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Andrew Fox

Ground-truth conflict analysis from someone who's actually been there. As a former British paratrooper and Royal Military Academy Sandhurst lecturer, I'm one of the few academic researchers in the world who go to the front lines they write about.

mrandrewfox.substack.comSource feed ↗15 episodes

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TRUMP'S ECONOMIC WAR ON IRAN WILL TRIGGER CHINA - w/ Andrew Fox

A recording from Andrew Fox and Pyotr Kurzin's live video

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Israel and Turkey are drifting towards a needless crisis

Online hysteria is trying to turn a minor problem at a Syrian airbase into a reckless confrontation with Turkey, NATO’s second-largest army.

Trump is making the Iranian people pay for his failed war

Trump promised Iranians that help was coming. His remaining strategy is to impoverish them until their rulers surrender.

The ghouls feeding on Hind Rajab’s death

An IDF investigation has produced no verdict and no new evidence of guilt. The online mob is exploiting the tragedy for clicks anyway.

Hamas’s war on Gaza’s children

Gazans describe the machinery of indoctrination and coercion, and why it will endure while Hamas remains armed.

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The Suicide of a Hegemon

The war in Iran depleted weapons important to American global power projection. Trump 2.0 shows how he is squandering the alliances needed to sustain it.

Shame on the "genocide scholars"

A coterie of historians and sociologists has appointed itself judge and jury over Gaza. Its reckless verdicts have consequences far beyond the seminar room.

The Iran war outcome is even worse than most realise

Trump is reportedly prepared to end the war if Iran reopens Hormuz, even without a nuclear deal. Washington may emerge with the shipping lane restored and every original strategic danger made worse.

The Houthis have found Saudi Arabia’s jugular

Yemen’s rulers stayed cautious through five months of war. Then Riyadh touched their red line, and they went after the kingdom’s oil escape route.

The Green-Reform Grievance Machine

Britain’s insurgent left and right sell different fears through the same politics of tribal arousal.

Ceuta’s phantom invasion

The online right declared the fall of Europe. By nightfall, most of the supposed invaders were already back in Morocco.

The Brink’s Monthly Live Q&A

A recording from Andrew Fox and The Brink's live video

Collapse of the Blood Libels

Every pillar of the genocide accusation against Israel has crumbled. The institutions that built it have suddenly lost their voices.

Iran has Trump exactly where it wants him

Tehran can endure the bombs while Hormuz bleeds the world economy. Trump now faces a humiliating deal, full regime change or nuclear catastrophe.

America is winning every battle against Iran. It is still losing the war.

Gaza exposed the fatal gap between tactical supremacy and strategic victory. Trump is now repeating the same mistake on a far larger battlefield.