📌Monthly Op-Ex Pins Us

*This one is long, make sure you click through to the site to read it, because your email provider might cut off the bottom of the email and there are some good charts in there at the bottom!*

Welcome to the Daily Report, where I review the day’s market moves and their drivers. I share signals for two portfolios, along with many Special Opportunity trades throughout the year.

• Short-Term - 4-to-10-day trades, up 58% in 2025 and up 24.82% in 2026 (vs. 12.4% on SPX as of 8/19/26)

• My retirement accounts - Mean reversion systems averaging 10–20% long term

All setups are backtested, and trades are executed at day’s end or on the open tomorrow. I personally follow these signals—full transparency.

Let’s review what happened today!

If you have questions, go here and watch the videos and read the FAQ. And feel free to send me a message - you’ll hear from me soon if you don’t anyway.

It was a pretty classic Options Expiration today, with a lot of moves that started one way and finished another.

I noticed a lot of Semis opened strong and faded badly as Market Makers dropped them into the magnetized, weaponized higher gamma Put Walls.

Sector-wise it was a rough day for Utes. Materials ended higher as the inflation trade has gotten an extreme-mega-super-charge from Scott “The Trader” Bessent. He’s getting humbled by markets so far after sticking his neck out there and trying to wag his finger at the wisdom of the crowds.

The INFL 0.00%↑ INFL (Inflation ETF) is going parabolic after the Bessent Blunder. I have to chuckle at this, but it’s really not funny because I’m going to go to the store and get pissed off that prices are going up. You are talking about a move up of 5% in just 3 sessions. Not a joke. It’s OK, he has lunch with Kevin Warsh on Monday every week and they can talk about a plan to get this fixed again.

The comments from some of these trading desks regarding the Bessent “Intervention” were just brutal this week. The most salient ones (and the thing I personally noticed about this debacle) was that they JUST released the Treasury Re-Funding Announcement 2 weeks ago. For like 50 years the Treasury has prided itself with having a plan and telling markets clearly what’s going on. When he jumped up there and ripped that thing apart and said “guess what we are going to do?!” he inadvertently spooked the Bond Markets. He burned credibility - which is not exactly in high supply.

We got a Hindenburg Cluster last week - we noted it for our Subs.

If you want to read about the YGT Hindenburg Omens, go here:

So far, it’s been a good signal - just like the last clusters were and the ones before that. Subs get access to these models when they ping.

We discussed the Gas prices this morning still rocketing higher, but we are also seeing Tanker stocks and Tanker rates hitting obscene levels - going parabolic. Check out the Tanker ETF BWET 0.00%↑ BWET.

We keep hearing conflicting reports of how the US is getting a bunch of ships through the Strait of Hormuz via the Navy - much more than the “media” reports. If that were the case, this would not be going parabolic. Follow the stocks, not the stupid headlines or obfuscation coming out of DC. When this crests, breaks and starts to dump we’ll know things are progressing - I’ll be the first one to jump all over the trades that will result.

PolyMarket also has the odds of normal Hormuz traffic by October almost at 0.

This week sucked! Is it going to get better next week?

Well, Options Expiration is known for initiating trend changes. What does the Gamma Profile say? Well, the Gamma Profile for 9/18 is on the left and the one for today is on the right. Do you see a big difference? I don’t. There is a lot of support right here at 760-765 on SPY, with room up to 790 by September if we rally. I hate to say it, but it could just be more sideways to down action again. Ugh!

But there are some stocks that have totally different profiles for September. We are trading some of them.

We are going to cover a country that has some bombed out breadth tonight. It’s off the radar, probably not what anyone is talking about.