Trading Update: +37% Year-to-Date. My Picks for Next Week Inside

Readers,

Welcome back to My Weekly Stock.

A new week is around the corner, which means one thing for me: preparing my trading plan.

Each week, my algo selects 3 momentum picks to trade from Monday open till Friday close.

The result? 964% return since 2019, or 32% average annual return and outperforming the S&P 500 by 5×.

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Here are the top highlights for my weekly momentum strategy:

• Last week: -3.3%. All 3 picks stopped out early.

• 2026 YTD: +42% | Since 2019: +964%, 32% CAGR. 57% Hit rate.

• Week ahead: 2 longs (Dow30, Large Cap), 1 short (Nasdaq100).

📌 Trading week reflections:

All three picks were stopped out early, resulting in a sixth consecutive weekly loss and my worst 12-week stretch since launching the strategy. It has clearly been a very difficult environment for momentum trading, with intra-week volatility and rapid sector rotation making it exceptionally challenging to stay in positions long enough for trends to develop.

On the positive side, my execution has remained disciplined despite the constant temptation to go off script or revenge trade. The market is challenging enough without compounding the problem with execution mistakes. At this point, my focus is simply on trusting the process, avoiding impulsive decisions, and waiting for market conditions to become more favorable.

After years of research, I’ve developed a winning momentum strategy that cuts through market noise. If you’re new here or want a deeper dive into my strategy, check out my detailed post below:

I use a proprietary algorithm to evaluate momentum for every stock on my watchlist, analyzing key indicators like 1-month and 3-month returns, performance relative to 52-week highs and lows, and trend strength. I then scored and ranked my watchlist from highest to lowest. I apply my algorithm weekly across 3 different watchlists: the Dow Jones 30, US mega-caps ($150B+ market cap), and the Nasdaq 100.

From there, I overlay my assessment of market momentum conditions to finalize my trading plan: selecting the top- or bottom-ranked stocks, deciding whether to go long or short, and setting the stop-loss rules.

Since these picks are often well into their up (or down) trends, I use tight stop-losses to manage risk as reversals can be swift.

The end result? 3 momentum picks per week I hold from Monday open to Friday close. Rule-based, no second-guessing.

Since 2019, my momentum picks have delivered a cumulative return of +964% (with stop-loss rules applied), roughly 5× the S&P 500 over the same period. That translates into a 32% CAGR.

At the weekly level, the strategy has a 57% hit rate. The maximum drawdown is -19%, and the worst rolling 12-week return is -15%.

Last week, I traded 3 longs:

• Dow 30 – AAPL: -2.’%

• Large Cap – ORCL: -4.0%

• Nasdaq – PANW : -4.0%

The average return for the week was -3.3%, bringing my 2026 performance to +37%.

My 3 picks were stopped out early, resulting in a sixth consecutive weekly loss and my worst 12-week stretch since I started this strategy. It's clearly been a very difficult environment for momentum trading.

From 2019 through 2024, the strategy was based solely on one pick from the Dow 30 index. In 2025, I expanded to include a pick from Large Caps, and in January 2026, one from the Nasdaq 100 index.

While I have backtested results since 2022 for the additional watchlists, I only include live, publicly published picks in the official performance record.

Returns are calculated from Monday’s market open to Friday’s close, unless a stop-loss is triggered. Performance is compounded weekly.

Paid subscribers have access to all the details behind the picks.