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2022 New York gubernatorial election

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2022 New York gubernatorial election

 2018
November 8, 2022
2026 
Turnout47.74% Decrease 0.3 pp
 
Nominee Kathy Hochul Lee Zeldin
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Conservative
Running mate Antonio Delgado Alison Esposito
Popular vote 3,140,415 2,762,581
Percentage 53.12% 46.73%

Hochul:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Zeldin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

Governor before election

Kathy Hochul
Democratic

Elected Governor

Kathy Hochul
Democratic

The 2022 New York gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022 to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of New York.

In August 2021, Lt. Gov. Kathy Hochul ascended to the governorship after Gov. Andrew Cuomo resigned in the wake of allegations of sexual harassment.[1] A Democrat, Hochul sought a full term as governor in 2022 and defeated Jumaane Williams and Tom Suozzi in the June 28, 2022 Democratic primary.[2] Antonio Delgado—who had been appointed lieutenant governor by Hochul earlier in 2022 to fill a vacancy—defeated Ana Maria Archila and Diana Reyna in the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor.[3]

Lee Zeldin ran as the Republican nominee, having defeated Rob Astorino, Andrew Giuliani, and Harry Wilson in the Republican primary.[4] Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, an NYPD officer, as his running mate. Esposito won unopposed in the primary for lieutenant governor, becoming the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York.[5] This election was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not to feature any third-party candidates, although the Working Families Party endorsed Hochul and the Conservative Party endorsed Zeldin.

On Election Day, Hochul won a full term in office defeating Zeldin by a margin of 53.1%–46.7% and becoming the first woman to be elected governor of New York. This was New York's closest gubernatorial election since 1994.

Democratic primary

In August 2021, after New York Governor Andrew Cuomo announced his resignation, then-Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul announced that she would run for governor in 2022.[6] Hochul was sworn in as governor of New York on August 24, 2021.[7] Hochul was elected to the position of lieutenant governor in 2014, and was re-elected in 2018; in both elections, she was Cuomo's running mate.[8]

New York Attorney General Letitia James garnered attention for releasing a report on her office's investigation into alleged sexual harassment by Cuomo; the release of this report helped lead to Cuomo's resignation in August 2021.[9] James announced her gubernatorial campaign in October 2021 and was considered a formidable challenger to Hochul.[9]

On November 12, 2021, Newsday reported that Hochul had raised $10 million in campaign donations since taking office as governor.[10] On November 16, 2021, New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, described by CNN as "a progressive favorite from Brooklyn", announced his 2022 gubernatorial bid. Williams had run for lieutenant governor against Hochul in 2018, losing a close race.[11] On November 29, 2021, U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi of Long Island announced that he was running for governor. According to The New York Times, Suozzi was known as a "vocal centrist" and announced an intent to bill himself as a "'common-sense Democrat'".[12] Suozzi was considered to have the potential to siphon votes away from Hochul.[13]

In early December, James withdrew her gubernatorial candidacy and chose to seek re-election as attorney general instead.[14] James' withdrawal from the race was seen as a positive development for Hochul, as James had been considered the second-strongest candidate in the race.[13] The exit of James boosted the campaign of Williams, who became the only major candidate from New York City and the clear choice for the left wing of the Democratic Party.[13]

On February 17, 2022, at the New York State Democratic Convention, Hochul was selected as the preferred Democratic candidate for governor of New York in 2022. At the convention, Hochul received 85.6% of the weighted vote, while Williams received 12.5%. Neither Williams nor Suozzi received sufficient support to obtain automatic ballot access and force a primary election;[15][16] however, both candidates later gathered sufficient signatures to qualify for the Democratic primary ballot.[17]

On June 28, 2022, Hochul won the Democratic gubernatorial primary with 67.6% of the vote, defeating Williams (19.4%) and Suozzi (13.0%).[18]

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified
  • Paul Nichols, lawyer and legislative staffer (running with David Englert)[24]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Kathy Hochul
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Media
Labor unions
Letitia James (withdrawn)
State officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Labor unions
Tom Suozzi
Local officials
Labor unions
Media
Jumaane Williams
State senators
State assemblymembers
  • Ron Kim, state assemblyman from the 40th district (2013–present)[83]
  • Yuh-Line Niou, state assemblywoman from the 65th district (2017–2022)[83]
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Debates

2022 New York gubernatorial Democratic primary debates
Date Host Location Moderator Link Participants
Kathy Hochul Tom Suozzi Jumaane Williams
June 7, 2022 CBS New York
WCBS Newsradio 880
New York, New York Maurice DuBois
Marcia Kramer
[94] P P P
June 20, 2022 NBC New York
Telemundo 47
New York, New York David Ushery [95] P P P

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kathy
Hochul
Tom
Suozzi
Jumaane
Williams
Other
[b]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[96] June 6–20, 2022 June 22, 2022 58.5% 18.0% 14.5% 9.0% Hochul +40.5
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Steven
Bellone
Preet
Bharara
Alessandra
Biaggi
Andrew
Cuomo
Bill
de Blasio
Thomas
DiNapoli
Kathryn
Garcia
Kirsten
Gillibrand
Kathy
Hochul
Letitia
James
Sean Patrick
Maloney
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Tom
Suozzi
Scott
Stringer
Jumaane
Williams
Other Undecided
Siena College[97] March 20–24, 2022 369 (RV) ± 5.5% 30% 38% 10% 7% 1% 14%
Emerson College[98] March 9–10, 2022 504 (LV) ± 4.3% 33% 37% 7% 4% 9%[d] 9%
Zogby Analytics[99] January 21–24, 2022 413 (LV) ± 4.8% 20% 41% 7% 13% 5% 14%
Data for Progress (D)[100][A] November 16–17, 2021 528 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 3% 36% 22% 6% 7% 11%
27% 64% 9%
Siena College[101] October 10–14, 2021 419 (RV) ± 5.4% 17% 6% 31% 14% 7% 2% 23%
Marist College[102] October 4–7, 2021 389 (RV) ± 6.9% 19% 36% 24% 9% 12%
co/efficient (R)[103] August 15–16, 2021 814 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 26% 30%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[104] August 6–7, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 2% 4% 1% 26% 3% 3% 6% 6% 4% 9% 2% 8% 2% 3% 2% 19%
3% 6% 2% 5% 3% 8% 10% 6% 13% 3% 10% 2% 4% 4% 22%
Zogby Analytics[105] February 3–5, 2021 316 (LV) ± 5.5% 65% 22% 13%
67% 24% 9%

Results

Results by county
  Hochul
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Democratic gubernatorial primary results[17][18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Hochul (incumbent) 607,928 67.64%
Democratic Jumaane Williams 173,872 19.35%
Democratic Tom Suozzi 116,972 13.01%
Total votes 898,772 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

On April 12, 2022, incumbent lieutenant governor Brian Benjamin resigned from office after being arrested for campaign finance violations.[106] On May 3, 2022, Hochul announced her intent to appoint Representative Antonio Delgado to the position of lieutenant governor.[50][107] He was sworn in on May 25.[108] Delgado ran for lieutenant governor in the June 2022 primary, winning by a large margin.[18]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Ana María Archila
U.S. representatives
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions
Brian Benjamin (withdrawn)
State officials
Antonio Delgado
U.S. representatives
State officials
State senators
State assemblymembers
Local officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Labor unions
David Englert (disqualified)
Individuals
  • Paul Nichols, lawyer and legislative staffer[110]
Diana Reyna
U.S. representatives
Local officials
Labor unions
Declined to endorse
Local officials
Newspapers

Results

Results by county
  Delgado
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Democratic lieutenant gubernatorial primary results[17][18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Antonio Delgado (incumbent) 522,069 60.93%
Democratic Ana Maria Archila 213,210 24.88%
Democratic Diana Reyna 121,589 14.19%
Total votes 856,868 100.0%

Republican primary

In June 2020, Lewis County sheriff Mike Carpinelli became the first Republican to enter the race.[124] He was the only announced challenger until Long Island congressman Lee Zeldin announced his own campaign in April 2021. By the end of April, Zeldin had announced that the Republican Party chairs of Erie County and Niagara County had endorsed his campaign, giving him the necessary 50% of state committee support to gain the Republican nomination.[125][126] Trump administration official Andrew Giuliani and 2014 New York gubernatorial nominee Rob Astorino made campaign announcements the following month.[127][128][129] Contractor and podcast host Derrick Gibson also entered the race.[130]

In June 2021, Zeldin was named the presumed nominee of the New York's Republican Party by state chairman Nick Langworthy after he earned 85 percent of a straw poll vote of county leaders, and was also called the presumptive nominee of the Conservative Party by Conservative state chairman Gerard Kassar.[131] As of February 2022, Zeldin had received the endorsements of 59 of New York's 62 county Republican committees.[132]

In February 2022, shortly before the Republican convention, businessman Harry Wilson announced his candidacy for governor of New York.[133] Wilson stated that he intended to invest $12 million of his own money in the race.[134]

At the Republican convention in Nassau County, Zeldin received 85 percent support from the party's voting committee members, with Astorino and Wilson each receiving 7 percent of the vote and Giuliani receiving less than one percent.[135]

On June 28, 2022, the primary election was held. Zeldin prevailed, receiving the most votes in 48 of New York's 62 counties and earning 76% of the vote in his native Suffolk County.[136] Zeldin received 43.6% of the vote, defeating Giuliani (22.9%), Astorino (18.7%), and Wilson (14.8%).[18]

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Disqualified
  • Derrick Gibson, contractor and podcast host[130][144]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Andrew Giuliani
Individuals
  • Mike Carpinelli, Lewis County sheriff and former candidate in this primary[155]
  • Michael Flynn, retired United States Army lieutenant general and former U.S. National Security Advisor[156]
Organizations
Lee Zeldin
Executive officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Media
Organizations
Declined to endorse

Debates

2022 New York gubernatorial Republican primary debates
Date Host Location Moderator Link Participants
Lee Zeldin Andrew Giuliani Rob Astorino Harry Wilson
June 13, 2022 CBS New York New York, New York Maurice DuBois
Marcia Kramer
Video[180] P P P P
June 20, 2022 NY1 New York, New York Susan Arbetter
Errol Louis
Video[181] P P P P
June 21, 2022 Newsmax Rochester, New York Eric Bolling Video[182] P P P P

Polling

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Lee Zeldin Andrew Giuliani Rob Astorino Harry Wilson Other
[e]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[183] June 6–20, 2022 June 22, 2022 32.5% 20.0% 15.5% 16.5% 24.3% Zeldin +12.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Rob
Astorino
Michael
Carpinelli
Derrick
Gibson
Andrew
Giuliani
Harry
Wilson
Lee
Zeldin
Other Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[184] June 20–22, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 16% 28% 14% 35% 8%
SurveyUSA[185] June 15–20, 2022 538 (LV) ± 5.4% 8% 23% 13% 25% 31%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[186] June 16–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 17% 17% 16% 38% 12%
Emerson College[187] June 9–10, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.3% 16% 13% 15% 34% 22%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[188] May 24–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 17% 18% 13% 41% 12%
John Zogby Strategies[189] May 18–20, 2022 408 (LV) ± 5.0% 17% 35% 12% 25% 11%
May 4, 2022 Gibson does not qualify for primary ballot
Emerson College[190] May 1–3, 2022 192 (LV) ± 7.0% 16% 3% 1% 18% 8% 26% 10%[f] 19%
April 22, 2022 Carpinelli withdraws from the race
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[191] April 11–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 17% 15% 7% 47% 14%
John Zogby Strategies[192] April 10, 2022 267 (LV) ± 6.1% 15% 29% 11% 28% 17%
Emerson College[98] March 9–10, 2022 225 (LV) ± 6.5% 11% 5% 3% 17% 6% 27% 8%[g] 23%
John Zogby Strategies[193] March 3, 2022 266 (LV) ± 6.1% 21% 9% 31% 5% 23% 12%
Zogby Analytics[99] January 21–24, 2022 243 (LV) ± 6.3% 12% 8% 7% 18% 16% 5% 33%
John Zogby Strategies[194] January 20–21, 2022 251 (LV) ± 6.3% 13% 4% 5% 26% 2% 28% 2%[h] 21%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Rob
Astorino
Andrew
Giuliani
Harry
Wilson
Lee
Zeldin
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[191] April 11–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 20% 9% 53% 18%
13% 64% 24%

Results

Results by county
  Zeldin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   70–80%
  Giuliani
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Astorino
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Wilson
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican gubernatorial primary results[17][18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lee Zeldin 196,874 43.62%
Republican Andrew Giuliani 103,267 22.88%
Republican Rob Astorino 84,464 18.71%
Republican Harry Wilson 66,736 14.79%
Total votes 451,341 100.0%

Lieutenant governor

Zeldin selected Alison Esposito, an NYPD officer, as his running mate, and she won unopposed in the primary. Esposito is the first openly gay major party nominee for statewide office in New York.[195]

Nominee

  • Alison Esposito, former NYPD Deputy Inspector and commanding officer of Brooklyn's 70th Precinct[196]

Conservative primary

At the 2022 Conservative Party convention, the party endorsed Congressman Lee Zeldin for governor and NYPD deputy inspector Alison Esposito for lieutenant governor.[197]

Governor

Designee

Lieutenant governor

Designee

Working Families primary

On February 8, 2022, the Working Families Party endorsed New York City Public Advocate Jumaane Williams for the governorship.[199] On February 28, 2022, the party announced that its preferred candidate for lieutenant governor was activist Ana Maria Archila.[200]

Following Hochul and Delgado's respective wins in the Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial primary, the party filed to put the two Democratic nominees on the Working Families ballot line.[201]

Governor

Designee

Withdrawn

Lieutenant governor

Designee

Withdrawn

Other parties

In an unprecedented decision, the New York State Board of Elections rejected all petitions for non-qualified party ballot access in July 2022.[203] Among the parties who submitted rejected petitions:

Libertarian Party

On February 16, 2022, Larry Sharpe, the Libertarian Party's candidate for governor of New York in 2018, officially announced his campaign to run for governor of New York on Kennedy.[200] He received his party's nomination at the convention in Albany on February 19, 2022.[204] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Sharpe for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[203]

Governor

Disqualified
Endorsements
Larry Sharpe (disqualified)
Individuals
Organizations

Lieutenant governor

Disqualified
  • Andrew Hollister, Libertarian nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[206][203]

Green Party

On April 25, 2022, Howie Hawkins, who had run for numerous elected offices including Governor of New York, launched his campaign.[209] In July 2022, the New York State Board of Elections disqualified Hawkins for not meeting the qualifications for ballot access.[203]

Governor

Disqualified

Lieutenant governor

Disqualified
  • Jia Lee, special education teacher[203]

Additional parties

  • Freedom Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections with Skiboky Stora, a 2021 candidate for mayor of New York City, running for governor.[211] On June 27, 2022, Stora's petition was ruled invalid at the New York State Board of Elections Commissioners' meeting.[212] In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[203]
  • Independence Party of New York – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with the Republican slate seeking to restore the Independence Party line.[211] The party had lost ballot status in 2020. On July 14, 2022, the Board of Elections denied the petitions submitted by the Zeldin campaign, due to contested signatures.[203][213]
  • New Visions Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with Carol Seidelman running for governor and Benjamin Azah running for lieutenant governor.[211] In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[203]
  • Parent Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with the Republican slate seeking to create the Parent Party line. The Parent Party endorsed Lee Zeldin and the Republican slate in May 2022. In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[203]
  • Unite Party – a petition was filed with the New York State Board of Elections, with Harry Wilson running for governor and John Bullis running for lieutenant governor. In July 2022, the Board of Elections rejected the party's petitions for ballot access.[203]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
FiveThirtyEight[214] Solid D August 26, 2022
RealClearPolitics[215] Tossup October 15, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[216] Likely D October 19, 2022
The Cook Political Report[217] Likely D October 28, 2022
Fox News[218] Lean D November 1, 2022
Inside Elections[219] Likely D November 3, 2022
Politico[220] Lean D November 4, 2022
Elections Daily[221] Safe D November 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Kathy Hochul (D)
U.S. presidents
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Labor unions
Lee Zeldin (R)
U.S. presidents
Executive officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
  • Fred Akshar, New York state senator from the 52nd district (2015–present)[250]
  • Rubén Díaz Sr., New York state senator from the 32nd district (2003–2017), New York City Councilman from the 18th district (2002–2003, 2018–2021)[251] (Democrat)
  • Dov Hikind, New York assemblyman from the 48th district (1983–2018)[252] (Democrat)
  • Stephen Kaufman, New York assemblyman from the 82nd district (1998–2004)[253] (Democrat)
Local officials
Individuals
Media
Organizations
Labor unions
  • Nassau County Police Detectives Association[275]
  • Nassau County Police Superior Officers Association[275]
  • New York City Sergeants Benevolent Association[225]
  • New York State Law Enforcement Officers Union[276]
  • Police Conference of New York[277]
  • Suffolk County Police Benevolent Association[278]
Howie Hawkins (G) (disqualified, running as a write-in)
Individuals
Organizations
No endorsement

Debate

2022 New York gubernatorial debate
No. Date Host Location Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:  P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Lee Zeldin Kathy Hochul
1 Oct. 25, 2022 Spectrum News Pace University
Manhattan, New York
Errol Louis
Susan Arbetter
[281] P P

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Lee
Zeldin (R)
Undecided
[i]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[282] October 26–31, 2022 November 8, 2022 52.0% 45.0% 3.0% Hochul +7.0
FiveThirtyEight[283] October 20 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 51.7% 43.9% 4.4% Hochul +7.8
Average 51.8% 44.5% 3.7% Hochul +7.4
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Lee
Zeldin (R)
Other Undecided
Research Co.[284] November 4–6, 2022 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 49% 41% 11%
ActiVote (D)[285] August 8 – November 6, 2022 260 (LV) ± 6.0% 55% 45%
Patriot Polling[286] October 31 – November 3, 2022 826 (RV) 49% 44% 7%
Emerson College[287][B] October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 1%[j] 3%
54% 45% 2%[k]
The Trafalgar Group (R)[288] October 27–31, 2022 1,198 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 4%
KAConsulting (R)[289][C] October 27–29, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 45% 3%[l] 5%
Data for Progress (D)[290] October 26–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 42% 4%
Slingshot Strategies (D)[291] October 25–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 48% 42% 10%
Civiqs[292] October 22–25, 2022 593 (LV) ± 5.0% 54% 43% 2%[m] 2%
Emerson College[287][B] October 20–24, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 44% 2%[n] 4%
52% 44% 4%[o]
Bold Decision[293] October 16–20, 2022 1,204 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 37% 12%
co/efficient (R)[294] October 18–19, 2022 1,056 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 46% 9%
SurveyUSA[295] October 14–18, 2022 702 (LV) ± 5.4% 47% 41% 4% 8%
Quinnipiac University[296] October 12–16, 2022 1,617 (LV) ± 2.4% 50% 46% 1%[p] 2%
Siena College[297] October 12–14, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 41% 1%[q] 6%
Marist College[298] October 3–6, 2022 900 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 44% 1%[r] 3%
1,117 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 1%[s] 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[299] September 30 – October 3, 2022 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% 45% 43% 3%[t] 10%
Siena College[300] September 16–25, 2022 655 (LV) ± 3.9% 54% 37% 2%[u] 7%
Data for Progress (D)[301] September 9–13, 2022 931 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 39% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[302][D] September 8–9, 2022 510 (LV) 54% 39% 7%
co/efficient (R)[303] September 5–7, 2022 1,194 (LV) ± 3.3% 49% 43% 8%
Emerson College[304] September 4–6, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 35% 6%[v] 9%
The Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R)[305] August 31 – September 1, 2022 1,091 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 43% 2%[w] 7%
SurveyUSA[306] August 17–21, 2022 715 (LV) ± 4.6% 55% 31% 14%
Emerson College[307] July 26–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 35% 7% 7%
Siena College[308] July 24–28, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 39% 0% 7%
July 7, 2022 Sharpe is disqualified from the ballot
SurveyUSA[309] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.8% 52% 28% 20%
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 32% 6%[x] 10%
54% 36% 10%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 34% 3%[y] 14%
Data for Progress (D)[312] March 30 – April 4, 2022 947 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 36% 13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[313] March 9–11, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 44% 46% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 33% 6%[z] 14%
50% 35% 15%
Zogby Analytics[99] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 27% 6%[aa] 23%
John Zogby Strategies[315] January 20–21, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 29% 6%[ab] 15%
51% 33% 16%
Hypothetical polling

Kathy Hochul vs. Rob Astorino

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Rob
Astorino (R)
Larry
Sharpe (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[309] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.7% 55% 28% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 35% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 34% 16%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 35% 16%
Zogby Analytics[99] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 27% 6% 22%

Kathy Hochul vs. Andrew Giuliani

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Andrew
Giuliani (R)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[309] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.7% 56% 30% 15%
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 35% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 33% 15%

Kathy Hochul vs. Harry Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Harry
Wilson (R)
Larry
Sharpe (L)
Undecided
SurveyUSA[309] June 15–20, 2022 2,152 (LV) ± 2.8% 54% 29% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 51% 32% 5% 12%
53% 36% 11%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 30% 4% 16%
51% 32% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 34% 16%

Tom Suozzi vs. Harry Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Tom
Suozzi (D)
Harry
Wilson (R)
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 50% 34% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 31% 24%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 32% 25%

Tom Suozzi vs. Lee Zeldin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Tom
Suozzi (D)
Lee
Zeldin (R)
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 36% 16%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 34% 23%

Jumaane Williams vs. Rob Astorino

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jumaane
Williams (D)
Rob
Astorino (R)
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 36% 17%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 33% 24%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 35% 22%

Jumaane Williams vs. Andrew Giuliani

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jumaane
Williams (D)
Andrew
Giuliani (R)
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 36% 15%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 35% 20%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 33% 22%

Jumaane Williams vs. Harry Wilson

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jumaane
Williams (D)
Harry
Wilson (R)
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 37% 18%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 41% 34% 25%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 42% 34% 24%

Jumaane Williams vs. Lee Zeldin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Jumaane
Williams (D)
Lee
Zeldin (R)
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[310] May 18–20, 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 37% 16%
John Zogby Strategies[311] April 10, 2022 1,001 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 36% 21%
John Zogby Strategies[314] March 3, 2022 1,003 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 36% 22%

Andrew Cuomo vs. Rob Astorino

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Rob
Astorino (R)
Larry
Sharpe (L)
Undecided
Zogby Analytics[99] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 31% 7% 28%

Andrew Cuomo vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
Undecided
Zogby Analytics[105] February 3–5, 2021 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 37% 14%

Andrew Cuomo vs. Lee Zeldin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Lee
Zeldin (R)
Larry
Sharpe (L)
Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[316] October 27–31, 2022 1198 (LV) ± 2.9% 55% 45%
Data for Progress (D)[312] March 30 – April 4, 2022 947 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 41% 15%
Zogby Analytics[99] January 21–24, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% 34% 31% 7% 28%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs. Elise Stefanik

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez (D)
Elise
Stefanik (R)
Undecided
Zogby Analytics[105] February 3–5, 2021 810 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 40% 12%

Andrew Cuomo vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Andrew
Cuomo (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Siena College[317] May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 48% 38% 14%

Letitia James vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Letitia
James (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Siena College[317] May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 46% 29% 25%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Siena College[317] May 16–20, 2021 793 (RV) ± 4% 55% 29% 16%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican with Andrew Cuomo as an independent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Andrew
Cuomo (I)
Undecided
Emerson College[190] May 1–3, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 33% 33% 16% 18%
Emerson College[98] March 9–10, 2022 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 33% 12% 17%

Kathy Hochul vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Kathy
Hochul (D)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Siena College[318] June 7–13, 2022 802 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 44% 10%
Siena College[319] April 18–21, 2022 806 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 45% 15%
Siena College[97] March 20–24, 2022 804 (RV) ± 4.2% 43% 43% 14%
Siena College[320] February 14–17, 2022 803 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 38% 15%

Antonio Delgado vs. Alison Esposito[E]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[c]
Margin
of error
Antonio
Delgado (D)
Alison
Esposito (R)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[290] October 26–28, 2022 818 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 41% 7%

Results

2022 New York gubernatorial election[321]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
  • Kathy Hochul
  • Antonio Delgado
2,879,092 48.70% −7.39%
Working Families
  • Kathy Hochul
  • Antonio Delgado
261,323 4.42% +2.54%
Total
3,140,415 53.12% −6.43%
Republican
  • Lee Zeldin
  • Alison Esposito
2,449,394 41.43% +9.87%
Conservative
  • Lee Zeldin
  • Alison Esposito
313,187 5.30% +1.14%
Total 2,762,581 46.73% +10.57%
Write-in 9,290 0.16% +0.04%
Total votes 5,912,286 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

New York City results

2022 gubernatorial election in New York City Manhattan The Bronx Brooklyn Queens Staten Island Total
Democratic-
Working Families
Kathy Hochul 372,149155,564402,114277,28047,1351,254,24269.8%
82.3%77.6%71.1%63.4%33.4%
Republican-
Conservative
Lee Zeldin 80,15944,948163,430160,27993,818542,63430.2%
17.7%22.4%28.9%36.6%66.6%
By New York City council district
2022 New York gubernatorial election New York City Council map

Hochul won 42 of 51 city council districts, while Zeldin won 9 of 51 city council districts, including three held by Democrats.[322][323]

District Hochul Zeldin City-Council member
1st 76.7% 23.2% Christopher Marte
2nd 83.0% 16.8% Carlina Rivera
3rd 84.0% 15.8% Erik Bottcher
4th 73.1% 26.7% Keith Powers
5th 77.2% 22.7% Julie Menin
6th 85.1% 14.8% Gale Brewer
7th 88.6% 11.2% Shaun Abreu
8th 84.8% 15.1% Diana Ayala
9th 92.9% 6.9% Kristin Richardson Jordan
10th 82.2% 17.7% Carmen De La Rosa
11th 74.4% 25.5% Eric Dinowitz
12th 90.3% 9.7% Kevin Riley
13th 53.1% 46.9% Marjorie Velázquez
14th 78.3% 21.7% Pierina Sanchez
15th 80.7% 19.2% Oswald Feliz
16th 84.8% 15.2% Althea Stevens
17th 83.1% 16.8% Rafael Salamanca
18th 86.7% 12.6% Amanda Farías
19th 43.0% 57.0% Vickie Paladino
20th 50.1% 49.9% Sandra Ung
21st 70.1% 29.9% Francisco Moya
22nd 70.9% 29.0% Tiffany Cabán
23rd 59.4% 40.6% Linda Lee
24th 56.0% 44.0% James F. Gennaro
25th 66.6% 33.3% Shekar Krishnan
26th 75.9% 24.0% Julie Won
27th 91.2% 8.8% Nantasha Williams
28th 81.7% 18.3% Adrienne Adams
29th 60.3% 39.6% Lynn Schulman
30th 42.0% 58.0% Robert Holden
31st 82.2% 17.8% Selvena Brooks-Powers
32nd 41.6% 58.4% Joann Ariola
33rd 74.3% 25.6% Lincoln Restler
34th 84.8% 15.2% Jennifer Gutiérrez
35th 90.0% 9.9% Crystal Hudson
36th 94.2% 5.6% Chi Ossé
37th 84.9% 15.1% Sandy Nurse
38th 69.8% 30.1% Alexa Avilés
39th 83.0% 16.9% Shahana Hanif
40th 91.0% 8.9% Rita Joseph
41st 92.1% 7.9% Darlene Mealy
42nd 91.7% 8.3% Charles Barron
43rd 47.5% 52.4% Justin Brannan
44th 15.2% 84.8% Kalman Yeger
45th 76.2% 23.8% Farah Louis
46th 65.3% 34.7% Mercedes Narcisse
47th 36.7% 63.3% Ari Kagan
48th 26.7% 73.2% Inna Vernikov
49th 58.9% 41.1% Kamillah Hanks
50th 29.7% 70.3% Steven Matteo
51st 19.3% 80.6% Joe Borelli

By congressional district

Hochul won 14 of 26 congressional districts, with the remaining 12 going to Zeldin, including one that elected a Democrat.[324]

District Hochul Zeldin Representative
1st 43% 57% Lee Zeldin (117th Congress)
Nick LaLota (118th Congress)
2nd 39% 61% Andrew Garbarino
3rd 44% 56% Tom Suozzi (117th Congress)
George Santos (118th Congress)
4th 47% 53% Kathleen Rice (117th Congress)
Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress)
5th 73% 27% Gregory Meeks
6th 55% 45% Grace Meng
7th 76% 24% Nydia Velázquez
8th 69% 30% Hakeem Jeffries
9th 68% 32% Yvette Clarke
10th 81% 19% Jerry Nadler (117th Congress)
Dan Goldman (118th Congress)
11th 36% 64% Nicole Malliotakis
12th 80% 20% Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress)
Jerry Nadler (118th Congress)
13th 86% 14% Adriano Espaillat
14th 70% 30% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15th 80% 20% Ritchie Torres
16th 64% 36% Jamaal Bowman
17th 48% 52% Mondaire Jones (117th Congress)
Mike Lawler (118th Congress)
18th 49% 51% Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress)
Pat Ryan (118th Congress)
19th 47% 53% Pat Ryan (117th Congress)
Marc Molinaro (118th Congress)
20th 53% 47% Paul Tonko
21st 36% 64% Elise Stefanik
22nd 47% 53% Claudia Tenney (117th Congress)
Brandon Williams (118th Congress)
23rd 36% 64% Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress)
Nick Langworthy (118th Congress)
24th 34% 66% John Katko (117th Congress)
Claudia Tenney (118th Congress)
25th 53% 47% Joe Morelle
26th 57% 43% Brian Higgins

Analysis

In 2022, New York was a solidly Democratic state where Republicans had not won a statewide election since the 2002 election for governor of New York. The main focus of the election was crime.[325] Zeldin accused Hochul of being weak on crime, promising to declare a statewide crime emergency and to repeal cashless bail,[326] while Hochul attacked him for his ties to former president Donald Trump and to the anti-abortion movement.[327]

In October, the Associated Press stated that Zeldin's focus on crime was persuasive and was making the race closer; however, Hochul was still favored to prevail.[325] Hochul's campaign ramped up in the final weeks in an effort to prevent an upset loss. She pivoted her messaging to focus more on crime.[328] She also reached out to the Working Families Party and campaigned with Democrats such as Hillary Clinton.[329]

On Election Day, Hochul won a full term in office, defeating Zeldin by a margin of 53.1%–46.7%[321] and becoming the first woman elected to the state's governorship.[330] The election was New York's closest gubernatorial election since 1994, and the closest Democratic win since 1982.[331] Hochul was criticized for prevailing "by single digits and only after some of the biggest names in the Democratic Party traveled to New York in the election's final days to help her".[332] Former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi blamed Hochul's lack of coattails for Democrats' poor showing in U.S. House races in New York in 2022 and, by extension, for contributing to the Democrats' loss of control of the U.S. House of Representatives. Specifically, Pelosi said that Hochul "'didn't realize soon enough where the trouble was'".[333] Hochul disagreed with this criticism, stating that "'no governor in the history of the state of New York has worked harder to elect members of Congress'" than she had.[334]

Despite his loss, Zeldin's performance helped Republicans to flip four congressional seats in New York, contributing to the GOP's majority in the House of Representatives. Due to his overperformance, Zeldin was considered to be a potential challenger to Ronna McDaniel as chair of the Republican National Committee;[335] however, he later declined to challenge McDaniel.[336]

This election was the first New York gubernatorial election in over 80 years not to feature any third-party candidates, although the Working Families Party endorsed Hochul and the Conservative Party endorsed Zeldin.[203]

Hochul won the city of New York with 69.8% to 30.2%, the latter being the highest vote percentage for a Republican since 2002. Zeldin carried voters outside New York City by a 54.1–45.9% margin and carried Upstate New York by a 54.6%–45.4% margin. Zeldin received the most votes for a Republican since 1970. Exit polls from Fox News Voter Analysis showed that Zeldin won White voters (54%–46%), while Hochul won African Americans (82%–17%), Latinos (64%–35%) (including Puerto Rican Americans (66%–33%)), and other minorities (58%–41%).[337][failed verification]

Notes

  1. Hochul became governor in 2021 when her predecessor, Andrew Cuomo, resigned. Prior to that, she was the lieutenant governor of New York.
  2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. "Someone else" with 7%, Nichols with 2%
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. "Someone else" with 9%, Lord with 1%
  7. "Someone else" with 7%, Lord with 1%
  8. Lord with 2%
  9. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  10. "Someone else" with 1%
  11. "Someone else" with 2%
  12. "Other/Refused" with 3%
  13. "Someone else" with 2%
  14. "Someone else" with 2%
  15. "Someone else" with 4%
  16. "Someone else" with 1%
  17. "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 0%
  18. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  19. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. Sharpe (L) with 3%
  21. "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  22. "Someone else" with 6%
  23. Sharpe (L) with 2%
  24. Sharpe (L) with 6%
  25. Sharpe (L) with 3%
  26. Sharpe (L) with 6%
  27. Sharpe (L) with 6%
  28. Sharpe (L) with 6%

Partisan clients

  1. This poll was sponsored by Neal Kwatra on behalf of an unnamed donor.
  2. 1 2 Poll conducted for PIX11 and The Hill.
  3. Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  4. Poll sponsored by the AFL-CIO
  5. This poll was conducted as a lieutenant governor poll, but is included here due to the candidates running on the same ticket.

References

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