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Nonconsensus · Aug 17, 2026

Stuck in the Malaise Loop

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Domestic conditions are weakening as the deleveraging becomes more entrenched. Without significant government effort to reverse the dynamics, China looks stuck in a self-reinforcing negative dynamic.

Regular readers of these pages (and on Twitter before it) could probably repeat my China views by heart at this point. The reason why it feels so repeated is that deleveragings have a momentum that …

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