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The Event Horizon · Aug 12, 2026

No One Is Actually Betting On Wildfires, Despite All The Heat On Prediction Markets

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Prediction markets roundup: CFTC tells Kalshi to keep operating as New York seeks to shut it down; update on FlightAware vs. Kalshi; Polymarket makes some key hires.

See it on nexteventhorizon.substack.com

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