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• Stranger Apologies

  Philosopher at MIT, trying to convince people that their opponents are more reasonable than they think.

  10 posts · theirs

Lately

• Bayesians Commit the Gambler's Fallacy

  Stranger Apologies · 2026-02-11

• A majority didn't vote for a liberal nightmare

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-11-25

• No, post-election punditry isn't hindsight bias

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-11-11

• Ambiguity Drives Hindsight Bias

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-08-17

• Only Fools Avoid Hindsight Bias

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-07-20

• The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 2: Social Media)

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-05-18

• The Natural Selection of Bad Vibes (Part 1)

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-05-11

• Centrists are (probably) less biased

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-04-06

• Ideological Bayesians

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-02-24

• Representativeness is Rational When Memory is Limited

  Stranger Apologies · 2024-01-27

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