Jobs and the economy still top the unprompted list of national concerns at 19.6 per cent, easing from 20.6 four weeks ago, while inflation has slipped to 10.1 from 11.6. The mover is Trump and relations with the United States, up to 11.4 per cent from 8.4, now second only to the economy; environment (7.6%), health care (7.5%) and housing (4.5%) trail behind.
Against that backdrop, Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 45.7 per cent, the Conservatives at 28.5, the NDP at 13.7, the Bloc at 6.2, the Greens at 4.0 and the People's Party at 1.5. On preferred prime minister, Mark Carney leads at 52.6 per cent, well ahead of Pierre Poilievre at 18.1, with 16 per cent unsure.
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Ballot – The latest Nanos federal ballot tracking has the Liberals at 45.7 per cent, the Conservatives at 28.5 the NDP at 13.7 per cent, the Bloc at 6.2 per cent, the Green Party at 4.0 per cent and the Peoples Party at 1.5 per cent.
Nanos Party Power Index – The Nanos Index which is a composite of a series of measures including ballot and leadership impressions has the Liberals at 64.5 points, followed by the Conservatives at 43.1 points, the NDP with 36.1 points, the Greens 29.5 points, the People’s Party 22.8 points and the BQ 34.0 points (QC only).
Preferred Prime Minister – Nanos tracking has Carney as the preferred choice as PM at 52.6 per cent of Canadians followed by Poilievre (18.1%), Lewis (4.7%), May (3.5%), Blanchet (2.6%), and Bernier (1.9%). Sixteen per cent of Canadians were unsure whom they preferred.
Visit the live Nanos data portal where you can dynamically chart ballot, preferred PM and Nanos Index numbers by region, gender and age. The methodology for the weekly tracking is posted here. PDFs of the polling reports are on the Nanos website.
For this report and other Nanos data points visit www.nanos.co.
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The respondents are recruited from a dual frame (land + cell-lines) random telephone sample of 1,000 Canadians using a four week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over.
The random sample of 1,031 respondents may be weighted by age and gender using the latest census information for Canada. The interviews are compiled into a four week rolling average of 1,000 interviews, where each week the oldest group of 250 interviews is dropped and a new group of 250 interviews is added. Current data is for the four week period ending August 14, 2026.
A random survey of 1,031 Canadians is accurate ±3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20.
Since voters are not actually able to make a choice between elections, it is interesting to think about party strength and support more broadly. The Nanos Party Power Index fills this need by incorporating more information than just current vote preference.
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