On Estimation & Confidence
One of the best interview questions I’ve ever had was also one of the strangest, and it has taken me many years to appreciate the question. The question was: “Our company makes those little bottles of shampoo you see in hotels. How many bottles of shampoo should we produce next year?” Now, if you’re anything like me you might be thinking “I have no idea, and I don’t care - this is a stupid…