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The Economics of Exposure

Why Spare Capacity Is Becoming Valuable Again

The Indonesian Economic Illusion

Why Centralized Control Is Eroding Real Growth

How Great Investors Design for Being Wrong

Every strategy carries an implicit theory of what being wrong means, and the durable ones make that theory explicit before the money is at risk.

The Label Is Part of the Food

Why Ultra-Processed Products Are About More Than Processing

The Wrong Yardstick

In the spring of 2004 I had a friend, I’ll call him Daniel, who did everything right.

The Sabotage Economy

How Infrastructure Failure Became a Multi-Billion Rand Industry in South Africa

The Real Reason South Korea’s Youth Stopped Dating

How Housing, Conscription, and Economic Risk Weaponized the Gender Gap

The World Is Running Out of Cheap Chocolate

For much of the last century, the chocolate business created value by putting distance between the cacao tree and the chocolate bar.

The Collapse of Measurement Latency

How Real-Time Analytics and Prediction Markets Are Redefining Modern Media and Speech

The Strong State’s Secret Is the Right to Say No

Governments are becoming faster, more centralized, and more automated.

The Band That Thrived on Being Hated

In November 2011 a University of Michigan graduate student named Dennis Guttman decided that Nickelback had no business representing Detroit.

The Industrial Policy Trap

How Semiconductor Subsidies Deepened the State’s Dependence on Monopoly Tech