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The Firebrand Project

Live geopolitical briefings, receipts-first investigations, and OSINT methods and resources for citizen and independent reporters.

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China Just Won the Iran War and It Did Not Make Headlines | Independent OSINT Analysis and Coverage

An Analysis of Rare Earth Controls by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce and US Dependencies for the Rare Earths Military-Industrial Complex and Arms Replenishment.

Middle East Iran War Update | Day 160 | US Forces Absorb Major Damage and Iran and Proxies Threaten Global Shipping

Day 160: Ukraine struck an Iranian vessel, Saudi Arabia entered the war, and US forces have absorbed major damage across five active fronts. Iran and its proxies now hold two chokepoints controlling ~25% of global oil and gas flow, and Brent is pricing a Hormuz deal that does not yet exist. Full breakdown of the actors, the shipping stranglehold, and what happens if the August 6 deadline lapses.

Independent Iran War Coverage and Analysis |Day 159| Iran War: Kuwait Absorbs the Strikes, Saudi Arabia Enters the Fight

The Iran war's center of gravity has moved to Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia just crossed into direct co-belligerency. Independent strike-map analysis breaks down what the data actually shows — not what the Pentagon is claiming.

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The Dialogue w/ John Oliver | The Corporate Global Order

Shane Yirak and John Oliver on how corporate tribunals, mining profiteering, and taxpayer-backed subsidies turn democracy into a billing system for the powerful.

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Palantalk | E46 - The Never Ending War with Iran

Watch now | The Never-Ending War -- Special Iran War Independent Analysis w/ Nick Paro. Covers Iran War events, including strikes and overall strategy for the Strait of Hormuz and the Middle East.

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Middle East Iran War Update | Day 145 | Iran is out-striking the US 17 to 9 in 11 days of Phase 2

: Iran is outpacing US airstrikes nearly 2-to-1 in the ten days since the ceasefire broke. Kuwait absorbed the heaviest hit — here's the full strike count.

The World Has Failed Gaza and the Cost is Still Rising.

Nine months into the ceasefire, more than 1,000 Palestinians have been reported killed as Israeli control expands and Gaza’s systems of survival collapse.

Iran War Escalation: Is the MOU Dead? NATO Summit, Strait of Hormuz Strikes & US Military Posture | July 9, 2026

The Islamabad MOU collapsed in three escalation cycles. Iran struck five commercial vessels, CENTCOM responded with 170+ targets across two nights, and no US base has been confirmed damaged despite Iranian claims across Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan — I break down the full exchange ledger, the NATO Ankara fallout, and the three scenarios for what comes next.

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Ukraine's Gift - Can Ukraine Save Europe From a Weakening NATO?

The US isn't just withdrawing troops from Europe — it's taking IAMD, ISR, and strategic airlift with it. Firebrand asks whether Ukraine's doctrine and production model can fill the void.

What Beijing Learned From 40 Days of Watching America Fight Iran and Why it Matters for Taiwan

Iran held the Strait. China took notes. The US military failed readiness goals on 42 of 45 aircraft. The 2027 Taiwan window is already open.