Not Quite So Cosmic Influenza (part 9)
I use ARIMA time series techniques to assess my hot winter = less flu death hypothesis, and find it sore wanting
John Dee's Almanac
A former NHS Head of Department (Clinical Audit) and applied statistician who specialised in clinical outcomes explores the story of human health as seen through numbers.
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Latest episodes
Not Quite So Cosmic Influenza (part 8)
I look at the mean daily temperature range and develop an unseasonable winter weather indicator based on the central England temperature record
Not Quite So Cosmic Influenza (part 7)
Today I drop all the exotic cosmic stuff and take a look at the impact of plain old weather on influenza mortality over the period 1920 - 2022
Cosmic Influenza (part 6)
Today I continue with my ‘proper look’ at influenza and geomagnetic activity…
Cosmic Influenza (part 5)
Today I drop the sun, and expunge cosmic rays from the menu, and go in search of geomagnetic activity…
Cosmic Influenza (part 4)
Today I progress my study on influenza outbreaks by considering extreme mortality in relation to solar activity and cosmic ray flux over the period 1965 - 2022
Cosmic Influenza (part 3)
Today I progress my study on sunspot activity and influenza outbreaks by looking at the impact of the quiet sun on mature persons
Cosmic Influenza (part 2)
Today I progress my study on sunspot activity and influenza outbreaks. Be prepared for pretty much anything... and nothing…
Cosmic Influenza (part 1)
In this new series I examine the rather wild suggestion of a link between sunspot activity and influenza outbreaks. Please brace yourselves... it's a bit of a ride!
What I Got Up To In The NHS...
With spring softly but surely in the air I decided to revamp my moth-eaten CV by listing-out clinical projects I was involved in from 2001 to 2009. I didn't realise there were so many!