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The Big Picture · Aug 19, 2026

This Week In The Big Picture

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The Big Picture · The Big Picture

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Republican president wins the electoral college despite losing the popular vote; he then wins a second term with a narrow popular vote victory, which he misreads as a mandate, leading him to overreach with his second term agenda; his mismanagement of a costly and unpopular war in the Middle East helps drive his approval rating into the low 30s, fueling a blue wave midterm election in which Democrats win back both chambers of Congress.

Twenty years ago, this was precisely the trajectory of George W. Bush’s rise and fall. And this year, history is repeating.

In tomorrow’s piece, Todd Beeton digs into the similarities between 2026 and 2006, and explores what lessons Democrats can take away from that cycle as they prepare not just to repeat Democrats’ 2006 midterm performance, but their 2008 result as well, when a massive presidential victory fueled the expansion of their congressional majorities.

And in case you missed it yesterday, Jay Kuo broke down the growing bipartisan backlash to the rapid expansion of data centers, which are driving up electricity costs and causing ill health effects for those who live near them. As Trump remains firmly behind the expansion, can Democrats harness the populist anger against these data centers, even as many labor unions see them as a boon for jobs and wages?

Read the original on thinkbigpicture.substack.com

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