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Understanding the unseen

Making sense of a noisy, uncertain world with the author of 'The Rules of Contagion' and 'Proof'

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Do academic publishers see plagiarism as a mere misunderstanding?

An illustrative anecdote

Are we just collecting lots of AI-proof-shaped stamps?

Solving conjectures and collecting stamps

Faced with probability, AI can become a predictable parrot

How language shifts judgement

When it comes to uncertainty, AI research is lagging behind

How hidden assumptions can lead to confident conclusions

The problem with prediction in situations that demand action

Complacency and fatalism are common defaults to avoid doing something

Things I've been experimenting and reading recently

From footballers and Facebook to bananas and burden

Don’t 'never-skill' yourself with AI

If you rent your abilities from AI companies, other people can rent them too

No, the normal distribution isn't in your gym

And we should stop telling people it is

Benchmark bickering

Which AI model is ‘best’ at medicine?

Three bits of maths every parent needs to know

Searching for a useful formula, from arguments to tea to football stickers