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2026 United States elections

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2026 United States elections
← 2024          2025          2026          2027          2028 →
Midterm elections
Election dayNovember 3
Incumbent president▌Donald Trump (R)
Next Congress120th
Senate elections
Seats contested35 of 100 seats
(33 seats of Class 2 + 2 special elections)
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio2026 United States Senate election in Alabama2026 United States Senate election in Alaska2026 United States Senate election in Arkansas2026 United States Senate election in Colorado2026 United States Senate election in Delaware2026 United States Senate election in Georgia2026 United States Senate election in Idaho2026 United States Senate election in Illinois2026 United States Senate election in Iowa2026 United States Senate election in Kansas2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky2026 United States Senate election in Louisiana2026 United States Senate election in Maine2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts2026 United States Senate election in Michigan2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota2026 United States Senate election in Mississippi2026 United States Senate election in Montana2026 United States Senate election in Nebraska2026 United States Senate election in New Hampshire2026 United States Senate election in New Jersey2026 United States Senate election in New Mexico2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina2026 United States Senate election in Oklahoma2026 United States Senate election in Oregon2026 United States Senate election in Rhode Island2026 United States Senate election in South Carolina2026 United States Senate election in South Dakota2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee2026 United States Senate election in Texas2026 United States Senate election in Virginia2026 United States Senate election in West Virginia2026 United States Senate election in Wyoming
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination[a]
     No election
House elections
Seats contestedAll 435 voting members
5 of 6 non-voting delegates
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Democratic incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Republican incumbent      Republican incumbent retiring or lost renomination
     Independent incumbent
     No incumbent[b]      Vacant[c]
Gubernatorial elections
Seats contested39 (36 states, 3 territories)
2026 Alabama gubernatorial election2026 Alaska gubernatorial election2026 Arizona gubernatorial election2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election2026 California gubernatorial election2026 Colorado gubernatorial election2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election2026 Florida gubernatorial election2026 Georgia gubernatorial election2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election2026 Idaho gubernatorial election2026 Illinois gubernatorial election2026 Iowa gubernatorial election2026 Kansas gubernatorial election2026 Maine gubernatorial election2026 Maryland gubernatorial election2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election2026 Michigan gubernatorial election2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election2026 Nevada gubernatorial election2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election2026 New York gubernatorial election2026 Ohio gubernatorial election2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election2026 Oregon gubernatorial election2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election2026 Texas gubernatorial election2026 Vermont gubernatorial election2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election2026 Guam gubernatorial election2026 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election2026 United States Virgin Islands gubernatorial election
Map of the incumbents:
     Democratic incumbent      Term-limited or retiring Democrat
     Republican incumbent      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Retiring Independent
     No election

Elections are scheduled to be held, in large part, on November 3, 2026, in the United States. In these midterm elections, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's nonconsecutive second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested to determine the 120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorial U.S. gubernatorial elections, attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.

The elections are taking place amid a series of federal investigations into the 2020 presidential election and into voter registration efforts, including the seizure of ballots from the Fulton County, Georgia, election center and an FBI search of the offices of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, an Ohio voter registration organization. Election experts and Democratic officials have characterized the investigations as efforts to intimidate election officials and voters ahead of the midterms, while the Justice Department has said the searches were court-authorized.[2][3]

Background and campaign

[edit]

In the 2024 United States presidential election, Republican nominee Donald Trump defeated Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. Key issues shaping the campaign included public concern for the post-pandemic recovery and rising inflation[4][5] as well as debates surrounding foreign policy, particularly regarding US involvement in foreign conflicts such as the Russo-Ukrainian war and the Israel-Hamas war.[6]

The second Trump administration has imposed tariffs on much of the world with the intent to re-industrialize America, a decision that received mixed reception. It was criticized by some experts[7][8] and global leaders[9][10] for worsening inflation rather than fighting it. The administration's immigration policies, including deportations by ICE due to strengthened funding via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, were also scrutinized by some experts and activists.[11][12]

The outbreak of the 2026 Iran war on February 28 introduced a further complicating factor, with rising gasoline prices and other economic challenges emerging as central electoral concerns.[13][14] Analysts argued that gasoline prices represented the most direct channel through which the costs of the Iran war were transmitted to American voters, and that domestic electoral pressure from fuel costs was a primary political driver behind the Trump administration's push toward a ceasefire ahead of the November midterms.[15]

The 2026 elections will be the first federal elections since the 2016 presidential contest where ABC News, CNN, CBS News, NBC News, the Associated Press and Fox News will use one election survey, The Voter Poll by SSRS (formerly the National Election Pool), to measure voters' opinions and preferences. From 2018 to 2024, the former four news networks continued to use data from the National Election Pool while the Associated Press and Fox News relied on AP VoteCast.[16][17]

Although Trump will not be listed as a candidate on any state ballot in 2026, voters' views of his presidency will likely be a factor in the election. During the 2025 off year elections, exit polls found that many voted in opposition to Trump or said that he was not a factor.[18] Surveys released in late 2025 and early 2026 find that many view Trump's handling of the economy and immigration, two issues that propelled him to victory in the 2024 election,[19][20] negatively.[21][22] During elections held in his first term, Trump was on the minds of many who voted.[23][24][25]

The Republican Party performed worse than expected in the November 2025 general elections. Democratic candidates Abigail Spanberger of Virginia and Mikie Sherrill of New Jersey won their gubernatorial races over their Republican opponents by larger than expected margins. Democrats performed strongly in the concurrent state legislative elections, winning a supermajority in the New Jersey General Assembly and expanding their majority in the Virginia House of Delegates. In New York City, Democrat Zohran Mamdani, a self-identified democratic socialist, was elected mayor in a three-way race against independent former governor Andrew Cuomo and Republican Curtis Sliwa. The main theme of the elections was the United States affordability crisis.[26]

Allegation of attempted election subversion

[edit]

In January 2026, The Washington Post reported that the second Trump administration had undertaken several tactics, including mid-decade redrawing of congressional districts for partisan gain, prosecution of political opponents, and a push to change voting methods and rules, that were meant to undermine confidence in the midterm elections.[27]

Trump floated the idea of canceling the elections, citing an expected loss in the elections and a distrust in democratic systems.[28] White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt later stated that Trump was "speaking facetiously", and was "simply joking".[29]

In February, Trump stated that the elections should be nationalized to prevent voter fraud.[30] A day later, Steve Bannon said the federal government was planning to send ICE to patrol polling stations in an attempt to prevent a Democratic victory, vowing to "never again allow an election to be stolen".[31] That month, the House of Representatives passed the SAVE America Act, an amended version of the previously proposed Safeguard American Voter Eligibility Act. The bill, if approved by the Senate and signed into law by Trump, would've required registering voters to provide proof of citizenship in order to obtain or renew their voter registration. Voting rights activists alleged that such provisions would disenfranchise married women, racial minorities, low-income groups, and people who legally changed their name, among others.[32][33][34] The bill ultimately died in the Senate that June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block its inclusion.[35][36]

On February 27, The Washington Post reported that several right-wing activists are working with the Trump administration to draft an executive order which, if signed, would effectively instate a national emergency and give Trump extended powers over the elections. Trump denied the existence of the executive order.[37]

The Justice Department also demanded voter registration data from states, suing 23 states and the District of Columbia that declined to provide unredacted voter rolls; all of the sued states were led by Democrats or had been won by Joe Biden in 2020.[38] In January 2026, U.S. District Judge David Carter dismissed the department's lawsuit against California, which had sought personal information including partial Social Security numbers for roughly 23 million registered voters, ruling that the demands violated privacy laws and writing that federal centralization of the data would have a "chilling effect" on voter registration; a federal judge dismissed a similar lawsuit against Oregon later that month.[39][38] The department appealed the California ruling to the Ninth Circuit; in June 2026, federal prosecutors in Los Angeles publicly accused the state of blocking a voter roll audit and said they were conducting election fraud investigations while ballots from the state's June primary were still being counted.[40]

In March, Stateline reported that legislation to "restrict immigration enforcement or the presence of federal forces" near polling places and other election sites has been offered or announced in California, Connecticut, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia and Washington.[41] The same month, the Associated Press reported that several Democratic-led states including New Mexico and Virginia are taking steps to counter potential tactics to intimidate voters.[42] In May, Ned Lamont, the governor of Connecticut, signed into law a bill that restricts immigration enforcement at locations including schools and places of worship. The legislation also prohibits law enforcement from wearing facial coverings or personal disguises.[43][44]

In January 2026, FBI agents executed a search warrant at the Fulton County, Georgia, election center, seizing approximately 600 boxes of ballots and other records from the 2020 presidential election, an action election law experts described as unprecedented federal intervention in locally administered elections.[45][2] Federal investigations of the 2020 election subsequently expanded to several states: the Office of the Director of National Intelligence procured voting machines in Puerto Rico for examination in February, federal officials subpoenaed records of the partisan review of Maricopa County, Arizona's 2020 results in March, the Justice Department demanded ballots cast in Wayne County, Michigan, in April, and FBI agents questioned former poll workers in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, in May.[2] David Becker, executive director of the Center for Election Innovation and Research, said the investigations were "about the 2026 and 2028 elections" rather than 2020, characterizing them as intimidation of election officials, while a former head of the Justice Department's Public Integrity Section said the administration appeared to be normalizing federal investigation of state elections in preparation for potentially challenging future results.[2] In June 2026, FBI agents searched the Cleveland offices of the Ohio Organizing Collaborative, a voter registration and community organizing group, seizing computers and questioning staff and volunteers across Ohio as part of a Justice Department investigation into the group's voter registration efforts; the Brennan Center for Justice said the search fit a pattern of federal inquiries targeting voting infrastructure ahead of the midterm elections.[3][46][47]

Louisiana v. Callais

[edit]
These paragraphs are an excerpt from Louisiana v. Callais § Analysis.[edit]

Analysts had predicted that a decision in Callais reducing the scope of the VRA could allow Republicans to gain a significant number of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives from redistricting in the Southeast, where the VRA has generally prevented Republican-controlled legislatures from maximizing their numbers of "safe" districts. The New York Times estimated that, if the Court weakened the VRA, up to twelve seats could shift from Democratic to Republican control.[48][49]

When the decision in Callais was announced, some media outlets characterized it as a "landmark" decision, predicting that the additional restrictions on Section 2 of the VRA would likely make challenges to redistricting significantly more difficult. Some analysts expect it will allow southern states to eliminate majority-minority districts, possibly changing election outcomes.[50][51][52][53] The decision was seen by some lawyers as the culmination of a long-time grudge of Roberts against the VRA,[54][55][56] while media outlets considered the decision as rendering the VRA all but dead and harming the country's democratic process.[57][58] Other commentators considered the ruling to start a new era of Jim Crow laws, allowing for legal discrimination of minorities.[59][60] The court's opinion was expected to affect all levels of government including state and local governments.[61][62][63][64]

An analysis from The Guardian found that Justice Alito's claim that Black voter turnout had surpassed white voter turnout in two of the five most recent presidential elections, both nationally and in Louisiana, was based on misleading data and questionable methodology. Alito cited the brief from the Department of Justice which used "a proportion of the total population of each racial group over the age of 18"; however, that approach is "not favored by experts", who instead use "voter turnout as a proportion of the citizen voting age population or the voter eligible population." Following the latter analysis, the gap in voter turnout has actually widened, with Black voter turnout dropping since 2012, particularly after the Supreme Court's opinion in Shelby County v. Holder which struck down the preclearance formula defined in Section 4(b) of the VRA for states with historical discrimination concerns including Louisiana.[65][66]

Federal elections

[edit]

Senate elections

[edit]

35 seats in the United States Senate will be up for election, including all 33 Class 2 seats. Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats. Two Democratic-held seats, Georgia and Michigan, are in states won by Donald Trump in the previous presidential election, while Maine is the only Republican-held seat in a state won by Kamala Harris.

Special elections

[edit]

Two special elections will be held to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the 119th Congress:

House of Representatives elections

[edit]

All 435 voting seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for election. Additionally, elections will be held to select the non-voting delegate for the District of Columbia and the non-voting delegates from 4 of the 5 U.S. territories, excluding Puerto Rico due to its non-voting delegate serving a 4-year term. There are 16 Democratic incumbents in districts Donald Trump won, while only 8 Republican incumbents are in seats won by Harris.[69]

The House map features a number of new congressional maps: Ohio and Utah will have new, court-mandated congressional districts this cycle; Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas redrew their maps mid-cycle; and the district map was changed in California following the passage of Prop 50.[70][71][72][73][74]

Special elections

[edit]

At least seven special elections to the House of Representatives were or will be held in 2026.

Generic congressional ballot aggregate polls

[edit]
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Republicans Democrats Other/
Undecided[d]		 Margin
Decision Desk HQ[85] January 9, 2025 – August 24, 2026 August 27, 2026 40.0% 46.1% 13.9% Democrats +6.1%
FiftyPlusOne[86] January 9, 2025 – August 24, 2026 August 27, 2026 43.4% 49.5% 7.1% Democrats +6.1%
RealClearPolitics[87] July 22 – August 24, 2026 August 27, 2026 41.8% 48.2% 10.0% Democrats +6.4%
Silver Bulletin[88] January 9, 2025 – August 24, 2026 August 27, 2026 41.7% 48.3% 9.8% Democrats +6.6%
VoteHub[89] January 9, 2025 – August 24, 2026 August 27, 2026 41.3% 47.3% 11.4% Democrats +6.0%
Race to the WH[90] January 9, 2025 – August 24, 2026 August 27, 2026 41.9% 47.9% 10.2% Democrats +6.0%
Average August 27, 2026 41.7% 47.9% 10.4% Democrats +6.2%

State elections

[edit]
Lieutenant gubernatorial elections
     Term-limited Democrat      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Attorney general elections
     Term-limited Democrat      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Secretary of state elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat      Republican term-limited, retiring, or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Treasurer elections
     Term-limited or retiring Democrat      Republican term-limited or lost renomination
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election
Auditor elections
     Retiring Democrat      Term-limited Republican
     Democratic incumbent      Republican incumbent
     No election

Gubernatorial elections

[edit]

36 states and three territories will be holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections. The governors of 15 states and two territories will be term-limited.

Lieutenant gubernatorial elections

[edit]

Nine states will be holding regularly scheduled lieutenant gubernatorial elections.

Attorney general elections

[edit]

30 states, two territories, and one federal district will be holding regularly scheduled attorney general elections.

Secretary of state elections

[edit]

26 states will be holding regularly scheduled secretary of state elections.

Treasurer elections

[edit]

27 states will be holding regularly scheduled treasurer elections.

Auditor elections

[edit]

23 states will be holding regularly scheduled auditor elections.

Legislative elections

[edit]

88 state legislative chambers and 5 territorial chambers will be holding regularly scheduled elections.

State judicial elections

[edit]

Elections are scheduled to be held in 2026, in various states across the country, including supreme courts and appellate courts.

Ballot measures

[edit]

100 ballot measures in 37 states will be held in the November election.[91]

Local elections

[edit]

Mayoral elections

[edit]

A number of major cities will hold mayoral elections in 2026.

Incumbents re-elected

[edit]

Incumbents defeated

[edit]
  • River Falls, Wisconsin: One-term incumbent Republican Dan Toland was defeated for re-election by Democrat Alison Page.[98] Democratic gain

Open seats won

[edit]

Incumbents running for re-election

[edit]

Eligible incumbents

[edit]

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

[edit]

County elections

[edit]

Defeated incumbents

[edit]

Open seats won

[edit]

Eligible incumbents

[edit]

Ineligible or retiring incumbents

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

2025–2026

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[e]		 Margin
of error		 Democratic
 Republican
 Other/
Undecided		 Lead
Emerson College[127] August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 43% 6% 8%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][129] August 14–17, 2026 876 (RV) ± 3.4% 41% 36% 23%[f] 5%
1,166 (A) ± 2.9% 35% 30% 35%[g]
The Bullfinch Group[130] August 14–17, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 37% 21%[h] 5%
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 45% 40% 15%[h]
Echelon Insights[131] August 13–17, 2026 1,002 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Morning Consult[132] August 10–16, 2026 29,719 (RV) ± 0.6% 46% 42% 12% 4%
Focaldata/Financial Times[133] August 7–11, 2026 1,857 (LV) – 51% 45% 4%[i] 6%
1,913 (RV) 49% 43% 8%[j]
2,152 (A) 48% 41% 11%[k] 7%
AlphaROC[134][A] August 8–10, 2026 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 41% 37% 22%[l] 4%
The Economist/YouGov[135] August 7–10, 2026 1,419 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 40% 14%[m] 6%
1,558 (A) 40% 32% 28%[n] 8%
Morning Consult[132] August 3–9, 2026 29,719 (RV) ± 0.6% 47% 42% 11% 5%
Cygnal (R)[136] August 6–7, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 42% 9% 7%
John Zogby Strategies[137] August 4–5, 2026 921 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 40% 9% 11%
Quantus Insights (R)[138] August 3–4, 2026 1,048 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 43% 8% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[139] July 31 – August 3, 2026 1,472 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 42% 12%[m] 4%
1,607 (A) 41% 33% 26%[o] 8%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][140] July 29 – August 3, 2026 3,542 (RV) ± 1.7% 42% 37% 21%[p] 5%
4,505 (A) ± 1.5% 36% 30% 34%[q] 6%
Morning Consult[132] July 27 – August 2, 2026 24,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 46% 42% 12% 4%
Big Data Poll (R)[141] July 27–29, 2026 2,617 (LV) ± 1.7% 50%[r] 39% 10%[s] 11%
48% 37% 15%[t]
2,922 (RV) ± 1.8% 49%[r] 38% 13%[u]
46% 35% 19%[v] 9%
Marquette University Law School[142] July 22–29, 2026 572 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 45% 4%[w] 6%
886 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 44% 10%[x] 2%
1,076 (A) ± 3.2% 45% 41% 14%[y] 4%
CNN/SSRS[143] July 23–27, 2026 914 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 39% 14% 8%
Quinnipiac University[144] July 23–27, 2026 963 (RV) ± 4.1% 48% 41% 11% 7%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][145] July 24–26, 2026 1,003 (RV) ± 3.2% 40% 38% 22%[z] 2%
1,246 (A) ± 2.9% 36% 32% 32%[aa] 4%
Morning Consult[132] July 20–26, 2026 24,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 46% 43% 11% 3%
The Argument/Verasight[146] July 20–26, 2026 3,000 (RV) ± 2.0% 54%[r] 46% – 8%
48% 40% 12%
CBS News/YouGov[147] July 22–24, 2026 1,474 (RV) – 47% 40% 13%[ab] 7%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[148] July 17–22, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 6% 10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[149] July 15–21, 2026 1,000 (LV) – 46% 44% 10% 2%
Emerson College[150] July 19–20, 2026 1,100 (LV) ± 2.9% 53% 42% 5% 11%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[151][B]		 July 17–20, 2026 1,003 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 46% 1% 7%
The Economist/YouGov[152] July 17–20, 2026 1,432 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 41% 13%[ac] 5%
1,602 (A) 39% 33% 28%[ad] 6%
Morning Consult[132] July 17–19, 2026 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Focaldata[153][C] July 14–20, 2026 2,064 (A) — 44% 36% 20%[ae] 8%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[154] July 14–17, 2026 1,364 (RV) – 50% 43% 7% 7%
1,514 (A) ± 2.6% 48% 42% 10% 6%
AlphaROC[155][A] July 13–14, 2026 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 42% 37% 21%[l] 6%
RMG Research[156][D] July 6–14, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 45% 8%[af] 2%
Morning Consult[132] July 10–13, 2026 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[157] July 10–13, 2026 1,447 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 42% 12%[ag] 4%
1,612 (A) 39% 35% 24%[ad]
Echelon Insights[158] July 9–13, 2026 1,004 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 44% 6% 6%
The Washington Post/Ipsos[159][160] July 8–13, 2026 1,483 (LV) ± 2.6% 53% 45% 2% 8%
2,092 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 45% 7% 3%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[161] July 11–12, 2026 1,776 (RV) ± 2.3% 50% 50% – Tie
– (LV) – 51% 49% – 2%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[162][E]		 July 8–12, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 45% 6% 4%
Pew Research Center[163] July 6–12, 2026 2,779 (RV) ± 2.2% 43% 37% 20%[ah] 6%
HarrisX/2WAY[164] July 9–10, 2026 787 (LV) – 47% 44% 9%[ai] 3%
51% 49% – 2%
1,019 (RV) 44% 41% 15%[i] 3%
52% 48% – 4%
Quantus Insights (R)[165] July 3–7, 2026 1,140 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 42% 11% 5%
Morning Consult[132] June 29 – July 5, 2026 24,000 (RV) ± 1.0% 46% 42% 12% 4%
Manhattan Institute[166] July 1–6, 2026 1,121 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 43% 10% 4%
Zogby Analytics[167] July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) ± 3.1% 42% 36% 22%[aj] 6%
Talker Research[168][F] June 25 – July 2, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 48% 39% 13%[ak] 9%
Cygnal (R)[169] June 30 – July 1, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% 44% 6% 6%
Focaldata/Financial Times[170] June 26–30, 2026 1,723 (RV) – 51% 44% 5%[al] 7%
1,795 (RV) 49% 42% 9%[am]
2,016 (A) 47% 39% 14%[an] 8%
The Economist/YouGov[171] June 26–29, 2026 1,426 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 42% 13%[ao] 3%
1,603 (A) 37% 35% 27%[o] 2%
AlphaROC[172][A] June 27–28, 2026 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 43% 37% 20%[l] 7%
Morning Consult[132] June 26–28, 2026 2,202 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
Big Data Poll (R)[173] June 26–28, 2026 2,604 (LV) ± 1.8% 50%[r] 41% 9%[ap] 9%
48% 39% 13%[aq]
2,971 (RV) ± 1.7% 47%[r] 39% 14%[ar] 8%
45% 37% 18%[t]
Morning Consult[132] June 22–28, 2026 24,000 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
ActiVote[174] June 6–28, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 47% – 6%
Morning Consult/Cato Institute[175] June 25–26, 2026 1,797 (RV) – 45% 39% 16%[as] 6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[176] June 17–23, 2026 1,000 (LV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Morning Consult[132] June 19–22, 2026 – (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[177] June 19–22, 2026 1,517 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 43% 12%[ao] 2%
1,679 (A) 38% 35% 27%[at] 3%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][178] June 18–22, 2026 978 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 36% 23%[au] 5%
1,262 (A) ± 2.8% 35% 31% 34%[av] 4%
Echelon Insights[179] June 18–22, 2026 1,008 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 45% 3% 6%
Quinnipiac University[180] June 18–22, 2026 1,165 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 42% 9% 7%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[181] June 17–22, 2026 1,896 (RV) – 50% 43% 7% 7%
2,087 (A) ± 2.2% 48% 42% 10% 6%
Data for Progress (D)[182] May 15 – June 21, 2026 5,809 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5% 7%
Quantus Insights (R)[183] June 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 43% 10%[aw] 4%
The Bullfinch Group[184][A] June 12–16, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 36% 20%[ax] 8%
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 43% 34% 23%[ay] 9%
The Economist/YouGov[185] June 13–15, 2026 1,402 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 44% 10%[ao] 2%
1,547 (A) 39% 36% 25%[at] 3%
Echelon Insights[186] June 11–14, 2026 1,012 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 44% 6% 6%
Morning Consult[132] June 8–14, 2026 24,000 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
Emerson College[187] June 7–8, 2026 1,200 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 40% 10% 10%
The Economist/YouGov[188] June 5–8, 2026 1,393 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 41% 14%[ac] 4%
1,567 (A) 37% 33% 30%[az]
Reuters/Ipsos[128][189] June 3–8, 2026 3,578 (RV) ± 1.7% 41% 37% 22% 4%
4,531 (A) ± 1.5% 35% 31% 34%[ba] 4%
Morning Consult[132] June 1–7, 2026 24,849 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[190][G]		 May 29 – June 7, 2026 2,400 (RV) ± 2.0% 49% 44% 7% 5%
HarrisX/Forbes[191] May 20 – June 7, 2026 1,565 (LV) – 46% 45% 9%[ai] 1%
1,876 (RV) 44% 43% 13%[bb]
2,010 (A) ± 2.2% 43% 42% 15%[bb]
Research Co.[192] June 4–6, 2026 1,001 (A) – 38% 33% 29%[bc] 5%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[193] May 28 – June 5, 2026 1,045 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 45% 7% 3%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square[194]		 June 1–4, 2026 2,585 (RV) ± 1.9% 47% 41% 12% 6%
RMG Research[195][D] June 1–4, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 49% 45% 6%[af] 4%
Cygnal (R)[196] June 2–3, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 44% 7% 5%
The Argument/Verasight[197] May 29 – June 3, 2026 3,008 (RV) – 53%[r] 47% – 6%
Quantus Insights (R)[198] June 1–2, 2026 1,050 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 42% 11%[aw] 5%
The Winston Group (R)[199][H] May 30 – June 2, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 41% 11% 7%
The Bullfinch Group[200] May 29 – June 2, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 36% 22%[bd] 6%
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 41% 34% 25%[bd] 7%
Focaldata/Financial Times[201] May 29 – June 1, 2026 1,483 (RV) – 50% 45% 5%[al] 5%
1,537 (RV) 48% 43% 9%[am]
1,718 (A) 45% 42% 12%[be] 3%
The Economist/YouGov[202] May 29 – June 1, 2026 1,452 (RV) ± 3.2% 46% 42% 12%[ag] 4%
1,603 (A) 41% 35% 24%[bf] 6%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[203] May 29–31, 2026 1,725 (RV) ± 2.4% 51% 49% – 2%
– (LV) – 52% 48% – 4%
Morning Consult[132] May 25–31, 2026 – (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
I&I/TIPP Insights (R)[204] May 26–28, 2026 1,332 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 41% 13% 5%
Big Data Poll (R)[205] May 24–27, 2026 2,784 (LV) ± 1.8% 51%[r] 38% 10%[s] 13%
49% 36% 16%[t]
3,121 (RV) ± 1.7% 50%[r] 37% 13%[u]
47% 34% 19%[v]
The Economist/YouGov[206] May 22–26, 2026 1,393 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 41% 13%[ao] 5%
1,514 (A) 39% 33% 28%[bg] 6%
Marquette University Law School[207] May 20–26, 2026 576 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 48% 3% 1%
857 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 9%[bh]
1,001 (A) ± 3.4% 45% 41% 14%[y] 4%
Pennsylvania State University/YouGov[208] May 19–26, 2026 862 (RV) ± 4.0% 41% 37% 22%[bi] 4%
Emerson College[209] May 24–25, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 41% 9% 9%
John Zogby Strategies[210] May 21–22, 2026 – (LV) – 49% 42% 9% 7%
Morris Predictive Insights/Verasight[211][I] May 18–20, 2026 2,000 (A) ± 2.7% 52% 41% 7%[bj] 11%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[212] May 13–20, 2026 2,161 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 41% 12%[bk] 6%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[213] May 18–19, 2026 1,413 (RV) – 51% 43% 6% 8%
1,520 (A) ± 2.7% 51% 41% 8% 10%
The Rainey Center[214] May 17–18, 2026 1,010 (RV) ± 3.3% 45% 43% 12%[bl] 6%
Data for Progress (D)[215] May 15–18, 2026 1,149 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 43% 6% 8%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][216] May 15–18, 2026 984 (RV) ± 3.2% 39% 38% 23% 1%
1,271 (A) ± 2.8% 35% 31% 34%[g] 4%
The Economist/YouGov[217] May 15–18, 2026 1,375 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 43% 11%[ao] 3%
1,543 (A) 40% 35% 25%[bg] 5%
Echelon Insights[218] May 14–18, 2026 1,008 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 43% 6% 8%
Quinnipiac University[219] May 14–18, 2026 1,106 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% 11% 11%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[220] May 12–18, 2026 1,000 (LV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
Impact Research (D)/
National Research Inc. (R)[221][J]		 May 7–18, 2026 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 48% 40% 12% 8%
Morning Consult[132] May 15–17, 2026 2,203 (RV) – 47% 41% 12% 6%
Morning Consult[132] May 11–17, 2026 28,525 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
CBS News/YouGov[222] May 13–15, 2026 1,397 (RV) – 45% 40% 15%[ab] 5%
New York Times/Siena College[223] May 11–15, 2026 1,507 (RV)  – 50%[r] 39% 11% 11%
The Economist/YouGov[224] May 9–11, 2026 1,406 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 40% 15%[bm] 5%
1,547 (A) 37% 34% 29%[bf] 3%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][225] May 8–11, 2026 993 (RV) – 41% 35% 24% 6%
1,254 (A) ± 2.9% 36% 31% 33%[bn] 5%
AtlasIntel[226] May 4–7, 2026 2,069 (A) ± 2.0% 55% 40% 5%[af] 15%
Cygnal (R)[227][K] May 4–7, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 41% 11% 7%
Cygnal (R)[228] May 5–6, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 42% 9% 7%
RMG Research[229][D] May 4–6, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 50% 41% 9%[bo] 9%
HarrisX/Forbes[230] April 29 – May 5, 2026 1,891 (LV) – 48% 42% 10%[bp] 6%
2,359 (RV) 46% 41% 13%[ai] 5%
2,569 (A) ± 1.9% 46% 40% 14%[i] 6%
Focaldata/Financial Times[231] May 1–5, 2026 3,017 (RV) – 52% 44% 4% 8%
3,167 (RV) 49% 42% 9%[bq] 7%
3,612 (A) 46% 39% 15%[br]
The Economist/YouGov[232] May 1–4, 2026 1,406 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 41% 15%[m] 3%
1,703 (A) 38% 34% 28%[bs] 4%
CNN/SSRS[233] April 30 – May 4, 2026 – (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 42% 13%[bt] 3%
Morning Consult[132] April 30 – May 3, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Marist University[234][L] April 27–30, 2026 1,155 (RV) ± 3.3% 52% 42% 6%[bu] 10%
Big Data Poll (R)[235] April 25–28, 2026 2,874 (LV) ± 1.7% 50%[r] 39% 10%[s] 11%
47% 37% 16%[bv] 10%
3,176 (RV) ± 1.8% 48%[r] 38% 13%[u] 10%
45% 35% 20%[t]
The Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[236] April 24–28, 2026 2,059 (RV) ± 2.2% 49% 44% 6%[bw] 5%
The Economist/YouGov[237] April 24–27, 2026 1,645 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 41% 13%[m] 5%
1,834 (A) 39% 34% 27%[bx]
Reuters/Ipsos[128][238] April 24–27, 2026 1,014 (RV) ± 3.2% 41% 37% 22% 4%
1,269 (A) ± 2.9% 36% 31% 33%[by] 5%
Morning Consult[132] April 24–27, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[239][M] April 21–27, 2026 1,000 (RV) – 44% 41% 15% 3%
Emerson College[240] April 24–26, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 40% 10% 10%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[241] April 23–26, 2026 2,745 (RV) ± 1.9% 50% 50% – Tie
– (LV) –
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[242] April 15–24, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Quantus Insights (R)[243] April 21–23, 2026 1,452 (LV) ± 2.6% 47% 42% 11%[aw] 5%
The Argument/Verasight[244] April 20–23, 2026 1,516 (RV) ± 2.7% 53%[r] 47% – 6%
47% 40% 13% 7%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[245][B]		 April 17–20, 2026 1,001 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 47% 1% 5%
Echelon Insights[246] April 17–20, 2026 1,012 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 44% 6% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[247] April 17–20, 2026 1,549 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 40% 15%[ac] 5%
1,703 (A) 39% 33% 28%[bg] 6%
Reuters/Ipsos[248][128] April 15–20, 2026 3,577 (RV) – 41% 38% 21% 3%
4,557 (A) ± 1.5% 35% 31% 34%[av] 4%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[249][E]		 April 15–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 49% 45% 6% 4%
KFF[250] April 14–19, 2026 1,107 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 34% 23% [bz] 9%
Morning Consult[132] April 13–19, 2026 27,869 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
John Zogby Strategies[251] April 17–18, 2026 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 44% 8%[ca] 4%
Marquette University Law School[252] April 8–16, 2026 576 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 43% 4% 10%
870 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 44% 8%[cb] 4%
982 (A) ± 3.4% 44% 41% 15%[cc] 3%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)[253] April 8–15, 2026 2,000 (RV) – 48% 40% 12%[bp] 8%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[254] April 8–15, 2026 1,000 (LV) – 47% 43% 10% 4%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[255] April 10–14, 2026 1,386 (RV) – 50% 43% 7% 7%
1,514 (A) ± 2.6% 49% 41% 10% 8%
Survey 160[256] April 8–13, 2026 1,539 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 37% 16% 10%
Morning Consult[132] April 6–12, 2026 12,505 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
Tavern Research (D)[257] April 6–9, 2026 502 (LV) – 44% 43% 13% 1%
Morning Consult[132] April 6–9, 2026 2,200 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
RMG Research[258][D] April 6–9, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 49%[r] 44% 7%[bo] 5%
45% 42% 3%
Echelon Insights[259][N] April 3–9, 2026 2,880 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Morning Consult[132] April 3–4, 2026 2,203 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[260] April 3–6, 2026 1,558 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 42% 14%[m] 2%
1,745 (A) 38% 36% 26%[bf]
Cygnal (R)[261] April 2–3, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 43% 8% 6%
Morning Consult[132] March 30 – April 5, 2026 12,505 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 2%
UMass Lowell/YouGov[262] March 26–30, 2026 1,000 (A) ± 4.1% 38% 35% 27%[cd] 3%
CNN/SSRS[263] March 26–30, 2026 951 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 42% 10% [ce] 6%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[264] March 25–26, 2026 2,009 (RV) ± 2.0% 51% 49% – 2%
– (LV) – 52% 48% 4%
Quantus Insights (R)[265] March 25–26, 2026 1,472 (LV) ± 2.8% 47% 41% 12%[bu] 6%
Big Data Poll (R)[266] March 22–24, 2026 3,003 (RV) ± 1.9% 48%[r] 40% 12%[cf] 8%
45% 37% 18%[t]
The Economist/YouGov[267] March 20–23, 2026 1,501 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% 12%[m] 3%
1,664 (A) 39% 36% 25%[bs]
Quinnipiac University[268] March 19–23, 2026 1,191 (RV) ± 3.6% 51% 40% 9% 11%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[269] March 16–23, 2026 2,222 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 42% 13%[cg] 3%
Yale Youth Poll[270] March 9–23, 2026 3,429 (RV) ± 1.4% 46% 44% 10% 2%
Reuters/Ipsos[271][128] March 20–22, 2026 985 (RV) – 40% 38% 22% 2%
1,272 (A) ± 2.8% 35% 31% 34%[ba] 4%
Morning Consult[272][O] March 17–22, 2026 15,029 (A) ± 1.0% 47% 42% 11% 5%
Morning Consult[132] March 16–22, 2026 26,406 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
Impact Research (D)/
BSP Research (D)[273][P]		 March 10–20, 2026 1,000 (LV) – 45% 41% 14%[ch] 4%
Reuters/Ipsos[274][128] March 17–19, 2026 1,206 (RV) – 40% 37% 23% 3%
1,545 (A) ± 2.5% 35% 32% 33%[ci]
John Zogby Strategies[275] March 17–18, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 8%[cj] Tie
Quantus Insights (R)[276] March 17–18, 2026 1,064 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 42% 11%[ck] 5%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[277] March 16–18, 2026 1,370 (RV) – 49% 43% 8% 6%
1,530 (A) ± 2.5% 48% 41% 11% 7%
Emerson College[278] March 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% 9% 7%
The Winston Group (R)[279][H] March 15–17, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11% 9%
The Argument/Verasight[280] March 12–17, 2026 1,519 (RV) ± 2.7% 54%[r] 46% – 8%
46% 40% 14% 6%
Morning Consult[132] March 13–16, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 48% 40% 12% 8%
The Economist/YouGov[281] March 13–16, 2026 1,427 (RV) ± 3.2% 43% 41% 16%[ag] 2%
1,593 (A) 39% 35% 26%[cl] 4%
Yahoo News/YouGov[282] March 12–16, 2026 1,147 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16%[ag]
Echelon Insights[283] March 12–16, 2026 1,033 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 44% 7% 5%
Survey 160[284] March 9–15, 2026 1,546 (RV) ± 3.2% 48% 38% 14% 10%
Morning Consult[132] March 9–15, 2026 26,63 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
Focaldata[285] March 6–10, 2026 1,456 (RV) – 50% 44% 6%[cm] 6%
1,534 (RV) 48% 42% 10%[cn]
1,782 (A) 45% 39% 16%[co]
The Economist/YouGov[286] March 6–9, 2026 1,403 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 42% 13%[ao] 3%
1,561 (A) 40% 36% 24%[bf] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[287] March 4–9, 2026 1,000 (LV) – 47% 43% 10% 4%
Morning Consult[132] March 2–8, 2026 25,948 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[288] February 26 – March 7, 2026 1,004 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 43% 10% 4%
RMG Research[289][D] March 2–5, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 46%[r] 46% 8%[bo] Tie
44% 43% 13%[bo] 1%
Cygnal (R)[290] March 3–4, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 6% 4%
Marist University[291][L] March 2–4, 2026 1,392 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% 3%[cp] 9%
Quantus Insights (R)[292] March 2–3, 2026 1,624 (LV) ± 2.6% 48%[r] 42% 10%[bk] 6%
46% 41% 13%[bk] 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[293][Q]		 February 27 – March 3, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 44% 6% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[294] February 27 – March 2, 2026 1,363 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% 14%[ao] 4%
1,512 (A) 40% 33% 27%[bx] 7%
Morning Consult[132] February 23 – March 1, 2026 – (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
The Public Sentiment Institute[295] February 28, 2026 249 (LV) ± 5.5% 50% 41% 7%[cq] 9%
316 (RV) 41% 33% 26%[cr] 8%
CBS News/YouGov[296] February 25–27, 2026 1,523 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 40% 15%[cs] 5%
I&I/TIPP Insights (R)[297] February 24–27, 2026 1,264 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 44% 10% 2%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[298] February 25–26, 2026 1,999 (RV) ± 2.0% 50% 50% – Tie
– (LV)
Cygnal (R)[299][R] February 24–26, 2026 1,048 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 45% 7% 3%
GrayHouse (R)[300][S] February 20–23, 2026 1,394 (RV) ± 2.6% 43% 40% 17%
The Economist/YouGov[301] February 20–23, 2026 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 41% 14% 4%
Echelon Insights[302] February 19–23, 2026 1,002 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4%
Pennsylvania State University/YouGov[303] February 18–23, 2026 824 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 37% 21%[ct] 5%
Reuters/Ipsos[304][128] February 18–23, 2026 3,686 (RV) ± 2.0% 40% 38% 22% 2%
4,638 (A) ± 1.5% 35% 32% 34%[cu] 3%
Emerson College[305] February 21–22, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% 8% 8%
Morning Consult[132] February 20–22, 2026 2,202 (RV) – 46% 42% 12% 4%
Global Strategy Group (D)[306][T] February 17–22, 2026 1,051 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 40% 12% 8%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[307] February 18–20, 2026 1,401 (RV) – 52% 42% 6% 10%
1,566 (A) ± 2.5% 50% 40% 10%
Talker Research[308][F] February 13–19, 2026 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 42% 36% 22%[cv] 6%
Big Data Poll (R)[309][U] February 16–18, 2026 2,012 (RV) ± 2.1% 48%[r] 40% 12%[cf] 8%
45% 37% 18%[bv]
1,805 (LV) ± 2.3% 50%[r] 41% 9%[ap] 9%
48% 39% 13%[bv]
BGSU/YouGov[310] February 13–18, 2026 1,200 (RV) ± 3.2% 49% 41% 10% 8%
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[311] February 12–17, 2026 2,087 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 45% 8%[cw] 2%
2,589 (A) ± 2.0% 43% 39% 18%[cx] 4%
The Economist/YouGov[312] February 13–16, 2026 1,509 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%[ao] 7%
1,678 (A) 39% 33% 28%[at] 6%
Reuters/Ipsos[128][313] February 13–16, 2026 846 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 37% 14% 4%
1,117 (A) 36% 32% 32%[cy]
Morning Consult[132] February 13–16, 2026 2,200 (RV) – 45% 43% 12% 2%
Quantus Insights (R)[314] February 12–13, 2026 1,515 (LV) ± 2.5% 48%[r] 42% 10%[cz] 6%
41% 39% 20%[cz] 2%
RMG Research[315][D] February 9–12, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 45%[r] 47% 8%[bo] 2%
41% 44% 15%[bo] 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov[316] February 9–12, 2026 1,149 (RV) – 44% 41% 15%[m] 3%
Focaldata[317] February 10, 2026 – (LV) – 51% 44% 5%[cm] 7%
– (RV) 49% 44% 7%[da] 5%
46% 42% 12%[db] 4%
– (A) 42% 38% 20%[dc]
The Argument/Verasight[318] February 4–10, 2026 3,003 (RV) ± 2.0% 53%[r] 47% – 6%
46% 41% 13% 5%
Morning Consult[132] February 6–9, 2026 2,200 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[319] February 6–9, 2026 1,549 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 38% 18%[ag] 6%
1,728 (A) 39% 31% 30%[o] 8%
Morning Consult[132] February 2–8, 2026 29,303 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
John Zogby Strategies[320] February 4–5, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 42% 11%[dd] 5%
Cygnal (R)[321] February 3–4, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% 8% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[322] January 30 – February 2, 2026 1,501 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% 16%[m]
1,668 (A) 36% 34% 30%[n] 2%
Morning Consult[132] January 30 – February 1, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 47% 42% 11% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[323] January 29–30, 2026 652 (RV) – 48% 41% 11% 7%
Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[324] January 28–29, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.0% 54%[r] 46% – 8%
41% 41% 18%[de] Tie
– (LV) – 52%[r] 48% – 4%
47% 44% 9%[df] 3%
I&I/TIPP Insights (R)[325] January 27–28, 2026 1,126 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 42% 13%
Cygnal (R)[326] January 27–28, 2026 1,004 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 44% 8% 4%
Marquette University Law School[327] January 21–28, 2026 577 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 45% 3%[dg] 7%
869 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 44% 8%[bh] 4%
1,003 (A) ± 3.4% 45% 39% 16%[dh] 6%
The Argument/Verasight[328] January 26–27, 2026 1,515 (RV) ± 2.7% 52%[r] 48% – 4%
46% 42% 12%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[329] January 21–27, 2026 1,000 (RV) – 46% 44% 10% 2%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[330][B]		 January 23–26, 2026 1,005 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[331] January 23–26, 2026 1,519 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 38% 19%[di] 5%
1,683 (A) 38% 35% 27%[dj] 3%
Echelon Insights[332] January 22–26, 2026 1,029 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 44% 7% 5%
Reuters/Ipsos[128] January 23–25, 2026 906 (RV) – 41% 37% 22% 4%
Morning Consult[132] January 23–25, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 45% 43% 12% 2%
Big Data Poll (R)[333] January 22–24, 2026 2,909 (LV) ± 2.1% 48%[r] 44% 8%[v] 4%
46% 42% 12%[dk]
Quantus Insights (R)[334] January 20–22, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 41% 12%[dl] 6%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[335] January 15–22, 2026 1,147 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 42% 7% 9%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[336] January 14–20, 2026 1,352 (RV) – 51% 43% 6% 8%
1,532 (A) ± 2.5% 50% 42% 8%
KFF[337] January 13–20, 2026 1,141 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% 9% 7%
Emerson College[338] January 17–19, 2026 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 42% 10% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[339] January 16–19, 2026 1,717 (RV) ± 3.2% 43% 39% 18%[bm] 4%
1,547 (A) 39% 34% 27%[bs] 5%
Morning Consult[132] January 16–18, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 45% 43% 14% 2%
New York Times/Siena College[340] January 12–17, 2026 1,625 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 43% 9% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[341][V] January 13–14, 2026 597 (RV) – 50% 42% 8% 8%
Reuters/Ipsos[128] January 12–13, 2026 941 (RV) – 40% 38% 22% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[342] January 7–14, 2026 2,273 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 41% 12%[dm] 6%
Impact Research (D)/
National Research Inc. (R)[343][J]		 January 8–13, 2026 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 47% 43% 10% 4%
CNN/SSRS[344] January 9–12, 2026 968 (RV) ± 3.5% 46% 41% 13% 5%
Morning Consult[132] January 9–12, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[345] January 9–12, 2026 1,433 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16%[ag] 4%
1,597 (A) 39% 33% 28%[bg] 6%
Yahoo News/YouGov[346] January 8–12, 2026 1,148 (RV) – 45% 40% 15%[ao] 5%
The Winston Group (R)[347][H] January 8–12, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 43% 11% 3%
Cygnal (R)[348] January 7–8, 2026 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
RMG Research[349][D] January 5–8, 2026 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 44% 43% 13%[bo] 1%
47%[r] 46% 7%[bo]
The Economist/YouGov[350] January 2–5, 2026 1,386 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 39% 16%[m] 6%
1,547 (A) 39% 32% 29%[bf] 7%
Morning Consult[132] January 2–4, 2026 2,201 (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
Morning Consult[132] December 29, 2025 – January 4, 2026 22,709 (RV) – 44% 42% 14% 2%
The Bullfinch Group[351][A] December 30, 2025 – January 1, 2026 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 33% 23%[dn] 11%
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 40% 30% 30%[do] 10%

2024–2025

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[e]		 Margin
of error		 Democratic
 Republican
 Other/
Undecided		 Lead
The Economist/YouGov[352] December 26–29, 2025 1,417 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 38% 20%[bm] 4%
1,546 (A) 36% 31% 33%[n] 5%
Big Data Poll (R)[353] December 26–28, 2025 3,412 (LV) ± 1.9% 48%[r] 44% 8%[v] 4%
45% 42% 13%[dk] 3%
Morning Consult[132] December 15–21, 2025 20,240 (RV) – 45% 42% 13%
The Economist/YouGov[354] December 20–22, 2025 1,424 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 40% 17%[dp]
1,591 (A) 38% 34% 28%[at] 4%
Quantus Insights (R)[355] December 15–17, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 16% 2%
AtlasIntel[356] December 15–19, 2025 2,315 (A) ± 2.0% 54% 38% 7%[dq] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[357] December 12–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 46% 45% 9% 1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[358][W] December 15–17, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38% 17% 7%
Emerson College[359] December 14–15, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 42% 14% 2%
Reuters/Ipsos[128] December 12–15, 2025 775 (RV) – 40% 36% 24% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[360] December 12–15, 2025 1,451 (RV) ± 3.2% 43% 39% 18%[ac] 4%
1,630 (A) 37% 33% 30%[cl]
Morning Consult[132] December 12–15, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 45% 44% 11% 1%
Echelon Insights[361] December 11–15, 2025 1,011 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 45% 7% 3%
Quinnipiac University[362] December 11–15, 2025 1,035 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 43% 10% 4%
Big Data Poll (R)[363] December 10–12, 2025 3,004 (RV) ± 1.8% 47%[r] 43% 10%[s]
44% 41% 15%[aq] 3%
The Argument/Verasight[364] December 5–11, 2025 – (LV) – 52% 48% – 4%
1,521 (RV) ± 2.7% 50% 49% – 1%
44% 42% 14% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[365] December 4–11, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7% 5%
GrayHouse (R)[366][S] December 6–8, 2025 2,058 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 41% 14% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[367] December 5–8, 2025 1,379 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 37% 21%[di] 6%
1,529 (A) 37% 32% 31%[ad] 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[368][E]		 December 4–8, 2025 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 46% 4% 4%
Reuters/Ipsos[128] December 3–8, 2025 3,521 (RV) ± 2.0% 40% 39% 21% 1%
Cygnal (R)[369] December 5–7, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 44% 8% 4%
Morning Consult[132] December 5–7, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[370] December 4–5, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16% 4%
RMG Research[371][D] December 1–4, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 45% 14%[af] 4%
44%[r] 48% 8%[af]
Big Data Poll (R)[372] November 28 – December 1, 2025 2,008 (RV) ± 2.1% 44%[r] 42% 20%[ar] 2%
41% 39% 20%[t]
The Economist/YouGov[373] November 28 – December 1, 2025 1,452 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 39% 16%[bm] 6%
1,623 (A) 39% 33% 28%[bs]
Morning Consult[132] November 26–30, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)[374] November 19–26, 2025 2,000 (RV) – 48% 42% 10%[bp] 6%
The Bullfinch Group[375] November 21–25, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 35% 24%[dr]
1,200 (A) ± 2.8% 37% 32% 31%[ds] 5%
The Economist/YouGov[376] November 21–24, 2025 1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 32% 29%[ac] 7%
1,674 (A) 44% 39% 17%[bg] 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[377] November 17–24, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 45% 44% 11% 1%
Morning Consult[132] November 21–23, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 45% 43% 13% 2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[378] November 18–23, 2025 2,410 (LV) ± 2.1% 45% 42% 13%[cg] 3%
J.L. Partners (R)[379][X] November 19–20, 2025 797 (LV) – 50% 46% 4% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[380] November 15–17, 2025 1,380 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 40% 17%[dt] 3%
Echelon Insights[381] November 13–17, 2025 1,051 (LV) ± 3.7% 49% 45% 6% 4%
The Argument/Verasight[382] November 10–17, 2025 – (LV) – 54% 46% – 8%
1,508 (RV) ± 2.6% 53% 47% – 6%
46% 42% 12% 4%
Morning Consult[132] November 14–16, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 44% 10% 2%
High Point University[383] November 10–14, 2025 1,004 (A) ± 3.2% 46% 36% 13%[du] 10%
Marist University[384][L] November 10–13, 2025 1,291 (RV) ± 3.1% 55% 41% 4%[i] 14%
Quantus Insights (R)[385] November 11–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 39% 17% 5%
Reuters/Ipsos[386] November 7–12, 2025 938 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 40% 19% 1%
Marquette University Law School[387] November 5–12, 2025 903 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% 7%[dv] 5%
1,052 (A) ± 3.3% 46% 41% 13%[dw]
The Economist/YouGov[388] November 7–10, 2025 1,499 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15%[ag] 7%
Morning Consult[389] November 7–9, 2025 2,201 (RV) – 48% 43% 9% 5%
Cygnal (R)[390] November 5–6, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% 44% 6% 6%
Emerson College[391] November 3–4, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% 16% 4%
The Economist/YouGov[392] October 31 – November 3, 2025 1,470 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 41% 15%[dx] 3%
RMG Research[393][D] October 27–30, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 42% 43% 15%[af] 1%
44%[r] 46% 10%[af] 2%
CNN/SSRS[394] October 27–30, 2025 945 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 42% 11%[dy] 5%
NewsNation/DDHQ[395] October 27–29, 2025 1,159 (LV) ± 2.9% 47% 47% 7%[dz] Tie
1,609 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 44% 11%[ea] 1%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[396] October 24–29, 2025 1,352 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 41% 10% 8%
1,567 (A) ± 2.6% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Big Data Poll (R)[397] October 26–28, 2025 2,984 (RV) ± 1.8% 43% 41% 16%[s] 2%
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[398] October 24–28, 2025 2,203 (RV) ± 2.2% 46% 44% 10%[eb]
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[399][Q]		 October 24–28, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 42% 8% 8%
The Economist/YouGov[400] October 24–27, 2025 1,472 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17%[ag] 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov[401] October 23–27, 2025 1,197 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 40% 15%[m] 5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[402] October 21–27, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 44% 46% 10% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[403] October 16–23, 2025 1,047 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% 7% 1%
The Economist/YouGov[404] October 17–20, 2025 1,447 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 40% 15%[bm] 5%
Quinnipiac University[405] October 17–20, 2025 1,327 (RV) ± 3.5% 50% 41% 9% 9%
UMass Lowell/YouGov[406] October 16–20, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.5% 38% 35% 27%[ec] 3%
Echelon Insights[407] October 16–20, 2025 1,010 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% 6% 2%
Morning Consult[408] October 17–19, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
Emerson College[409] October 13–14, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 43% 13% 1%
The Argument/Verasight[410] October 10–16, 2025 1,530 (RV) – 51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov[411] October 10–13, 2025 1,466 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 40% 17%[ag] 3%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[412][E]		 October 8–12, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 5% 1%
YouGov Blue (D)[413] October 7–10, 2025 517 (RV) – 48% 45% 7% 3%
Cygnal (R)[414] October 7–8, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
Quantus Insights (R)[415] October 6–8, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 43% 15% 1%
The Economist/YouGov[416] October 4–6, 2025 1,486 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 39% 17%[dp] 5%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square[417]		 October 2–6, 2025 2,565 (RV) ± 2.0% 45% 43% 12% 2%
Morning Consult[418] October 3–5, 2025 2,200 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[419] September 26–29, 2025 1,517 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 41% 15%[ag]
Yahoo News/YouGov[420] September 25–29, 2025 1,126 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 40% 16%[m] 4%
New York Times/Siena College[421] September 22–27, 2025 1,313 (RV) ± 3.2% 47% 45% 8% 2%
RMG Research[422][D] September 22–24, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 41% 43% 16%[bo] 2%
45%[r] 46% 9%[bo] 1%
The Economist/YouGov[423] September 19–22, 2025 1,392 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 42% 13%[ac] 3%
Echelon Insights[424] September 18–22, 2025 1,071 (LV) ± 3.7% 47% 46% 7% 1%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[425] September 17–22, 2025 1,000 (RV) – 41% 47% 12% 6%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[426] September 15–19, 2025 1,268 (LV) ± 2.8% 50% 45% 5% 5%
1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 47% 42% 11%
AtlasIntel[427] September 12–16, 2025 1,066 (A) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%[ed] 8%
Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)[428] September 11–16, 2025 800 (V) – 51% 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov[429] September 12–15, 2025 1,418 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 41% 16%[m]
National Association of Independent Pollsters[ee][430] September 6–13, 2025 2,071 (LV) ± 2.0% 47% 46% 7% 1%
i360[431][Y] September 10–12, 2025 577 (RV) ± 4.1% 35% 32% 33%[ef] 5%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[432] September 4–11, 2025 1,001 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 44% 6% 6%
The Economist/YouGov[433] September 5–8, 2025 1,482 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 4%[ag] 2%
Public Religion Research Institute[434] August 15 – September 8, 2025 5,543 (A) ± 1.8% 33% 30% 36%[eg] 3%
Cygnal (R)[435] September 2–3, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 45% 7%
Yahoo News/YouGov[436] August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,136 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 40% 16%[m] 4%
The Economist/YouGov[437] August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,548 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 39% 18%[dp]
Survey 160[438] August 26 – September 1, 2025 – (RV) ± 5.8% 46% 39% 15% 7%
Morning Consult[439] August 29–31, 2025 2,202 (RV) – 45% 41% 14% 4%
Emerson College[440] August 25–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14% Tie
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[441] August 21–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 47% 8% 2%
The Economist/YouGov[442] August 22–25, 2025 1,374 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% 16%[ac] 2%
Reuters/Ipsos[443] August 22–24, 2025 1,022 (A) ± 3.2% 38% 34% 28%[eh]
SoCal Strategies (R)[444][Z] August 19, 2025 700 (A) – 42% 37% 21% 5%
RMG Research[445][D] August 18–21, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 44% 44% 12%[bo] Tie
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[446] August 18–21, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 49% 41% 10% 8%
Echelon Insights[447] August 14–18, 2025 1,057 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 46% 7% 1%
The Argument/Verasight[448] August 18–21, 2025 1,562 (RV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% 13% 3%
51%[r] 49% – 2%
The Economist/YouGov[449] August 15–18, 2025 1,404 (RV) ± 3.2% 44% 39% 17%[ac] 5%
Quantus Insights (R)[450] August 11–13, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 42% 13% 3%
The Economist/YouGov[451] August 9–11, 2025 1,473 (RV) ± 3.1% 42% 40% 18%[ag] 2%
The Economist/YouGov[452] August 1–4, 2025 1,528 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 38% 18%[ac] 6%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[453][E]		 July 29 – August 3, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 7% 5%
GrayHouse (R)[454][S] July 27–29, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.7% 47% 44% 9% 3%
Yahoo News/YouGov[455] July 24–28, 2025 1,167 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15%[ao] 7%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[456][AA] July 21–24, 2025 2,000 (RV) – 46% 43% 11% 3%
1,633 (LV) 48% 44% 8% 4%
Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)[457][458][J] July 16–20, 2025 1,500 (RV) ± 2.5% 46% 43% 10%[ei] 3%
Emerson College[459] July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (LV) ± 2.5% 44% 42% 14% 2%
AtlasIntel[460] July 13–18, 2025 1,935 (A) ± 2.0% 51% 43% 6%[dq] 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[461] July 13–17, 2025 2,288 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 42% 12% 4%
RMG Research[462][D] July 14–16, 2025 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 45% 49% 6%[bo] 4%
Big Data Poll (R)[463][464] July 12–14, 2025 3,022 (RV) ± 1.8% 42% 41% 17%[bv] 1%
Echelon Insights[465] July 10–14, 2025 1,084 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 48% 5% 1%
45% 41% 14%[ej] 4%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[466] July 9–14, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 2.5% 42% 47% 11% 5%
A2 Insights[467] July 7–10, 2025 862 (RV) – 48% 44% 8% 4%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[468] July 1–3, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.7% 47% 43% 10%
Cygnal (R)[469] July 1–2, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 46% 7% 1%
Emerson College[470] June 24–25, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 40% 17% 3%
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[471] June 23–25, 2025 633 (RV) – 47% 42% 11%[ek] 5%
Cygnal (R)[472] June 19–21, 2025 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 6% 2%
RMG Research[473][D] June 18–19, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 52% 4%[bo] 8%
Echelon Insights[474] June 12–16, 2025 982 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 5% 1%
co/efficient (R)[475] June 12–16, 2025 1,035 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 46% 8%[ai] Tie
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[476] June 5–14, 2025 1,000 (V) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5% 5%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[477] June 6–12, 2025 1,500 (A) ± 2.6% 45% 37% 18% 8%
Quantus Insights (R)[478][AB] June 9–11, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 43% 14% Tie
Quantus Insights (R)[479][AB] June 1–4, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 45% 9% 1%
AtlasIntel[480] May 21–27, 2025 3,469 (A) ± 2.0% 51% 42% 7% 9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[481] May 21–26, 2025 1,000 (LV) – 43% 47% 10% 4%
RMG Research[482][D] May 20–21, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 45% 4%[bo] 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[483][AC] May 15–19, 2025 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 42% 42% 16% Tie
Echelon Insights[484] May 8–12, 2025 1,000 (LV) ± 3.8% 47% 48% 5% 1%
co/efficient (R)[485] May 7–9, 2025 1,462 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 42% 10%[i] 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[486][AB] May 5–7, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 10% Tie
Big Data Poll (R)[487][488] May 3–5, 2025 3,128 (RV) ± 1.8% 40% 42% 18%[bv] 2%
Strength In Numbers/Verasight[489] May 1–6, 2025 1,000 (A) ± 3.2% 47% 41% 12% 6%
NewsNation/DDHQ[490] April 23–27, 2025 1,448 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 40% 15%[el] 5%
New York Times/Siena College[491] April 21–24, 2025 913 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 44% 9% 3%
Beacon Research (D)/
Shaw & Co. Research (R)[492][B]		 April 18–21, 2025 1,104 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 42% 9% 7%
Noble Predictive Insights/
The Center Square[493]		 April 15–18, 2025 2,500 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 42% 13% 3%
RMG Research[494][D] April 16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 50% 45% 5%[bo] 5%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[495][E]		 April 9–13, 2025 – (RV) – 45% 42% 13% 3%
RealClear Opinion Research[496][497] April 10–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 39% 21% 1%
Cygnal (R)[498] April 1–3, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 48% 47% 5%
Yale Youth Poll[499] April 1–3, 2025 4,100 (RV) ± 1.9% 43% 42% 15%
Quantus Insights (R)[500][AB] March 25–27, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 46% 9% 1%
Echelon Insights[501] March 10–13, 2025 1,007 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 47% 7%
Hart Research Associates (D)/
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[502][Q]		 March 7–11, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 47% 5% 1%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[503] March 3–9, 2025 1,036 (V) ± 1.7% 46% 44% 10% 2%
Cygnal (R)[504] March 3–5, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 46% 7% 1%
Emerson College[505] March 2–3, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 41% 15% 3%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[506][AD] February 25 – March 2, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 46% 10% 2%
RMG Research[507][D] February 20–21, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 48% 6%[bo]
co/efficient (R)[508] February 15–17, 2025 2,063 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 46% 10%
Echelon Insights[509] February 10–13, 2025 1,010 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Quantus Insights (R)[510][AB] February 10–12, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 44% 48% 8% 4%
Morning Consult[132] February 3–9, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 43% 45% 12% 2%
Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[511] January 31 – February 6, 2025 1,102 (V) ± 1.5% 45% 44% 11% 1%
Cygnal (R)[512] February 4–5, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 46% 47% 7% 1%
Morning Consult[132] January 27 – February 2, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 43% 44% 13%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D)[513][AE]		 January 27 – February 1, 2025 3,000 (RV) ± 1.8% 43% 43% 14% Tie
Morning Consult[132] January 20–26, 2025 19,675 (RV) – 42% 45% 13% 3%
Quantus Insights (R)[514][AB] January 22–23, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.5% 45% 48% 7%
RMG Research[515][D] January 15–16, 2025 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 44% 51% 5%[bo] 7%
Cygnal (R)[516] January 9–12, 2025 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 47% 8% 2%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[517] December 11–16, 2024 1,000 (LV) – 42% 47% 11% 5%
Cygnal (R)[518] December 9–11, 2024 1,500 (LV) ± 2.5% 45% 48% 7% 3%

Elections by state or territory

[edit]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ↑ Oklahoma law requires appointees to affirm they will not seek a full term.[1]
  2. ↑ As a result of redistricting.
  3. ↑ As a result of death, resignation, or expulsion.
  4. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  5. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
  6. ↑ "Candidate from another political party" with 5%; "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%
  7. 1 2 "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  8. 1 2 "Independent Candidate" with 10%
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 "Other" with 3%
  10. ↑ "I would not vote" and "Other" with 4%
  11. ↑ "I would not vote" with 7%; "Other" with 4%
  12. 1 2 3 "An independent or third-party candidate" with 6%
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "I would not vote" & "Other" with 2%
  14. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 2%
  15. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 1%
  16. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 4%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  17. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  19. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else / third party" with 10%
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Someone else / third party" with 7%
  21. 1 2 3 "Someone else / third party" with 13%
  22. 1 2 3 4 "Someone else / third party" with 8%
  23. ↑ "Neither" with 4%
  24. ↑ "Neither" with 8%; "Would not vote" with 2%
  25. 1 2 "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  26. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" and "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  27. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 13%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  28. 1 2 "Doesn't matter either way" with 7%
  29. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  30. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 16%; "Other" with 2%
  31. ↑ "I would not vote" with 7%; "Another candidate" with 4%
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Would not vote" with 3%
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "I would not vote" with 3%; "Other" with 2%
  34. ↑ "Not sure" with 14%; "Another/Lean to another candidate" with 5%
  35. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 2%
  36. ↑ "Independent/Other/Minor party" with 15%; "Not sure/Will not vote" with 7%
  37. ↑ "Other" with 4%; "I wouldn't vote" with 3%
  38. 1 2 "Other" with 5%
  39. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 4%
  40. ↑ "I would not vote" with 10%; "Other" with 4%
  41. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "I would not vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  42. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 9%
  43. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 5%
  44. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 14%
  45. ↑ "Neither" with 11; "Would not vote" with 5%
  46. 1 2 3 4 "I would not vote" with 15%; "Other" with 1%
  47. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 6%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  48. 1 2 "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  49. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 3%
  50. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 9%
  51. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 8%
  52. ↑ "I would not vote" with 17%; "Other" with 1%
  53. 1 2 "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  54. 1 2 "Other" with 4%
  55. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 8%
  56. 1 2 "Independent candidate" with 11%
  57. ↑ "I would not vote" with 9%; "Other" with 4%
  58. 1 2 3 4 5 "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 2%
  59. 1 2 3 4 5 "I would not vote" with 14%; "Other" with 1%
  60. 1 2 "Neither" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  61. ↑ "Will not vote" with 5%; "Third party candidate" with 2%
  62. ↑ "Would not vote" with 7%
  63. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 4%
  64. ↑ "I would not vote" with 5%
  65. 1 2 3 4 5 "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 2%
  66. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 5%; "Skipped" with 1%
  67. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 "Would not vote" with 2%
  68. 1 2 3 "Other" with 1%
  69. ↑ "I would not vote" with 5%; "Other" with 3%
  70. ↑ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 4%
  71. 1 2 3 4 "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 2%
  72. ↑ "Neither" with 11%; "Do not plan to vote" with 3%
  73. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 4%"
  74. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else / third party" with 6%
  75. ↑ "Would not vote" with 6%
  76. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other" with 2%
  77. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Skipped" with 1%
  78. ↑ "Undecided" with 14%; "Neither/another party" with 5%; "I wouldn't vote" with 4%
  79. ↑ "Other party" 4%
  80. ↑ "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  81. ↑ "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 5%
  82. ↑ "I would not vote" with 15%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  83. ↑ "Neither" with 8%; "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  84. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 12%
  85. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 5%
  86. ↑ "Depends" with 12%; "Neither" with 2%
  87. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 12%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%; "Skipped" with 1%
  88. ↑ "Other party" with 3%
  89. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%
  90. 1 2 "I would not vote" with 13%; "Other" with 1%
  91. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 5%
  92. ↑ "I would not vote" and "Another candidate" with 5%
  93. ↑ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  94. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  95. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 2%
  96. ↑ "Third party / Independent" with 3%
  97. ↑ "Doesn't matter either way" with 8%, "Not sure" with 7%
  98. ↑ "Third party candidate" and "Would not vote" with 3%
  99. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  100. ↑ "I wouldn't vote" with 9%; "Other" with 5%
  101. ↑ "Would not vote" with 8%
  102. ↑ "Would not vote" with 18%
  103. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 15%; "Don't know" with 14%; "Candidate from another political party" with 3%
  104. 1 2 "Third party/other" with 3%
  105. ↑ "Another candidate" with 7%
  106. ↑ "Another candidate" and "I would not vote" with 6%
  107. ↑ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 6%
  108. ↑ "Another party" with 4%
  109. ↑ "Third party" with 5%
  110. ↑ "Third party" with 2%
  111. ↑ "Neither" with 3%
  112. ↑ "Neither" with 10%; "Would not vote" with 7%
  113. 1 2 "I would not vote" & "Other" with 3%
  114. ↑ "I would not vote" with 11%; "Other" with 2%
  115. 1 2 "Someone else / third party" with 4%
  116. ↑ "Other candidate" with 2%
  117. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  118. ↑ "Other / third-party / Independent" with 11%; "I would not vote" with 3%
  119. ↑ "Other / third-party / Independent" with 10%; "I would not vote" with 9%
  120. 1 2 3 "I would not vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
  121. 1 2 "Would not vote" with 1%
  122. ↑ "Other/third-party/Independent" and "I would not vote" with 7%
  123. ↑ "I would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party/Independent" with 6%
  124. ↑ "Other" and "I would not vote" with 3%
  125. ↑ "Another Party" with 7%
  126. ↑ "Neither" with 6%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  127. ↑ "Neither" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  128. ↑ "Other" with 3%; "I would not vote" with 2%
  129. ↑ "Do not plan to vote" with 2%
  130. ↑ "Third-party candidate" with 7%
  131. ↑ "Third-party candidate" with 7%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  132. ↑ "Would not vote" with 9%
  133. ↑ "I would not vote" with 14%; "Another candidate" with 2%
  134. ↑ "I would not vote" with 1%
  135. ↑ The association's members are Big Data Poll, InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen Reports, & the Trafalgar Group.
  136. ↑ "Other candidate" with 10%
  137. ↑ "Would not vote" with 12%; "Other/third-party candidate" with 4%
  138. ↑ "Will not/do not plan to vote" with 8%; "Candidate from another political party" with 4%; "Skipped" with 1%
  139. ↑ "Refused" with 1%
  140. ↑ America Party candidate with 5%
  141. ↑ "Or Another Third Party Candidate" with 2%
  142. ↑ "A third-party candidate" with 9%; "Would not vote" with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 Poll conducted for The Independent Center
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll conducted for Fox News
  3. ↑ Poll commissioned by CoinBase
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Poll sponsored by Napolitan News Service
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll conducted for CNBC
  6. 1 2 Poll conducted for Scripps News
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by NBC News and More Perfect
  8. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Winning the Issues
  9. ↑ Poll commissioned by UNITE HERE
  10. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for The Wall Street Journal
  11. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Conservative Energy Network
  12. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by NPR and PBS News
  13. ↑ Poll commissioned by CoinDesk
  14. ↑ Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  15. ↑ Poll commissioned by Gambling is Not Investing
  16. ↑ Poll sponsored by Third Way and UnidosUS
  17. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for NBC News
  18. ↑ Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project, which supports Republicans
  19. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by America One Policies, a Republican super PAC
  20. ↑ Poll sponsored by Campaign For A Family Friendly Economy PAC
  21. ↑ Poll conducted for 1776 Law Center
  22. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which supports Democrats
  23. ↑ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, a group that supports Republicans
  24. ↑ Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
  25. ↑ Poll sponsored by Americans for Prosperity, a libertarian conservative political advocacy group
  26. ↑ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics & On Point Politics, both of which support Republicans
  27. ↑ Poll sponsored by America's New Majority Project
  28. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
  29. ↑ Poll conducted for the Paragon Health Institute
  30. ↑ Poll sponsored by AARP

References

[edit]
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