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Miami Condo Investing Club™ · Aug 15, 2026

Zalewski: 2nd Half Of Summer Buying Season To Offer 'Golden Opportunity' For Condo Investors

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Miami Condo Investing Club™ · Miami Condo Investing Club™

Expert Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ hosts a Monthly Meeting for members on the second Wednesday of every month at 4 pm.

During the one-hour virtual presentation, Zalewski—who is a former financial journalist, a Wall Street consultant, an expert witness and a nonpracticing real estate broker—helps Club members to better understand where the South Florida condo market is right now, where it was and where it is going in the months ahead.

All charts shown during the August 2026 Monthly Virtual Meeting are available with this link.

The Monthly Meeting is livestreamed, after which it is made available for on-demand viewing by Club members.

Founded in 2024, the objective of the Club is to create a community that shares realtime, actionable information on the latest real estate trends, opportunities and service providers in South Florida.

Besides real estate professionals, developers and lenders, the Club is also ideally suited for Do-It-Yourself (DIY) condo buyers and real estate agents, alike, who can utilize our latest statistics, expert opinions and access to consulting services.

For more information on the Club, please visit MiamiCondo.Club.

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Episode Overview

In the August 2026 Monthly Meeting recorded on Aug. 12, 2026, Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ explains why the buyer advantage over cash-strapped sellers in the tricounty South Florida of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach is set to peak during the second half of the 2026 Summer Buying Season of May through October.

The 90-day window of August through October—which Zalewski calls a “golden opportunity” for condo investors—arrives as the tricounty region is struggling through an abnormally sluggish Summer Buying Season that may prove to be one of the slowest stretches since the early days of the pandemic.

During his 64-minute presentation, Zalewski reviews the same slate of financial indicators he tracks each month, from the Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate to the 10-year Treasury, and the U.S. unemployment rate to the Federal Funds Rate trajectory under new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh.

DIY with club

Zalewski explains why a stubborn inflation reading north of 3% continues to complicate any near-term relief on mortgage rates, which he pegs at 7.7% for the average borrower once the standard three-point spread over the 10-year Treasury is applied.

He also revisits Miami’s six-week run as a World Cup host city, which delivered seven matches and drew 450,000 spectators to Hard Rock Stadium, and explains why active listings and pending sales both retreated during the tournament rather than climbing as developers and sellside agents predicted.

Zalewski supports that with fresh rental figures showing the tricounty median rent has fallen to its lowest level since 2021, pressuring existing condo investors and accidental landlords still holding units purchased during the pandemic run-up between 2021 and 2023.

The Monthly Meeting also touches on Fannie Mae financing changes that took effect Aug. 3, 2026, eliminating limited reviews for condo associations and thinning the pool of eligible buyers.

Vintage condo inventory

Zalewski shares a fresh reading on the South Florida Overall Condo Cliff Index™, which has fallen about 6.7% since the close of the 2025-26 Winter Buying Season on April 28, 2026.

He also points to the South Florida Vintage Condo Cliff Index™, which has dropped about 7.2% over the same 15-week stretch.

Zalewski reaffirms his January 2025 call for a 40% price drop from pandemic highs. He explains why sellers holding out for relief are unlikely to find it before the 2026-27 Winter Buying Season begins in November, a month also clouded by the midterm elections.

Click play above to watch Zalewski’s analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.

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Episode Timeline (Excluding Introduction and Closing)

  • 00:00 - Introduction

  • 01:37 - August 2026 Monthly Meeting Overview

  • 04:28 - 2026 Summer Buying Season Recap

  • 07:40 - Remote Work Migration To South Florida

  • 09:00 - Rental Market Hitting 2021 Lows

  • 10:55 - Seller Psychology In Declining Market

  • 13:05 - Mandatory Inspections Cost Impact

  • 15:07 - Federal Reserve Rate Policy

  • 17:00 - Fannie Mae Mortgage Rule Changes

  • 18:20 - 40% Price Drop Prediction

  • 20:25 - World Cup Impact On Condo Sales

  • 23:00 - Midterm Elections Adding Uncertainty

  • 26:35 - Key Financial Stats Currency Rates

  • 28:35 - Inflation Data

Gain a listing advantage

  • 30:00 - Unemployment Data Overview

  • 31:30 - Fannie Mae Reserve Requirement Changes

  • 33:00 - World Cup Listing Count Breakdown

  • 36:00 - Vintage Vs. Modern Condo Pricing During World Cup

  • 41:30 - South Florida Overall Condo Market Stats

  • 43:00 - Modern Condo Market Supply Overview

  • 46:00 - Vintage Condo Buyer Preference Explained

  • 49:30 - Shortsale Market Overview

  • 52:00 - REO Foreclosure Market Breakdown

  • 55:30 - Rental Supply Days On Market

  • 57:05 - 1% Rule Of Real Estate Investing

  • 60:07 - County By County Index Comparison

  • 62:30 - Asking Price Vs. Pending Sale Trends

  • 64:05 - Conclusion

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Episode Top 10 Takeaways

  1. Zalewski reaffirms his January 2025 call for a 40% price drop in the tricounty South Florida region from pandemic highs.

Read the original on peterzalewski.substack.com

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