Conference Championships

Ok, ok. Technically the Super Bowl is the last day of football, but thats only one game.

This is the last time you can cozy up on the couch for a double feature and it comes as a massive blizzard is sweeping across the US.

So curl up. Make a baked pasta. And enjoy every second.

You can watch The Fake Sharps break down both games on our YouTube page:

The Degenerate Weekly

NFL: 33-28-1 (-.08 Units)

CFB: 23-30-1 (-9.87Units)

The only thing more surprising than that Bo Nix injury has been the onslought of belief in his backup Jarrett Stidham. Everyone has a stat or a trend that they can point to justify betting on the Broncos.

John Ewing@johnewing

In the last 50 years, home underdogs of 4 or more points against the spread in the NFL Playoffs: W W W W W W W W W Big home dogs are 9-0 ATS per @EvanHAbrams ✅ @Broncos +5 vs. Patriots Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

2:00 AM · Jan 21, 2026 · 72K Views

26 Replies · 31 Reposts · 493 Likes

Look, we’re not going to sit here and tell you that the Broncos are public. But when too many sharp bettors look at this as an obvious Denver spot we have to take a step back and say “what’s going on”.

The Bronocs have one of the best defenses in the NFL. And thier offensive line is like nothing the Patriots have seen so far in the Playoffs. Can they put together and opening drive? Sure. Can Stidham put together a good enough game to advance? Maybe, but we aren’t betting on it.

Sean Payton has done an amazing job this year, but we are all in agreement that the run stops here.

Paul Hembekides (Hembo)@PaulHembo

Sean Payton is hosting a conference championship game coaching a team whose highest-paid player is Russell Wilson ($32M dead charge).

1:15 AM · Jan 18, 2026 · 1.03M Views

66 Replies · 615 Reposts · 14.4K Likes

• Under 42.5 - Jeff

• Patriots -4.5 - Greg

• Patriots -4.5 - Steak

The Super Bowl before the Super Bowl. Round Three.

The first to matchups were decided by a total of three points.

We should be in for an amazing game on Sunday Night.

The Rams have been one of the best teams all year, but they squeaked out wins at Carolina and Chicago. This will be there 3rd straight road game. They are coming off a game in OT. And they get a rest disadvantage since Seattle played on Thursday.

Seattle has THE best defense in the NFL.

Ian Hartitz@Ihartitz

Defenses to lead the NFL in fewest yards per rush *and* fewest net yards per pass attempt since 2000 (including playoffs): 2000 Ravens 2008 Steelers 2010 Steelers 2015 Broncos 2025 Seahawks

5:07 PM · Jan 21, 2026 · 117K Views

6 Replies · 55 Reposts · 915 Likes

The problem with betting Seattle is you are once again betting on Sam Darnold not turning into a pumpkin. You are betting against the best QB/Head Coach combo remaining.

Puka went off last time they played. There is no shame in fading Sam Darnold as the pressure turns up a little more.

We are all across the board - Jeff on the Rams, Steak on the Seahawks, and Greg thinking that with the first two games being so tight that the damn breaks and the Seahawks roll.

• Rams +2.5 - Jeff

• Seahawks TTO 23.5 - Greg

• Seahawks -2.5 Steak