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TheShortBear Vault · Jul 1, 2026

Trade overview: The great rotation

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THE SHORT BEAR · TheShortBear Vault

I was about to start a blog about the next batch of questions, but found myself researching quite deeply into certain ideas and market dynamics that I thought we would talk about first before continuing.

Some of you had been asking for more trade specific posts and I thought this would make for something interesting.

You can’t understand this landscape without money flows.

A trade idea, for me, starts much further back than the chart, at the macro, the big picture.

  • Where are people most long?

  • Where are people most short?

→ Where is the positioning?

  • What do people see as an easy long?

  • What do people see as obviously dead?

→ Where is sentiment best and worst?

→ And finally: what is nobody looking at at all?

So, where is the crowd very long, sentiment euphoric, and capital piling into the same corner?

Frankly pretty easy for all to know…

Read the original on theshortbear.substack.com

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