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The Free Market Speculator

Building Real Wealth in Financial Markets

freemarketspeculator.substack.comSource feed ↗11 episodes

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Why All Barrels Are Not Created Equal

Breaking down the hydrocarbon stream—crude, NGLs, and methane—to uncover where real cash margins are generated.

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Cracks in Private Credit or a Classic Sentiment Overshoot?

Watch now | Why Post-2008 Bank Rules Created a $2 Trillion Yield Machine—and Why the Recent Selloff Is an Opportunity

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High-Quality Problems: Booking Gains, Raising Targets, and Riding the Catalyst Wave

From ABCL's 50% surge to a dollar breakdown backing precious metals—here is how we are adjusting the model portfolio this week.

The Smart Money Trade: What COT Data Is Telling Us About the Dollar, Natural Gas, and the Long Bond

How the CFTC's weekly positioning data flagged oil's bottom last October — and what it's flagging now

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Why "Drill Baby Drill" Isn't Happening

The media keeps predicting a new US shale surge—here’s why Wall Street discipline and the futures curve mean it isn't happening.

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Understanding the $60+ Crack Spread: Why Oil's Headwinds Are Fading

Watch now | Front-month oil benchmark futures are down from their spring highs, but record-high crack spreads tell a very different story about global energy tightness.

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Why Strong Breadth Doesn't Mean What Most Investors Think

A data-driven look at 200-day breadth, AVWAP thrust signals, and a traffic-light framework for spotting elevated correction risk

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How to Piggyback on the Smartest Money in Biotech

The biotechnology sector is highly idiosyncratic with massive return dispersion. Here is a simple shortcut to steal the homework of five elite specialist funds—and three stocks to buy now.

Solar's Chernobyl Moment: Why China's Solar Boom Just Hit a Wall

Solar's growth arc is tracking nuclear's from the 1970s and 80s— right down to the policy-driven slowdown now underway in China.

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The 78-Degree Illusion: The Policy-Engineered Squeeze on New York's Grid

Watch now | How a slow-motion supply collapse turned a standard summer heatwave into an operational emergency...

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Beyond the Chokepoint: What the Strait of Hormuz Reopening Means for Energy

The bear case for oil is shattered. Even with easing geopolitical tensions, the global market is staring down an increasingly tight supply reality.