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Rogue Systems Recon

Weekly systems-based analysis and forecasts focused on Ukraine's fight for freedom across core domains. Independent, non-partisan, backs Ukraine 100%.

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Lessons From Ukraine's Patient Oleksandrivka Counteroffensive

A not-so-secret counteroffensive achieved real results in Ukraine's south, and aptly illustrates the direction warfare is taking under the influence of Network Age tech

Stopping Moscow's Expanding War On Europe

A cruise missile flying 100km into Poland. An explosive drone targeting a Ukrainian transport aircraft in Germany. NATO has failed to deter - the time has come for Europe to strike back.

Putin's Weakest July Yet

2026 is not turning out to be a good year for the russians. Putin's zombie orcs keep shambling into the drone wall and dying in droves.

Cockroaches Against Toffs

The world system tends to rearrange around access to vital resources. Political and social systems are subordinate to the economy, which is presently defined by a massive class divide

Drapatyi's Turn Bringing Ragnarok To Moscow

Cracks in the Muscovite system are spreading faster than Putin's goons can patch them up. Ukraine holds the strategic initiative - for now.

Of Syrskyi And Federov: Fixing Ukraine's Land Forces

A serious rift in Ukraine's senior leadership exploded into full public view this week. Syrskyi's time is up. But his legacy and likely imminent removal open a door to the change Ukraine needs.

The Great Azov Turkey Shoot Of 2026

In just over a week, Ukrainian drone strikes have taken out over a hundred vessels in the Azov Sea. So much for the place being a russian lake after 2022. Ukraine is back, orcs.

How Putin Will Probably Fall - Maybe Soon

The russian empire faces a stark choice: retreat from Ukraine by the end of 2026, or face oblivion. It's not hyperbole or propaganda, but a basic law of history: after bungling a war, regimes fall.

Scrying the Shape of the Post-Postwar Order

The economic sub-system is in the driver's seat. Political and social factors are downstream.

Ukraine War Lessons: Retiring The Infantry

Of all the essential ingredients of combined arms warfare, the infantry is in the greatest need of a reboot to cope with the Network Age.