Pyramiding
An in-depth guide and strategy from a market wizard. Entry sequences, dynamic EV, sizing, exits, the math behind it all and more
TheShortBear Vault
The Short Bear Vault. Contrarian, systematic trading research from a trader profiled in Market Wizards: The Next Generation. Equity deep-dives with the data behind them, the setups I'm tracking, and the backtests that support them.
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Latest posts
Market Wizards Q&A Nr.2
Expectancy, correlation and how big you actually get to bet
Wall Street's $16,000,000 Disappearing Act
How banks turn a $30,000,000 insurance capital bill into $14,000,000 overnight, without selling a single loan.
Trade overview: Semiconductor short
The great rotation part 2: two weeks later with executions
The $3.7 Billion rebalance trade
How two Millennium pods turned the dullest feature of passive investing into a $3.7 billion month, and why Tesla set the stage for SpaceX to do it all over again, bigger
Trade overview: The great rotation
AI is the only crowded trade left holding the market up, and the tape is starting to tell on it. Here's where the money goes when it rotates from a market wizard.
Market Wizards Q&A Nr.1
Switching strategies, Exponential bet sizing and The silver trade I never talked about
The story of Optionsellers ~$150mil blowup
The story of Optionsellers ~$150mil blowup.
Fundsmith Terry Smith
This will become the document that encompasses all the lessons I learned from Terry Smith
Misses following the 2021/22 bear market
A compilation of the best opportunities I had prepared for and missed.
Bill Ackman's 2,650,000,000 trade
How Bill Ackman turned $27mm into $2,650,000,000 betting on a downturn