We spent the previous 9 lessons on theory. It’s time to place a trade.
I pulled the GLD option chain after the market closed on Thursday, July 30. Every number you'll see below comes straight from that snapshot.
Quick recap of Lesson 9:
✅ Delta tells you how much an option is expected to move when GLD moves $1. If your call has a delta of 0.60, and GLD goes up by $1, your option should gain about $0.60 per share, or $60 per contract.
✅ Call deltas run from 0 to 1. Put deltas run from 0 to -1.
✅ Delta also gives you a quick way to think about probability.
A call with a 0.60 delta has roughly a 60% chance of finishing in the money by expiration. It’s not precise since markets are messy. But as a shortcut, it’s surprisingly useful.
Most people make their first options trade in exactly the wrong order.
They open the option chain, scroll until they spot something cheap, click on it, and only then ask themselves what trade they’re actually trying to make.
That’s like walking into a supermarket, grabbing the first ingredients you see, and deciding what to cook on the drive home.
The option chain should be one of the last things you open.
Here’s the order we’ll use for the rest of this lesson:
Write down your trade idea.
Decide whether options are worth buying at all.
Pick the expiration date.
Shortlist a few strikes.
Check the liquidity.
Decide how many contracts to buy.
Fill in the order ticket.
Write down your exit plan.
Each step removes another decision.
By the time you reach the order ticket, there isn’t much left to think about.
Before you open the option chain, write down three things.
Direction. Up or down?
Target. Where do you think GLD goes? Write an actual price.
Timing. How long do you think it takes?
Here's the view I'll use throughout this lesson.
Gold grinds higher over the next three to four weeks, and GLD trades 3% to 5% above today's price.
GLD is trading at 371.11 as I’m writing this, so my target lands somewhere between 382 and 390.
So I’ve got 3 data points in my trade idea: up, 382-390, 3-4 weeks.
⚠️ One quick note before anyone copies this trade. This is a teaching example. I needed a bullish view so I could show you how to build a bullish options trade.
It’s not my current market view.
At the moment, I expect GLD to stay in a range until the September Fed meeting. If you’re interested in the trades I’m actually taking, that’s what the Sunday Gold Insider report is for.
We’re focusing on the process here, not the actual forecast.
Those 3 data points above drive almost every decision we’ll make next.
Direction → whether to look at calls or puts.
Timing → which expiration date makes sense.
Target → narrows down the strike price.
Before choosing a strike or expiration, we need to check if options are reasonably priced.
That comes down to implied volatility (IV) and that is what we covered in Lesson 8. If you buy when IV is already elevated, you’re paying a bigger premium before the trade has even started.
On Interactive Brokers, you’ll find this statistics tt the top of the option chain. Current numbers are:
IV Last: 22.3%.
52W IV Rank: 24 → where today's IV sits between the lowest and highest readings over the past year.
52W IV Perc: 45 → the percentage of trading days over the past year with lower IV than today.
So right now, options are priced somewhere between cheap and average. The trade passes the test.
If those numbers were closer to 60 or 70, I'd probably wait.
The exact call I’d choose from Thursday’s option chain - and why the cheapest-looking contract can still lose money, even if GLD reaches my target.
Why the same trade costs $1,525, $1,970, or $2,335 depending only on the expiration date you choose.
The position sizing problem almost every beginner runs into.
The exit plan I write before placing the trade, including the extra rule the September Fed meeting adds to this setup.

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