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Time Series Terminal’s Newsletter

Time Series Terminal (tsterm.com) analyses time series data to identify causal predictors and can accurately predict the range of a future value within financial markets.

tsterm.substack.comSource feed ↗10 posts

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2026-07: Industrials driving US stocks

As of end of July, KLA Corp KLAC, Ford F, Nvidia NVDA are computed to be driving the three US stock indices: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average.

tsterm.com will be updated weekly

tsterm.com used to be host on one web server.

2026-06: Industrials, esp semiconductor driving US stocks

The industrials, especially semiconductor, are computed to be driving the three US stock indices: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average.

2026-05: media and AI driving US stocks; AI driving global assets

The results are about the same as last month.

2026-04: media and AI driving US stocks; AI and material costs driving global assets

Media and AI are computed as top causal predictors of US three major stock indices: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, as of 2026-04-28 market close.

2026-03: Credit risk driving global assets

On the tsterm.com homepage, S&P Global Inc whose main business is credit rating is computed as causally predictive of the prices of global assets: equity, foreign exchange and bonds, etc.

2026-02: consumer inflation and wavering technology sector driving US equity

Pepsi PEP and the Technology Sector ETF XLK are computed as driving the US three stock indices: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average index.

2026-01: Industrial and weakening US dollar driving US stocks

Industrial, consumer inflation, and weakening US dollar are computed as top causal predictors of US stocks.

2025-12: Dow Jones Industrial Average index and 5-year US Treasury rate driving US equity

Dow Jones Industrial Average index and the 5-year US Treasury yield rate are computed to be driving the three US stock indices.

2025-11: currently peaked inflation and AAPL driving US equity

Some stocks embodying inflation recently peaked.