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Matein’s Substack

An analysis of global and Middle East financial market opportunities in real time.

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I am nominated as a finalist for Gulf Intelligence’s 2026 Energy Journalist of the year (Middle East) Award!

I am so honoured that my peers, who are the creme de la creme of financial journalism in the global and GCC media have nominated me for Gulf Intelligence’s annual Energy Journalist of the year (Middle East) Award.

Scott Bessent has tried and failed to rig the bond market and tanked the dollar!

Iran‘s military junta has now trapped Trump in the limbo of a forever war and will not let him wiggle out of it or his failed art of the deal over Hormuz which will not reopen for next six year...

Iran’s generals and the oil souq braise for a forever war in the Gulf. So should investors!

Trump now intends to impose the most draconian economic sanctions in history on an embattled Iran. I doubt if sanctions and asset freezes alone will dislodge the Pretorian Junta that has seized...

The Warsh Fed will do nothing to derail the rally in US bank shares

The protracted nature of the Iran war, the Powell Fed’s failure to meet its 2 percent price stability dual mandate targets for five years in a row, the worst energy supply shock since the 1970s and...

The coming endgame of the global macro and AI bubble

I reckon Iran’s attacks on tankers mean that Brent could well revisit its post $135 a barrel high this winter. Yet the Volatility Index on Wall Street is a mere 15, proving my point that the greed...

The case for Chinese equities in GCC family office allocations

The region ignores China’s $20 trillion economy at its peril

Saudi economy faces trifecta of problems from Houthi blockade

GDP and the budget deficit incur collateral damage from the IRGC’s twin acts of aggression

Africa and Asia are paying a high price for the Iran war

The collapse of Qatari fertiliser exports struck in the middle of the spring planting season

What the Iran war means for global bond market

The US Treasury curve is steepening, which is bad news for bond yields in the UK, France and emerging markets

As the war flares, Iraq’s economic dire straits deepen

The conflict has damaged oil exports and revenue, intensifying Baghdad’s fiscal crisis and deterring investment

Egypt’s currency comeback depends on US-Iran outlook

Lower oil prices, stronger reserves and renewed inflows have restored investor confidence, but risks remain

MGX catapults Abu Dhabi to centre of global AI evolution

The fund can play a pivotal role in the in-house development of the technology’s frontier models and applications

Meme stock or moonshot? SpaceX’s post-IPO risk matrix

The Musk company’s shares have fallen sharply after its spectacular lift-off but it cannot be valued by traditional metrics...