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Assistant Attorney General Harmeet Dhillon announced the Justice Department will deploy 1,000 election monitors for the midterms. Marc Elias has thoughts, and Hawk sets up the math before playing them. The Senate sits at 53 to 47. Democrats need four seats for a majority. Realistic targets include Alaska, Texas, Ohio, Maine, Iowa, North Carolina, and possibly Kansas and Nebraska, while holding open seats in Michigan and Minnesota. The House is tighter than it looks: Southern redistricting after this year's Voting Rights Act ruling is projected to cost Democrats a dozen seats, so the real number is closer to twenty. That math is the whole argument. Narrow margins give an administration something to work with. Overwhelming ones do not. Hawk's concern is the window between election day and swearing in, and the fact that the officials who refused Trump in 2020 are gone. Pat Cipollone, Bill Barr, and career DOJ lawyers said no then. The outside lawyers who said yes were disbarred or indicted. Their equivalents now hold the offices. Democracy Docket is at democracydocket.com.
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