Polymarket needs to completely overhaul their market resolution system
In the wake of the contested "Strategy sells BTC by May 31" market, Polymarket should abandon UMA and settle markets directly
Murmurations II
The second edition of Murmurations, a publication devoted to stablecoins, fintech, startups, and other assorted musings.
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Stablecoins are private money. There’s nothing wrong with that
A response to the WSJ and a century of misreadings of the "free banking" era
AI is not hiking your electricity bill – yet
Consumers worry about AI is driving up their bills. But inflation and the climate transition are to blame
If the Quantum Canary Sings, It’s Too Late
Why we can't rely on early warning systems for an ECDLP break
Prediction markets have an inescapable insider trading problem
Prediction markets promise accuracy via informational edge – but too much edge drives users away. Is a balance possible?
How to resolve the matter of the Satoshi coins without a freeze
It sounds crazy, but it just might work
One simple reason why I think Satoshi is no longer with us
Satoshi wouldn't sit idly by and leave Bitcoin to its fate at a time like this
My Takeaways from Google’s and Oratomic’s Quantum Resource Estimate papers
A discussion of the implications of two papers on quantum resource estimates for an ECC-256 break
The One Huge Oversight in Project Hail Mary
What do Eridians know about music theory?
Prediction Markets Are Not Good Markets (Yet)
Prediction markets suffer from some under-discussed but critical structural problems that might permanently impair their growth