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Michael’s Newsletter

A source for information and statistics about American elections

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What Trump May Say During His Thursday Address on Election Integrity

Really, who knows what Trump will say?

How Did Virginia's African-American Communities Vote in the 2026 Virginia Redistricting Referendum?

Southern minority communities have a unique and long experience with redistricting.

2026 Florida Special Elections Analysis

A look at party registration turnout and candidate vote by voting method reveals challenges for Republicans

2026 Texas Primary Analysis

The Texas Secretary of State has posted its final pre-certified election results from their 2026 state primaries. The numbers may change slightly as election officials continue to adjudicate a few provisional and mail ballots, but enough data has been reported to draw some solid conclusions.

Texas Primary Early Voting Analysis

Democrats more engaged than Republicans

Texas Senate District 9 Analysis

A shift in preferences and turnout?

Virginia's Legislature Votes to Send Mid-Decade Redistricting Amendment to Voters

Why it's likely to pass and what it means nationally

Gallup's Yearly Party Identification Data Shows Big Partisan Changes

Further evidence from North Carolina's voter registration data (with a Pennsylvania update)

Turnout and Margin of Victory in the 2025 Statewide Partisan Races

Low Turnout Special Elections Do Have Useful Information

Turnout Rates for the 2025 Elections

With comparison to past elections and analysis