🔥 ULX ALT SIM — RAYS @ ORIOLES
Freddy Peralta (RHP) vs Trevor Rogers (LHP)
Camden Yards | 7:15 PM
This one is way more interesting offensively than WSH/MIA. Peralta sits at 5.27 ERA / 1.48 WHIP with 20 HR allowed, while Rogers is 4.15 / 1.25 with only 13 HR allowed.
And we JUST saw Baltimore rough this matchup up last weekend. Peralta gave Baltimore trouble with walks, while Cowser homered; in the series, Mayo also launched a 468-foot HR.
⚾ ULX GAME SIM
BAL 6 — TB 4
TAMPA BAY
Y. Díaz — 1-4 | BB | R
R. Vilade — 2-4 | 2B | R 🔥
J. DeLuca — 1-4 | RBI
J. Caminero — 2-4 | HR | 2 RBI | R 💣
C. Simpson — 1-4 | SB
J. Mateo — 1-4 | SB
K. Piper — 0-4
L. Hicks — 1-4 | RBI
T. Walls — 0-3 | BB
BALTIMORE
J. Holliday — 2-5 | 2B | R
P. Alonso — 2-4 | HR | 2 RBI | BB 💣
G. Henderson — 1-4 | 2B | BB | R
T. O’Neill — 1-4 | HR | 2 RBI 💣
S. Basallo — 1-4 | RBI
D. Beavers — 1-4 | R
C. Mayo — 2-4 | 2B | RBI | R 🔥
C. Cowser — 1-3 | BB | R
L. Taveras — 1-4 | SB
🎯 PITCHING SIM
Freddy Peralta:
4.2 IP | 7 H | 5 ER | 3 BB | 5 K | 2 HR
Trevor Rogers:
5.2 IP | 6 H | 3 ER | 2 BB | 5 K | 1 HR
⚠️ Peralta is the attack pitcher.
He’s allowed 12 ER over 14.1 innings since joining Tampa Bay, so I’m much more interested in Baltimore bats than trying to force his K ceiling.
💣 ULX HR EXTRACTOR
⭐ 1. PETE ALONSO — S TIER
My HR1 for this game.
29 HR / 82 RBI entering tonight, and we’re attacking the shakier starter.
⭐ 2. JUNIOR CAMINERO — S-/A+ TIER
Best TB power bat.
35 HR / 81 RBI. Even with the LHP matchup, his raw power keeps him at the top of the Tampa side.
🔥 3. TYLER O’NEILL — A TIER
This is the ULX less-obvious HR I like.
Right-handed power sitting behind Alonso/Henderson against Peralta.
👀 4. COBY MAYO — A-/B+ TIER
This dude immediately jumps out at #7.
He just hit that 468-footer against Tampa earlier this week. That’s exactly the kind of lower-order power signal we don’t ignore.
💣 6–9 SPOT HR SNAGGER
This game has a NASTY one.
1. COBY MAYO (#7) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
2. COLTON COWSER (#8) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
3. DYLAN BEAVERS (#6) ⭐⭐⭐
4. LUCIOUS HICKS (#8) ⭐⭐
🚨 ULX 6–9 TARGET: COBY MAYO
Mayo + Cowser is actually a wild little bottom-order HR pairing.
Cowser already homered against Tampa in the previous series, too.
🏃 SB SNAGGER
1. Chandler Simpson 🔥🔥
2. Jorge Mateo 🔥
3. Leody Taveras
4. Jackson Holliday
Simpson/Mateo are the two I’d actually carry into an SB build.
🧨 ALT-LINE CEILINGS
Pete Alonso — 4+ TB 💣
Junior Caminero — 4+ TB 💣
Coby Mayo — 4+ TB 👀
Ryan Vilade — 2+ Hits
Jackson Holliday — 2+ Hits
Colton Cowser — 2+ TB
Chandler Simpson — SB
Jorge Mateo — SB
🏆 ULX BEST SPOTS
BEST HR: 💣 Pete Alonso
BEST TB HR: 💣 Junior Caminero
BEST 6–9: 🚨 Coby Mayo
BEST DEEP HR: Colton Cowser
BEST SB: Chandler Simpson
BEST HITS: Ryan Vilade
BEST 4 TB: Pete Alonso
SLEEPER: Tyler O’Neill
☢️ MY 3 PIECES TO SAVE FROM THIS SIM
Pete Alonso — 4+ TB
Coby Mayo — 4+ TB
Chandler Simpson — SB
And for our HR board specifically, I’m writing down ALONSO + MAYO from this game. Mayo is exactly the type of #7 hitter our 6–9 system is supposed to catch.
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