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Numbers & Nonsense · Oct 22, 2024

13 Storylines for CFB Week 9: Every Love I've Known in Comparison is a Failure

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There's a new number one in town...QUACK QUACK QUACK QUACK QUACK, MOTHERFUCKERS!

My traditional Sunday evening Storylining was quite pleasantly preempted by the need to watch a couple Oregon Ducks make history, but much like the Liberty’s WNBA title it’s always better late than never. Wouldn’t you know it, the gridiron Ducks have the number one next to their name now too, but are they…

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1. “…Ready For It?” — #20 Illinois (6-1, 3-1) at #1 Oregon (7-0, 4-0)

My beloved Ducks have claimed the top spot in the AP Poll for the first time in a dozen years and just the third stint at #1 in their history.

  • This will be their first game as the top-ranked team since a 17-14 home loss to #14 Stanford on an infamous night in November 2012 which also saw #2 Kansas State lose to an unranked Baylor. That loss to Stanford was Oregon’s only week at #1 in 2012.

  • The Ducks’ other stint at #1 in 2010 lasted longer and started at about the same time as this one. They ascended to #1 in the October 17th, 2010 poll and remained there until being jumped by Auburn after the SEC Championship (ahead of Auburn’s 22-19 win over Oregon for the BCS Championship).

  • Oregon has a 6-1 record as the #1 team in the AP Poll including 3-1 at home and 2-1 against other ranked teams (they won at #24 USC and at home vs #20 Arizona in 2010).

The last three weeks are the first time AP #1 has lost two of three games since 2021 when it was Alabama over UGA in the SEC Championship and UGA’s revenge in the CFP Championship.

  • The last time #1 lost two of three in the regular season was in 2012 when #1 lost in back-to-back weeks…the second of them being Oregon’s loss to Stanford the week after Johnny Football and Texas A&M upset #1 Alabama.

  • An Oregon loss to Illinois would also mark the first time #1 has lost three of four entirely in the regular season since 1990 when #1 Notre Dame, Michigan and Virginia posted a combined 1-3 record over a stretch in October/November.

The Ducks are coming off of a 35-0 win at Purdue, their first road shutout since 1992. They improved to 13th (objectively the best ranking!) in the FBS allowing 16.6 points and 15th allowing a hair under 298 total yards per game.

  • It was the fifth time they’ve held an opponent to 14 or fewer points this season — only Army and Texas (six times each) have done so more. Oregon is tied with six other teams for third-most.

  • The only teams to score more than 14 points on the Ducks defense so far this season (Boise State and Ohio State) had either Ashton Jeanty or the duo of TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins running the ball. Illinois is 81st in the FBS in rushing yards per game, 83rd in yards per rush and tied for 97th in rushing touchdowns.

Illinois has some history of beating the #1 team in the AP Poll, though it’s been a while since the Fighting Illini faced one. This is their first game against #1 since unranked Illinois won 28-21 at #1 Ohio State in 2007.

  • Illinois is 3-12 all-time against AP #1, but had lost nine straight before the win over OSU in 2007. The other wins came in 1950 (also over OSU, Illinois was ranked #8) and 1956 (vs Michigan State, Illinois was unranked).

  • Illinois is 6-1 for the second time in three seasons (and in Bret Bielema’s four-year tenure), matching its best start in the last 70 years since a 6-0-1 start in 1953. Before 2022, Illinois had won six of its first seven only twice this century (2001 and 2011).

  • Illinois has beaten Oregon only once, in 1970 in Champaign, but the teams have met just three times. Oregon won the last two encounters at Illinois in 1993 and at home in 1995.

2. Fast Track to the CFP — #8 LSU (6-1, 3-0) at #14 Texas A&M (6-1, 4-0)

The winner of this game will be in a very strong position as long as it wins the games it’s “supposed to” the rest of the way. It looks all but assured that 10-2 gets either of these teams into the Playoff — and for the winner, that record assumes a home loss either to Alabama (for the Tigers) or to Texas (for the Aggies).

  • LSU has a bye followed by Alabama at home, a trip to Florida, and then Vanderbilt and Oklahoma at home.

  • A&M has a road trip to South Carolina, a bye, New Mexico State at home, a road trip to Auburn and Texas at home.

  • Home teams have won seven straight meetings in the series dating to 2017. The first of A&M’s three straight home wins during this streak was the infamous 74-72/7OT marathon in 2018.

  • This is the first time they aren’t meeting during Rivalry Week since playing in October of A&M’s first SEC season in 2012, before which they hadn’t played in the regular season since 1995.

Both teams come in on six-game win streaks since losing their openers, LSU to USC and A&M to Notre Dame. The Tigers cruised 34-10 last week at Arkansas, their fifth time scoring at least 34 points during their win streak.

  • LSU has held two of its last three opponents to exactly 10 points (Arkansas and South Alabama) and three of its last four under 20 (allowing 15.8 points per game during span) after allowing 27 points per game through three games.

  • LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier’s 18 passing touchdowns are three more than any other player in the SEC (Carson Beck is second with 15) despite last week’s win at Arkansas being his first game this season without accounting for a TD. A third of his 18 touchdowns came in one game against Nicholls, but his 12 TD against FBS opponents are one off the SEC lead (Jalen Milroe, 13 in one more game).

The Aggies’ latest win came by a 34-24 margin over Mississippi State while allowing their most points in a game so far this season (their lone loss came by a 23-13 margin).

  • A&M is tied for 19th in the FBS allowing 17.7 points per game, though that’s only good for sixth in the SEC (trails Texas, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Missouri and Georgia).

  • Aggies QB Conner Weigman has thrown only one touchdown against four picks in three starts against FBS opponents (Notre Dame, Missouri and Mississippi State) while throwing multiple picks in two of the three games. Redshirt freshman backup Marcel Reed threw six touchdowns without a pick in starts against Florida, Bowling Green and Arkansas while adding two scores on the ground in place of an injured Weigman.

3. Vandy is Ranked! What Could Possibly Go Wrong?? — #5 Texas (6-1, 2-1) at #25! Vanderbilt (5-2, 2-1)

Diego Pavia has Vanderbilt ranked for the first time since James Franklin left Nashville for State College!

  • Yes, it took a couple weeks after finally getting that first-ever win over a Top 5 opponent and yes, Bama has since lost again and looked shaky in between.

  • Yes, last week’s win over a very bad Ball State team was tied after three quarters and within one score with eight minutes to play.

  • Yes, Diego Pavia is the Dores’ leading rusher for the season and it’s not entirely on purpose.

  • Still, Vandy is ranked! What could possibly make Vandy un-fucking-turnt?

Oh shit, here comes Bevo and he doesn’t look happy…

  • Texas is coming off its first home loss as the #1 team in the AP Poll in 64 years, since losing 14-13 to #8 Arkansas in 1960. The ‘Horns fell to 17-3 at home as #1 all-time. It was also UT’s first loss to Georgia since the Sugar Bowl capping the 1983 season and first-ever home loss to Georgia.

  • UT’s 30-15 loss to Georgia was the first home loss by an AP #1 team since 2012 (once again it’s that Oregon-Stanford game 😡), the first home loss by an AP #1 by more than five points since 1987 (#2 Oklahoma 17, #1 Nebraska 7) and the most-lopsided for an AP #1 at home since Dan Marino and #1 Pitt lost 31-16 at home to unranked Notre Dame (which I am fairly certain did not include freshman QB Tim Walz despite what the Wikipedia page says). It was only the fifth time AP #1 has ever lost at home by more than 14 points.

  • Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian really doesn’t want a QB controversy, but he didn’t do himself any favors on that front when he made a knee-jerk move from Quinn Ewers to Arch Manning late in the first half against Georgia. Arch didn’t do any better against the buzzsaw that is the Bulldogs defense, but I don’t think there’s anyone watching these games who can make a good faith argument that Texas is starting its best quarterback. It feels like a matter of when, not if, Sark turns to Arch and Arch doesn’t give the job back.

4. Long Live the Old Big East — Syracuse (5-1, 2-1) at #19 Pittsburgh (6-0, 2-0) (Thursday)

Pitt puts its best start since Dan Marino was under center up against Syracuse, which is looking for its fourth straight win overall and first win at Pitt since the days of the old Big East.

  • The Panthers are coming off a bye after beating Cal 17-15 to reach 6-0 for the first time since 1982. Pitt used six sacks to offset the worst day of the season so far for its offense, improving to 37-7 under Pat Narduzzi when racking up at least four sacks compared to 34-43 when they fail to get to the QB four times.

  • Syracuse snapped a five-game skid in the series last November at Yankee Stadium, but has won just four of 22 meetings since its last win at Pitt in 2001. That was also the last time Syracuse won consecutive meetings with Pitt, the last of 11 straight for the Orange in the series.

Syracuse is last-second Stanford field goal from being 6-0 itself and has won three straight since that lone setback

  • The Orange are also coming off a bye following a 24-17 win at NC State. Pitt will be their third ranked opponent this season, though Syracuse knocked the other two from the AP Top 25 — #23 Georgia Tech in early September (Cuse won 31-28) and #25 UNLV earlier this month (Cuse won 44-41 in OT).

    • They haven’t won three straight over AP Top 25 opponents since 2009-11 and haven’t beaten three in the same season since Donovan McNabb’s senior season in 1998.

  • Cuse QB Kyle McCord is tied for fifth in the FBS with 19 passing touchdowns in his first six games with the program following a transfer from Ohio State. He’s actually throwing them at a slightly lower rate than last year (6.5% of dropbacks compared to 6.6%), but is averaging 18 more dropbacks a game in the fourth-pass-happiest offense in the FBS (63.7% of plays).

5. — #12 Notre Dame (6-1) vs #24 Navy (6-0) (in East Rutherford, NJ) & Shouts to #23 Army (7-0)

Navy is 6-0 for the first time since 1979 and looks to improve to 7-0 for first time since one year further back. These Mids will have a major leg up on the 1978 team if they win this week, though, as that team’s 7-0 start was spoiled by one of Navy’s infamous 43 straight losses to Notre Dame from 1964-2006.

  • Navy hasn’t started 7-0 and beaten Notre Dame in the same season since 1960 (also the last time Army and Navy were ranked simultaneously as mentioned last week), when the #4 Mids improved to 7-0 with a 14-7 win over the Fighting Irish in Philadelphia. They took their first loss the following week at #13 Duke and finished 9-2 with an Orange Bowl loss to #5 Missouri.

  • Navy’s lost six straight to Top 15 opponents since beating then-#6 Houston 46-40 at home in 2016, and is 2-16 against AP Top 15 opponents this century.

  • The Mids are 1-12 this century against AP-ranked Notre Dame teams with eight straight losses since a 23-21 win at Notre Dame in 2009. This will be the 11th meeting with both teams ranked, most recently in 2019 (#16 ND 52, #21 Navy 20 in South Bend).

I’ve said it a few times already, but it remains true that every week feels like a must-win for Notre Dame as the Irish sit on what looks like the edge of At Large contention for the Playoff without most hopefuls’ access to a conference championship to potentially lock up a bid.

  • The Irish have won five straight since their stunning loss to Northern Illinois, most recently beating Georgia Tech 31-13 for their fourth win by multiple possessions during this win streak (31-24 over then-#15 Louisville the only exception). Notre Dame’s +151 scoring margin since Week 3 is the best in the FBS, four points better than in-state rival Indiana and a touchdown better than the next team I’m gonna quickly shout out…

Intrinsically tied to Navy and worthy of mention despite being off this week, Army is 7-0 for the first time since 1996.

  • The Black Knights lead the country in rushing by about 70 yards per game (359.1 to Boise State’s 289.8), have three more rushing touchdowns than anyone else (31 to Indiana’s 28), and are second only to the Blue Turf Jeantys (more on them up next!) averaging 6.6 yards per rush.

6. We Meet Again… — #17 Boise State (5-1, 2-0) at UNLV (6-1, 2-0) (Friday)

The Group of 5’s Playoff frontrunner Boise State and Heisman co-favorite Ashton Jeanty hit the road for a rematch of last year’s Mountain West Championship the conference’s only other one-loss team in UNLV.

  • Boise’s won seven straight meetings with UNLV including all six as both Mountain West rivals and FBS rivals, with last year’s Championship their only meeting this decade.

  • Prior to 2011, the teams hadn’t squared off since 1977 when both were playing below the highest level.

  • The Rebels have dropped 27 straight to AP-ranked opponents since winning at #15 Arizona State in 2008. They’re 4-44 all-time against AP Top 25 opponents with all four wins coming on the road.

Jeanty (208.0 rushing yards per game) leads the FBS by over 60 rushing yards per game and by 213 rushing yards overall despite having last week off. He’s got 1,248 yards in six games — everyone else in the FBS top 10 in total rushing yards has played seven.

  • Jeanty will face one of the tougher rushing defenses in the FBS in UNLV, which allows 104.4 yards per game (20th) and 3.35 yards per rush (tied for 26th), though those numbers are skewed by not having had to play Ashton Jeanty yet.

UNLV scored 27 straight points to turn a 17-6 hole into an eventual 33-25 win at Oregon State last week to become Bowl eligible in back-to-back seasons for the first time as well as notching its first-ever 4-0 start on the road.

  • UNLV’s recap also includes a somewhat spurious claim that the Pac-2’s Beavers were the third Power conference opponent UNLV has defeated this season, a program first. Make of that what you will (lol).

  • A win this week would make UNLV 7-1 for the first time since 1984 with Randall Cunningham under center, having already matched last year’s 6-1 start for the best since then.

  • UNLV is 15-6 in a season-and-a-half under head coach Barry Odom. That’s the same number of games the Rebels won over the previous five seasons (15-39 from 2018-22). They lost at least six games every season 2001-22 — including a 2020 season in which they only played six.

7. Now Or Never — #21 Missouri (6-1, 2-1) at #15 Alabama (5-2, 2-2)

Both teams’ dwindling Playoff hopes would seem to be all but dashed with a loss this week as Alabama comes to grips with life after Saban and Missouri gets its last crack at a meaningful win in the regular season.

  • Alabama’s lost two games before November for the first time since Nick Saban’s first season in 2007, now looks to avoid losing three out of four for the first time since then and back-to-back games for the first time since the final two games of the 2013 season. A third loss would also give Alabama its most in any season since 2010 (finished 10-3) and three losses before November for the first time since 2006, the last year before Saban’s arrival.

    • There’s a definite possibility of a three-loss team getting into a 12-team Playoff, but it’s hard to imagine Alabama doing it this year. Winning the next game at LSU would help, but they’d still need to get all the way back into the Top 12 with just Mercer, Oklahoma and Auburn remaining.

  • Missouri overcame a slow start and an injury which briefly sent QB Brady Cook to the hospital to sneak past Auburn 21-17 thanks to 15 points in the 4th quarter. These Tigers are one of six SEC teams left with just one loss, but the lowest-ranked of them by seven spots thanks to a schedule with two currently-ranked teams on it — the 41-10 loss to Texas A&M and 30-27 win over Vandy. Their other wins are over Murray State, Buffalo, Boston College (27-21) and UMass.

    • Mizzou may well need to win the SEC to make the Playoff — the rest of the schedule includes Oklahoma, Arkansas (both at home), South Carolina and Mississippi State (both on road). If Missouri is 11-1, it most likely plays for the SEC title. If it wins, it’s in the Playoff. If it loses…I’m not sure it’s ranked higher than 12th at 11-2 with this schedule?

8. Throw Out the Records… — Florida State (1-6, 1-5) at #6 Miami (7-0, 3-0)

A rivalry that requires attention despite one of the participants in this game not being the least bit worthy of it for any reason other than rubber-necking. Still, rivalry games tend to be tricky and even in a catastrophic season such as this one, Florida State’s got some dudes. Don’t be surprised if this ends up being closer than it looks like it should (Miami’s a 21-point favorite as of Monday).

  • A streaky series sees FSU coming in with three straight wins over the ‘Canes. This streak follows four straight for Miami after seven for the ‘Noles. FSU’s pulled within two wins of Miami in the all-time series during this streak, but the ‘Canes still lead 35-33.

Miami QB Cam Ward has rejoined Ashton Jeanty as the co-Heisman favorite after lighting up Louisville’s scoreboard last week in the ‘Canes’ third straight one-possession win.

  • Ward threw at least four touchdowns for the third time this season while going without an interception for the first time since Week 3 and also the first time in four games against Power conference opponents after he’d thrown four interceptions combined against Florida, Virginia Tech and Cal.

    • He’s one ahead of North Texas’ Chandler Morris for the national lead in passing touchdowns (24), two and a half yards of Kyle McCord for the lead in passing yards per game (362.6) and third in passing yards per attempt (10.3).

  • Miami’s 7-0 start is its best since 2017, when it was 10-0 before dropping three straight to finish the season. That season, like this one, started with a string of blowouts before several closer games — all four of Miami’s games in October 2017 were one-possession wins including a 24-20 win over FSU to open the month. One huge difference between 2017 and this season for Miami, though: being ranked 10th after losing the ACC Championship to Clemson would be accompanied by a Playoff berth this time.

FSU’s an abject disaster, having failed to score 20 points in an unfathomable six straight games. That’s the same number of times FSU was held under 20 over the last three seasons, the most time it’s happened in any individual season since 1981 (eight games under 20 pts) and the Seminoles’ longest streak without scoring 20 points in a game 1975 — the year before Bobby Bowden took over.

  • A seventh straight game under 20 would give FSU its worst streak since 1973-74, when it lost 19 straight games (0-11 in 1973, first eight in 1974) without scoring 20 points in any of them.

  • FSU’s had 13 giveaways in this six-game streak including three games turning it over at least three times. Those 13 giveaways are tied for 110th in the FBS this season and nearly double Miami’s total (7, tied for 37th).

9. Could This be Fickell’s First Signature Moment if PSU Looks Ahead? — #3 Penn State (6-0, 3-0) at Wisconsin (5-2, 3-1)

Penn State plays its first game as an AP Top 3 team in seven years after last week’s bye and a thriller against USC the previous week highlighted by Tyler Warren’s record day. The Nittany Lions face a Wisconsin team celebrating homecoming after three straight wins and looking for the first signature win of Luke Fickell’s two-year tenure as head coach.

  • Penn State’s looking to start 7-0 for the first time since 2019, when it won its first eight games. Matching that 2019 start would require beating Ohio State next week in State College to snap a seven-game skid against the Buckeyes overall including their last three visits to Beaver Stadium.

    • Should PSU make it to 8-0 next week, it’ll be favored pretty heavily the rest of the way as the Nittany Lions try to chase down the 12-0 1995 team’s program-best start: PSU has Washington, Purdue, Minnesota and Maryland after OSU.

  • Wisconsin’s 5-0 this season against unranked opponents but lost to then-#4 Alabama (42-10) and then-#13 USC (38-21) by a combined 49 points in back-to-back games in September. They’ve won their last three by a combined 117-16 margin against Purdue, Rutgers and Northwestern while rushing for 736 yards in that span.

    • The Badgers are 0-4 against AP Top 25 opponents under Fickell, have lost five straight dating to 2021 and 13 of 15 against ranked teams dating to 2019. The Badgers have lost seven straight to AP Top 5 opponents since a Week 1 win over #5 LSU in. 2016 and haven’t beaten a Top 5 team later than Week 1 since October 2010 vs #1 Ohio State (1-10 vs Top 5 since).

10. Rhulercoaster Ride Approaching New Low? — Nebraska (5-2, 2-2) at #4 Ohio State (5-1, 2-1)

Ohio State would find itself on the same “look ahead” alert as Penn State with next week’s showdown looming, except while the Nittany Lions went into their bye off an emotional win, the Buckeyes did it off an emotional loss. With Ryan Day’s squad likely coming out angry, it could be another long afternoon for Matt Rhule and Nebraska.

  • OSU’s loss at Oregon made it the first team to lose an AP Top 3 matchup by a one-point margin since Miami’s 17-16 win over Florida State in 1991. The Buckeyes allowed only two fewer points in that loss (32) than they’d allowed in their five wins combined (34) while Oregon more than doubled their most points allowed in a game this season (previously 14 against Marshall).

  • A loss this week would give OSU consecutive regular season losses for the first time in 13 years, since dropping their final three regular season games and final four games overall in 2011.

Just four games removed from its first stint in the AP Poll in five years, Nebraska’s coming off its third-worst margin of defeat this century in last week’s 56-7 loss at Indiana. The only times it’s been worse since 2000 were when Nebraska lost by 60 pts to Texas Tech in 2004 and 59 to Ohio State in 2016.

  • With OSU favored by 25.5 points as of Tuesday, Nebraska could be in line for consecutive losses by at least three touchdowns for the first time since 2017 (21 vs Wisconsin followed by 42 vs Ohio State) without OSU even covering the spread. If OSU does cover, Nebraska will be looking at its first back-to-back losses by at least 26 points since 2007 (by 35 at Missouri and 31 at Oklahoma State).

  • Nebraska’s up-and-down season might yet have its’ greatest highs ahead even if this one gets ugly. The Cornhuskers don’t have a ranked opponent left on the schedule, with home games against UCLA and Wisconsin and road trips to USC and Iowa in November. One more win gets them to their first Bowl since 2016 while a perfect November would send them into that Bowl looking for 10 wins for the first time since 2012.

11. Cougars Try to Avoid the Traps — #11 BYU (7-0, 4-0) (at UCF) and Washington State (6-1) (at San Diego State)

BYU’s 7-0 for just the fifth time in its history and the second time under head coach Kalani Sitake. The regliously-affiliated Cougars are two-point favorites at UCF as they look to reach 8-0 for the fifth time as well.

  • BYU’s 9-0 start in 2020 was the only one of its four 7-0 starts which didn’t reach double-digits — the Cougars started 12-0 in 2001 (finished 12-2), 11-0 in 1979 (only loss in Holiday Bowl, ranked #13) and finished 13-0 as National Champions in 1984.

  • BYU’s scored at least 34 points in five straight games and six of seven this season. Only Miami (7 times) has scored 34 points more times this season while BYU is tied with Army, Indiana, Navy and North Texas for the second-most.

Washington State’s coming off a 42-10 win over Hawai’i last week to secure Bowl eligibility. The secular Cougars’ only loss so far this season came on the blue turf of Boise State (Ashton Jeanty had 259 rushing yards and four touchdowns, neither of which was his season-high).

  • Wazzu’s favored by 14.5 points at SDSU as it looks to start 7-1 for the first time since 2018. There’s a real possibility of winning 10 games for the first time since that season as well with their three remaining Mountain West opponents (New Mexico, Utah State and Wyoming) all under .500 (5-16 combined record) and the other opponent, Oregon State, sitting at 4-3.

12. The Ballad of Lincoln Riley — USC (3-4, 1-4) and Oklahoma (4-3, 1-3)

USC’s hiring of Lincoln Riley looked like a slam dunk two years ago as he brought a 55-10 career record and a future Heisman winner in Caleb Williams along with him. Oklahoma also saw a bright future ahead after five years of CFP contention and with Brent Venables seemingly the perfect candidate to carry forward Riley’s momentum while fixing his teams’ fatal flaw (their defense). Suffice to say, neither hire is working out as planned.

  • Riley’s already lost two more games at in his first 34 at USC (22-12) than he did in his entire 65-game career at Oklahoma (65-10). His Trojans have dropped three straight by a combined 11 points after last week’s 4th quarter collapse at Maryland and they’re 8-7 in one-possession games during his tenure. A fourth straight loss would match a 2021 streak under interim coach Donte Williams and a 2001 four-game skid during Pete Carroll’s for USC’s worst streak since 2000 when it lost five straight en route to a 5-7 finish in Paul Hackett’s final season.

  • Oklahoma’s looking to avoid a third straight loss and a fourth in five games after being throttled by Texas (34-3) and South Carolina (35-9) the last two weeks. It’s the first time they’ve had single-digit points in back-to-back games since 1998 (final season under John Blake). A third straight loss would also match a streak from Riley’s 2022 season for the Sooners’ worst since losing five straight in 1998.

13. Now #13 In My Heart AND the AP Poll! — #13 Indiana (7-0, 4-0) (vs Washington)

I’ll admit I didn’t dare dream of the part where they’re ranked ahead of Alabama

And finally, Indiana is holding strong as a 6.5-point favorite against Washington as it hosts College Gameday for the first time, despite it looking like star QB Kurtis Rourke will miss at least this game with a thumb injury that isn’t expected to end his season. It’s a hurdle for the Hoosiers and backup Tayven Jackson to clear as they look to match the 1967 Hoosiers for the best start in program history at 8-0.

  • Jackson went 7-for-8 with a pair of touchdowns last week after entering for Rourke. He started five games for a vastly inferior IU last year and posted a 2-3 win-loss record, two touchdowns and three interceptions. He’d also seen brief mop up duty earlier this season, going 3-3 for 104 yards and touchdowns both passing and rushing against Western Illinois and 2-7 for 30 yards without a score against Charlotte. He’s 12-for-18 for 225 yards and three scores without a pick this season overall.

  • My dream started with a program-best 9-0 back in Week 4, and it looks plenty attainable even with Rourke on the shelf as the Hoosiers head to Michigan State next week (ESPN’s Matchup Predictor makes IU essentially a 5:1 favorite). At this point, I’ve seen enough from opponent number 10 Michigan to dream a little bigger for the Hoosiers — we’re now officially dreaming of 10-0. We don’t need to talk about Game 11 yet…

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