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The Event Horizon

Prediction markets news, daily roundups, analysis and legal insights from Dustin Gouker, covering Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, DraftKings, sports event contracts, regulation and more.

nexteventhorizon.substack.comSource feed ↗10 episodes

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If You Limit Or Ban Prediction Markets, All Of That Action Isn’t Going Offshore

Prediction markets news roundup: Kalshi files for perps tied to equity indexes, early returns from Novig launch and NFL preseason trading

You Can Bet On Cartel Leaders Being Arrested At Polymarket

Prediction markets news roundup: Polymarket US is finally testing parlays heading into football season; election betting raises concerns about midterms.

Episode 28: Prediction Market Policy With Aaron Klein Of The Brookings Institution

Prediction markets news roundup: Nevada wants court to make Kalshi pay fines; report says Israeli Air Force officer arrested for alleged Polymarket bets.

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Sports Mention Markets Are Gone At Kalshi For Now, But Will They Return?

Prediction markets news roundup: Federal judge tells Kalshi to cease a lot of markets in Washington state; White House to host prediction markets next week; JP Morgan reportedly debanked Polymarket.

Novig Announces ‘Responsible Trading Framework’ For Its Prediction Market, Including Minimum Age Of 21

Prediction markets news roundup: New York City Council is investigating Kalshi and Polymarket, while Baltimore sues the two companies.

No One Is Actually Betting On Wildfires, Despite All The Heat On Prediction Markets

Prediction markets roundup: CFTC tells Kalshi to keep operating as New York seeks to shut it down; update on FlightAware vs. Kalshi; Polymarket makes some key hires.

FlightAware Sues Kalshi Over Flight-Cancellation Markets

Prediction markets roundup: Kalshi suffers another setback in federal court, this time in Connecticut; DraftKings self-certifies parlays; Kalshi partners with Nasdaq on market surveillance.

Episode 27: Interview With ProphetX Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen

Plus, everyone is upset about betting on wildfires and drug trials. Prediction markets news roundup: CFTC says to stop displaying American odds; Kalshi CEO talks to NYT

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We Might Be Able To Bet On Prediction Market Trading Volume?

Prediction markets roundup: Polymarket signs deal with MLB’s New York Yankees; DraftKings reports Q2; Kalshi has a new commercial.

The 15-Minute-ification Of Prediction Markets

Prediction markets roundup: What FanDuel’s Q2 earnings revealed about its prediction market business; Utah weighs its next steps in court battle.