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CalculatedRisk Newsletter · Aug 19, 2026

Architecture Billings "Remain weak" in July

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CalculatedRisk by Bill McBride · CalculatedRisk Newsletter

The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index® (ABI) score for the month was 46.6, indicating somewhat further softening from June. The persistent downturn in business conditions now extends to nearly three and a half years, as many firms continue to struggle to grow their billings. Clients are still bringing business to firms, as inquiries into new projects rose again in July, although at a slower pace than in June. However, the value of newly signed design contracts declined further after nearly approaching growth last month.

Business conditions also remained weak at firms in all regions of the country in July. Firms located in the Northeast reported the softest conditions for the second consecutive month, while the pace of the ongoing decline slowed slightly at firms in the other three regions. Billings declined at firms of all specializations as well. While firms with multifamily residential and institutional specializations both saw slight growth earlier this year, conditions have softened since then. Firms with a commercial/industrial specialization, on the other hand, have not reported an increase in billings since four years ago this month.
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The ABI serves as a leading economic indicator that leads nonresidential construction activity by approximately 9-12 months.
emphasis added

• West (47.8); Midwest (46.7); South (48.7); Northeast (44.8)

• Sector index breakdown: institutional (47.4); commercial/industrial (46.7); multifamily residential (48.4).

This graph shows the Architecture Billings Index since 1996. The index was at 46.6 in July, down from 47.3 in June Anything below 50 indicates a decrease in demand for architects’ services. This index has indicated contraction for 45 of the last 46 months.

Note: This includes commercial and industrial facilities like hotels and office buildings, multi-family residential, as well as schools, hospitals and other institutions. This index typically leads CRE investment by 9 to 12 months, so this index suggests a slowdown in CRE investment through the remainder of 2026 and into 2027.

Multi-family billings have been below 50 for 46 of the last 48 months.

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