Clearly Trump had expected that given the internal demonstrations in Iran that an attack on the Iranian leadership and a few major bomb drops on strategic sites would bring about a revolution in Iran and cause a regime change. It is a well tried method of the US but as witnessed in Vietnam and Afghanistan its a gamble that doesn’t always work out.
In the case of Iran the US failed because the decentralised structure of control by the large well paid religiously led militia allows for individual group think following a simple Islamic code. Its mediaevel practices, including rule by beheading, rape, torture and mass murder involving the death of tens of thousands of student protesters by machine gun, has been seen to be effectual despite Iran having few allies in the world. Its neighbours too are fearful of Iranian proximity as are even some European countries within range of Iranian missiles.
Right now Trump’s bluff at further bombing has been called. The US have a limited supply of weapons after providing for the Ukraine, and US public opinion is against further action that might mean US boots on the ground. The small fleet of fifteen metre long submarines armed with torpedoes which could sink any large US warship are sufficent threat to stop use of the US armada, now sitting well away from the Iranian coast with limited supplies of fuel, food and time before needing to withdraw.
The Europeans view that it is a war they didn’t start and didn’t want is as feeble as useless attempts to stop the non stop infiltration of Moslems and Islamic practices in Europe with the continuous opening of mosques and use of Sharia law courts. It has been a century since the Ottoman Empire collapsed and the world has too easily forgotten its Islamic conquering of Vienna and its rule over swathes of Europe, has too the success of the Saracens against the Christian Crusaders and the occupations of Spain and Portugal and southern france by Moslem regimes.
In short Islam does not give up. Its rulers desire no less than world domination by all or any means against its infidel enemies, and those who oppose it. Thanks to Trump’s ill judged attempt at regime change by chance Iran has stumbled on a means to blackmail the West. Not so much the US but more so the Europeans who reply on mid-east oil while America has its own supplies. Iran will demand payment for compensation for damage and it will be Europe which pays. Not China or others who buy Iranian oil, nor the USA which has its own supplies, as would the UK but for the stupidity of its eco policies.
So what is the consequence for a Europe already suffering the effects of the Ukrainian war brought about as much by Obama and Biden’s meddling in the corrupt Ukraine to poke Russia in the eye? Europe cannot turn a blind eye. Within weeks diesel and jet fuel supplies will be gone. Complaining against Trump and doing nothing is no solution. Europe must back the US and Israel in a united policy. Europe and the US gave Israel back its Palestinian rights after WW2 and as such need aid Israel to protect itself against threats of extinction from a murderous Islamic nation bent on Israel’s nuclear destruction. That, and quite reasonably, is what Israelis fear and why they seek to arm themselves in defence to strike their enemies in Gaza and the Lebanon and Iraq, paid for by Iran to daily irritate and pester Israelis with rockets and subterfuge.
The threat of mutually assured destruction (MAD) has kept the peace now since WW2 but it takes only one nation to start a new world war. Any one with nuclear weapons can do it, and as human nature dictates there will be one that does. Nobody less so than a nation where it is is considered worthy to die and find Nirvana by killing infidels. Any boxer knows that the best way to win a fight is to hit the opponent first and hard before he hits you. In the US military it is known as “first strike”. It is now the only option for the West and it need be done swiftly and with no more ado or the West will be shown as weak and useless in Islamic eyes.
There must be no more acceptance by liberal thinkers and excuses for holding off or doing nothing. Life is cheap whether Moslem or non Moslem. There are times for decision in life and any minute now Europe needs face its most serious problem since WW2. No fuel = no food = economic collapse = revolution = death and catastrophe. Now is the moment. Iran’s present rulers and its armed forces must be destroyed and Europe must unite with Trump’s USA to ensure it. A way forward is for the UAE and Oman to declare their rights to half the Hormuz Strait waterway and for the rest of the world to come out and support it with any violation by Iran condemned by the United Nations and punished by all available means.
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