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Fraîche’s Substack · Apr 9, 2025

No but really.

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Fraîche Design Thinking · Fraîche’s Substack

  1. FOUNDER'S LETTER (posted 5 July 2024)

  2. CORE OFFERING (posted 2 September 2024)

  3. INDUSTRY SCAN (posted 9 October 2024)

  4. MARKET OVERVIEW (posted 15 November 2024)

  5. COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS (posted 4 January 2025)

  6. MARKETING PLAN (posted 12 February 2025)

  7. MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE (posted 13 March 2025)

  8. FINANCIAL MODEL (posted 9 April 2025)

  9. APPENDICES

The problem with financial modeling, you see, is that it depends a great deal on the future behaving somewhat like the past. A pro forma is simply a very large algebra equation where a great number of variables are assumed and held constant year-over-year—ceteris paribus, as they say—therefore you don’t model them. You don’t even mention them !

Thus, it can be irksome when some of those seemingly table-stakes-y type things transform substantially and unexpectedly and quickly. Global trade, for instance. Unforced fiscal folly may have been the blackest of swans…

Read the original on fraiche.substack.com

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