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ORCA's predictions

Follow a hedge fund owner navigating markets and adapting investment strategies conditional on current macro conditions.

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Record highs, Fed minutes ahead

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Another round, survey open

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A closer look at the Fed's new monetarism

A long summer read. Enjoy.

The survey is live!

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The collapse of AI momentum stocks

A hell of a week to finish off a hell of a month.

What a week: FOMC, earnings, PCE inflation, jobs

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Uh-oh: Dashboard changed regimes. Now it's Warsh's turn.

What to expect from FOMC next week

Testing the top, earnings take the wheel

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Credit and vol buying signals are up.

Also watch if gold starts trading with oil again.

CPI in the rearview mirror.

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