Odds update every minute | Last updated: 10:31PM EDT on Aug 22, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Chance of...
Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,103,786 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ53.0-54.0%$7,547,105
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,010,416
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ52.2-54.2%$402,511
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§48.7-49.7%$143,754

51.5%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ46.0-47.0%$7,547,105
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,010,416
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ46.3-47.3%$402,511
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§50.4-51.2%$143,754

48.5%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:14PM EDT on Aug 22, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$731,856,515 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.2-22.7%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ18.0-19.0%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§18.5-18.9%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ22.0-23.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§18.5-19.2%$254,186

20.2%

0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.7-13.8%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ9.4-9.6%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§10.4-10.6%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ11.0-13.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§10.4-12.5%$254,186

11.4%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.9-11.0%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ12.0-13.0%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§10.0-10.2%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ12.0-14.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§10.0-10.2%$254,186

11.3%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ10.0-11.0%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§9.1-9.5%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ11.0-12.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§8.7-9.5%$254,186

10.0%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.6%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ8.4-8.8%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§10.0-10.6%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ10.0-11.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§10.0-11.4%$254,186

9.5%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ4.5-4.6%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.3-2.5%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ4.0-5.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.3-2.5%$254,186

3.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.4-3.6%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.5-2.8%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ4.0-5.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.5-2.8%$254,186

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.6-2.8%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.1-2.3%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ4.0-5.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.0-2.3%$254,186

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.5%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ3.4-3.6%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.1-2.3%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.1-2.3%$254,186

2.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ2.4-2.7%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§2.3-2.6%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.5-2.6%$254,186

2.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.1-1.8%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.9-1.3%$254,186

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.1-1.2%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.8-1.2%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§1.0-1.1%$254,186

1.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.1-1.3%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-1.1%$1,493,693
PredictIt πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ1.0-2.0%$1,279,878
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.6-0.8%$254,186

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$691,129,348
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.8-1.1%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.8-1.1%$254,186

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.6%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.3-0.5%$254,186

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ0.1-0.2%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.6%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.5-0.6%$254,186

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.3-0.4%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.4%$254,186

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.5%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.3%$254,186

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.3%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.3%$254,186

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.4%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.3%$254,186

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$691,129,348
Kalshi πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ0.2-0.3%$37,699,635
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.3%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.2-0.3%$254,186

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.3%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.2%$254,186

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.2%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.1-0.2%$254,186

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.2%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.2%$254,186

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.1%$1,493,693
Smarkets πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§0.0-0.1%$254,186

0.1%

+0.0%

17.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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