New Preprint: Flexibly Modeling Shocks in Demographic and Health Indicators

I and Leontine Alkema have a new preprint available, Flexibly Modeling Shocks to Demographic and Health Indicators with Bayesian Shrinkage Priors. We discuss how to build models for estimating and projecting demographic and health indicators that exhibit large short-term fluctuations, which we call shocks, using Bayesian shrinkage priors.