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Predictive History Substack

I analyze history to connect the past, explain the present, and predict the future.

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Meet-Ups with Professor Jiang: Tampa, Austin, Toronto

Look forward to meeting everyone in Tampa, Austin, and Toronto.

China's Art of the Compromise

In a world at war, China seeks peace, and is thus doomed.

Twilight of the Meritocracy

Abdul Al-Sayed is insurgent, and many hope this is the Democrats' Tea Party moment. Voters, who hate the meritocracy more than war, may differ.

Zoom Discussion: The Blackmailing of Spain

Over 50,000 migrants have flooded into Ceuta, Spain. Migrants will always be the Sword of Damocles hanging over Europe, forcing Europeans to capitulate to imperialist demands.

Emergency Zoom Discussion #2: Crisis in Spain

Saturday, August 1st at 9am Beijing time

Welcome to the Point of No Return

The MOU between the United States and Iran is dead, and the war is spreading across the region. Trump jokes, as the world burns.

Emergency Zoom Discussion #1 on YouTube

We discussed Spain winning the World Cup, as well as the possibility of a US ground invasion into Iran.

Emergency Livestream #1: The World Cup

Analyzing the results of the World Cup. Monday, July 20 at 9am Beijing time.

Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World Cup

A recording from Predictive History's live video

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The Perfect Storm

The Bronze Age collapse began with wars, earthquakes, and droughts. So will ours.