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The Foresight Brief · Jul 20, 2026

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Jan Oliver Schwarz · The Foresight Brief

You’ve been reading The Foresight Brief because you believe that understanding the future is a leadership responsibility, not a luxury.

Today, I want to share something I’ve been working toward for a long time.

Robust Leadership: Leading with Confidence into an Uncertain Future — the English edition, co-authored with Felix von Held — is now available via De Gruyter.

The leaders I work with aren’t struggling because they lack intelligence or experience. They’re struggling because the tools they were given — linear strategy, hierarchical culture, rulebook thinking — weren’t built for the world we’re actually living in.

Robust Leadership is our answer to that gap. It’s built on two empirical studies with nearly 500 leaders, and it presents a framework with two pillars:

Strategy & Foresight — the ability to sense weak signals, imagine alternative futures, challenge your own assumptions, and transfer insights into decisive action.

Values & Culture — a pyramid of Trust, Openness, Transparency, and Accountability that gives your organization the psychological foundation to act in uncertainty without losing cohesion.

One of the findings that surprised us most: the leaders who navigated disruption best weren’t necessarily the most experienced strategists. They were the ones who had built cultures where bad news traveled fast — where people felt safe enough to raise weak signals before they became crises.

That’s not a soft skill. That’s organizational architecture. And it’s learnable.

If this resonates — share it with one person in your network who leads in uncertainty. That’s how ideas like this travel.

And if you read the book, I’d love to hear what you think.

👉 Order here

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Read the original on janoliverschwarz.substack.com

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