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Fraser Nelson's notebook

Observations, out-takes and my data library

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Is Reform's £50bn welfare-cut plan credible?

It's about domestic PIP claimants, not migrants. But is Reform ready to take on its core voters?

How long can Burnham's TikTok honeymoon last?

The PM loves the camera and the sun is shining. But charm can't solve the unelected problem - and the first crisis will make TikTok look self-obsessed.

White plight

Social mobility in Britain works well for ethnic minorities - but what about whites?

New York and Glasgow: no mean cities

How inequalities within the cities compare

Reform’s Zia Yusuf problem

Can Nigel Farage control his policy chief?

Why the UK can't afford a National Care Service

We borrowed out way out of so many crises that we can't do it again

Andy Burnham's promising first week

Tax cuts, North Sea drilling, abolishing ID cards - what's not to like?

Can Andy Burnham end rough sleeping?

He didn't do it in Manchester. Why is promising to do it for England?

Lockdown and cancer - a look at the data

Yes, diagnoses fell. But data so far shows no evidence of a death surge

Farage and the Binface by-election

He wanted to take on the establishment. He has ended up with Count Binface