapital.substack.comSource feed ↗20 episodes

Live Last read · last published · next check

Written by

Latest episodes

Macro Liquidity Wave System – Analytical Report

The chart system shown in the screenshots is a multi-factor macro-liquidity forecasting and regime-detection framework designed primarily to model and anticipate:

Optimistic ~ Roller Coaster Bottoming?

Outlook into Dec.

We've likely bottomed ~ BTC

I don’t ‘trade’ so usually give my thoughts based on data and evidence as to turning points, factoring in also slightly my gut (October remarks - see prior).

New BTC Macro Exit Script.

The new script takes into consideration Shadow Monetary Base Impacted by MOVE volatility, Blended Liquidity Wave Impact (historical/regression), Power Law into one composite for Exiting BTC, i.e look-ahead approach.

Bitcoin Bottoming Zone

Well, it’s been a while….

BTC Ok, hit target now retracing -> where to next.

Plus some Geopolitical views.

Shadow Monetary Base Move % Change Impact Forecaster

Received historical data from Dr Michael Howell’s Crossborder Capital for the Shadow Monetary Base from 2010 to 2025.

Bitcoin Next Steps?

If you follow Henrik Zeberg he you’ll notice that he is putting in claims that Bitcoin will hit 130-140,000$ before collapsing to sub 10,000$.

Liquidity Waves (Impulses) v BTC

Waves not just Absolute Values Guidance...

Gold Rides the Debt Interest Curve

Following on from the following article additional context (US) side.

Gold ~ The Ying and the Yang

I sit at the table with people weekly, or get messages from friends daily about Gold, usually a sign its frothy and you should get out, i.e when the pleb on the street tells you to invest in something, it usually means they are late getting out, or you will be late getting in.

Close, but no cigar.

Yet...

Be Mindful of the "Potential" Gap...

As far back as early October…

Closer to the Bottom than the Top.

Why the Current Drawdown Looks More Like a Cycle Floor Than a Cycle Peak

Can there be a recession today?

Nah, Maybe, When It Does You'll Need Lead.

The Global Shift Toward Bail-In Regimes — And What Assets Are at Risk

You'll all fucked if you don't hedge this...

Is the Bitcoin Bull Market Over? Liquidity Cycles Say: Not Yet

Over the past week I wrote about whether the bull market was coming to an end.

Is it all over?

Not yet...

Crypto | Where We Are, Where We Are Going, How Difficult It Will Feel.

I posted a month or so ago about the Dollar appearing to have bottomed — will come back to this during this article, you can read it here, i also wrote in the early days to this month ‘riding the edge’ pointing to a issue within the collateral base that essentially provides the liquidity (hypothecation) and how this will have material impact on Crypto, i also much earlier composed the following…

The Dollar Without Borders

How U.S.-Dollar Stablecoins Are Quietly Redrawing the Map of Global Finance