What do I need to confess… ?
I got in on a trade before confirmation! Let me explain. I loved the volume coming in on AXTI yesterday. It was consolidating well over the 200 EMA so I got in on the Long Lower Shadows. I knew I would get out if that was lost. My thesis turned out. I hesitate to share a thesis like that. But, just know that if you ever get in on a trade you need to know where your sells 🎯 are and where your 🛑 is. (Calls went 145% in 15 minutes)!
Look at how it ended. Sell into strength at the open. Then, enjoy the day. IF you break the rules, still know where your “when” is (🎯🛑).
I’ve shared so many winners but that’s not my advantage. I know “WHEN.” When am I in? When am I out? I know exactly when…
Thank you for any ❤️ restacks ♻️, engagement. I’ll put my charts up against anyones.
PATH was the big winner yesterday. It was alerted in Discord. Easy trade on this one.
AIRJ went well > 20% this week. Just look at that volume!
Click for 25% off your 1st Month
OWL … a 16% move this week. I think it has at least one more push in it. My final sell missed by 5 cents this morning.
The lesson for the week has to be “Long Lower Shadows.” This hit 3 🎯s in 3 DAYS 🙌
🚨 Discord Update: Every subscriber will have limited access to the Server (Link). To get full access to the Private Channels, and 🚨s, you’ll need to be a paid subscriber and click here. This is a Sidestack add-on that will actively manage permissions.
Sometimes a sector is just staring us right in the Face. I’ll share my top Gold Setup 👇
White Lines = Resistance or Support (Trigger)
Red Lines = Targets 🎯
Yellow Lines = Premarket Levels
🗒️ None of my charts are a plan to jump in blindly. They are all binary conditionals; trigger + confirmation + 🎯= 🏆.
I will use DISCORD to provide current levels on other charts IF news drops. If you’re looking for more charts, check out X (Link).
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Note: 🎬 = I have no position yet. 🔁 = Newsletter is currently swinging
Thesis: Falling Wedge Breakout
A high wick does not destroy the structure. This was profit taking + weak macro.
News/Fundamentals
AXT, Inc. Announces Long-Term Supplier Agreement with Lumentum: A definitive deal locks in Lumentum’s indium phosphide wafer demand through 2031 with $87M in deposits, reinforcing the multi-year runway behind this breakout.
AXTI Stock Rockets As AI Demand Turns Earnings Into Breakout: The gap was earnings-driven — Q2 EPS of $0.19 crushed the $0.07 estimate on revenue that nearly tripled year over year, and Q3 guidance of roughly $66M blew past Street’s $38.8M
Prompting Needham to upgrade to Buy at $90 and Wedbush to reiterate Outperform at $93.
AXT Sees Highest Quarterly Indium Phosphide Revenue Ever: Indium phosphide revenue hit a record $30.7M with backlog north of $100M, as management flags AI data-center optical demand outrunning current supply.
🚨 Trigger: 68.7
🛑 Stop: < 68.5
🎯 Targets: $76.96 → $88.42 → $110.20
🔁 My personal plan: Calls (9/18 exp, $80 strike)
Thesis: Falling wedge reversal breakout
The volume and the trend line are still there. The bottom wicks are finding support.
News/Fundamentals
Agility Robotics to Go Public Through Merger with Churchill Capital Corp XI: Digit robots are already logging 65,000+ operational hours across nine facilities including Schaeffler, GXO, Toyota and Mercado Libre, with $300M+ in contracted Digit v5 orders backing the merger story.
Agility Robotics, Churchill XI file draft S-4 for merger: The confidential S-4 submission on July 13 pushes the deal into SEC review, another step toward the ticker flipping to AGLT later this year.
Churchill Capital Corp XI Surges After Announcing Agility Robotics Merger: The combination brings over $620M in gross proceeds, anchored by a Foxconn-led ~$200M PIPE at $10/share alongside Churchill’s ~$420M trust, funding the Digit v5 production ramp.
🚨 Trigger: DCA as long as today’s low holds. Breakout > 15.40
🛑 Stop: Soft stop, daily close < $14.60
🎯 Targets: $16.45 → $17.40 → $19.59
🔁 My personal plan: Commons
Thesis: Falling Wedge Breakout on Volume. This is my favorite kind of setup.
I’m choosing this one because Earnings are in. You might also like this one.
News/Fundamentals
Hecla Mining (HL) Rallies As Drilling Results Fuel Silver Momentum: Q2 drill results at Keno Hill, Midas, Greens Creek, and Lucky Friday extended high-grade silver and gold zones — including a record 1.5-million-ounce quarter at Lucky
Silver prices today, Tuesday, August 4, 2026: silver is holding above $58/oz, up 57% over the past year on tight supply and surging industrial demand, and as the largest silver producer in the U.S. and Canada, HL is about as direct a way to play that move as it gets.
Hecla Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results: Tuesday’s print showed $483 million in cash and zero debt — the strongest balance sheet in company history — on top of $136 million in free cash flow (keep funding growth while Silver runs)
🚨 Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $17
🛑 Stop: Soft stop, daily close < $17
🎯 Targets: $20.85 → $24.50
🎬 My personal plan: 9/18 Calls, 18 Strike
Thesis: Major Support Holding, Volume Confirmed
CRCL is finding buyers at a level that’s acted as the floor for this multi-month base
News/Fundamentals
Circle Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results: Circle reaffirmed USDC circulation growth at a 40% CAGR through 2026 and nearly doubled its “other revenue” guidance to $310–330 million
CRCL Stock Shrugs Off Q2 Miss – Circle CEO Is Betting On Growth Beyond USDC Stablecoin: sentiment on the stock flipped bullish right after the print despite a headline EPS miss, investors are watching guidance
Circle's USDC is backed by cash and short-term Treasuries, so 1 USDC should always be redeemable for $1 — it's basically "dollars on a blockchain," used for trading, cross-border payments, and settlement without touching the traditional banking system. Yes, DXY is down but a softer dollar tends to push global demand toward dollar-denominated assets
🚨 Trigger: DCA as long as $59.29 support holds
🛑 Stop: Soft stop, daily close < $59
🎯 Targets: $66.24 → $72.86 → $87.30 → $108.72
🎬 My personal plan: 9/18 Calls, 65 Strike
Thesis: Compressing above 20 EMA support
Shoutout to my friend ZaStocks for sharing this one. He is as solid as they come! I did not share this earlier because I’m not seeing volume spikes. However, the volume shelves and 20 EMA support are enough for me.
🚨 Trigger: We are already in. Continuat > 53.42
🛑 Stop: Soft stop, daily close < $44.00
🎯 Targets: $52.91 → $55.99 → $64.25
🔁 My personal plan: Calls (9/4 exp, $50 strike)
Thesis: Volume Spikes + Volume Support + Volume Gap Above = A+
The only crime this committed? It was up in pre on no news. Higher Hi’s/Lows are good
🚨 Trigger: Hold as long as $13.2 support holds
🛑 Stop: Soft stop — daily close < $13.1
🎯 Targets: $14.32 → $15.50
🎬 My personal plan: Commons
Thesis: Post-Earnings Gap Fill Setup
Just look at Googl and how it filled that gap. The more it holds support the more that is likely.
News/Fundamentals
iPhones and home hardware: what to expect from Apple for the rest of 2026: a loaded September slate — iPhone 18 Pro, a new foldable, updated Watches and iPads — sets up the next demand catalyst right as this gap tries to fill
Apple Stock (AAPL) Falls 9% Post-Earnings, but This Five-Star Analyst Lifts Target to a Street-High $400: TD Cowen’s Krish Sankar used the post-earnings drop to raise his target to a Street-high $400, arguing the guidance-driven selloff overshot given pricing power and resilient iPhone demand.
Apple Reports 3Q 2026 Results: the quarter itself was a record — $109.4B in revenue, iPhone up 22% and Mac’s best quarter ever, with gross margin expanding to 50.1% — the kind of print that makes the post-earnings dip look more like a guidance overreaction than a demand problem.
🚨 Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $311.80
🛑 Stop: Soft stop, daily close < $311
🎯 Targets: $317.40 → $323.45
🎬 My personal plan: 8/14 Calls, 315 Strike
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🖥️ Updates may be provided in Substack Threads (“Volume Stocks Charts” channel). I will send out that email any time I start a new Thread.
Disclaimer: None of my charts are a prediction. I follow a Binary Process. Losses will occur. Develop your own plan. I am not an Investment Advisory. These are just my personal lines on a chart. What you do with them is up to you. Full disclaimer
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