A Double Record in Sugar, Retail Fighting Hedge Funds in the Nasdaq, and the Sudden Return of the Gold Hedgers
A CoT update...
The Rogue Quant
Get backtested trading strategies with code and edge breakdowns, plus AI prompts to generate, validate, and refine profitable trading ideas.
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Six Signals This Year. Three Days Each. $15,190. (CoT Update + Full Trading Strategy)
Long-only crude, 203 trades, profit factor 2.26 and an entry condition that has nothing to do with oil's own positioning…
Oil Ran 27% in a Month. Then Its Biggest Bulls Stopped Adding. (CoT Update)
For the first time since the record, the physical players' book got smaller, on both sides. Here's what that means...
No Single Player Wins a World Cup. No Single Rule Wins This Backtest.
A bond short built from three conditions, none survives alone. Together: one losing year in seventeen, profit factor 1.91 net of costs.
Silver Has the Most Bullish Positioning on the Board. It's Down 21%. (CoT Update)
The same signal just called cocoa's break and crude's 15% rip. Silver is the exception and the lesson…
Buy the Dip, but Not Every Dip: One Filter Cut the Drawdown by 88%
A dead-simple EUR/JPY dip-buy strategy quadrupled its net profit with one filter (full code included)
The Market Doesn't Take Vacations (CoT Update)
But I did and this happened...
A CoT strategy on Crude Oil
Full code inside
Everything Sold At Once (CoT Update 06-12)
Oil, metals, grains, and crypto all fell together over four weeks. The slow institutional money was already positioned somewhere else.
Patient Money Stopped Acting Patient (CoT Update)
Real money bought the 10-Year, sold it, then bought it back. Equities stayed near the ceiling. Grains finally cracked. Bitcoin lost the floor.