The Kilometre Between the Certificate and the Payroll

Nigeria's 3MTT reports a 99.6% completion rate across 135,000 fellows, a figure measuring whether they finished an assessment, not whether they hold jobs that use the training. The IMF's baseline scenario projects a 0.2% productivity lift for sub-Saharan Africa over the coming decade under current conditions. Until programmes publish cohort-level employment outcomes at six and twelve months, the…