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Thibaud Chatel’s Newsletter · May 9, 2025

Predicting the World Championships?

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Thibaud Chatel · Thibaud Chatel’s Newsletter

It is Stanley Cup Playoffs time.

It is also World Championships time. It might not matter much to fans in North-America but it is a quite bigger deal for Europeans.

If you are not a new visitor here, you know we own a database of about 50 leagues around the world.

Which allowed us to create coefficents converting any players into any league value, and of course NHLe. Which becomes handy for the WC, because how do we value a roster including players from various leagues?

For the World Championships, we took the 420 players enlisted and converted their value into NHLe, just like if we were projecting them in the NHL next season, allowing us to establish team’s overall values, rolled the schedule… and ta dammmm.

Nothing fancy but it would go like:

GROUPE A:

  1. Canada

  2. Sweden

  3. Finland

  4. Latvia

  5. Slovakia

  6. Austria

  7. Slovenia

  8. France

GROUPE B:

  1. USA

  2. Czechia

  3. Switzerland

  4. Germany

  5. Denmark

  6. Norway

  7. Kazakhstan

  8. Hungary

Which would mean:

Canada > Germany

Sweden > Switzerland

Czechia > Finland

USA > Latvia

Canada > Sweden

USA > Czechia

And Canada would win the gold medal against the USA.

How wrong will we be?

Read the original on thibaudchatel.substack.com

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